tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-50352636151646720092024-03-13T17:47:31.502+01:00 Svein Tore Marthinsen svein_tore_marthinsen@yahoo.noSvein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.comBlogger1001125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-66378461958648031852024-02-09T11:04:00.004+01:002024-02-11T16:22:06.443+01:00Færre lojale velgere <p> <b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 115%;">Unge
velgere og menn flyktet i hopetall fra regjeringspartiene Ap og Sp ved
kommunevalget 2023.</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal">
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 115%;">Statistisk
Sentralbyrå offentliggjorde nylig de første tallene fra <a href="https://www.ssb.no/valg/kommunestyre-og-fylkestingsvalg/artikler/velgere-og-velgeroverganger-ved-kommunestyrevalgene-2019-og-2023/_/attachment/inline/0b4950f1-0b6e-4168-b1e3-fb3941152be2:290d418388a7358df6c893392c32cddde2b380fc/RAPP2024-02.pdf">Kommunevalgundersøkelsen</a>
2023. Slike lokalvalgundersøkelser er blitt gjort helt siden 1971 og gir oss
verdifull velgerkunnskap. <br />
<br />
Vi skal i dagens brev ta en titt på hovedtallene i undersøkelsen, men aller
først kan det være en ide å friske opp selve valgresultatet (se tabellen nedenfor).
H, Frp, INP, V, SV og PP ble valgvinnere. Mens Sp, Ap, MDG, FNB og R tapte
oppslutning. KrF stod på stedet hvil.</span>
<br />
<br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Du leser et utdrag av mitt analysebrev nr 6 i 2024. Abonner på mine analyser ved å Vippse 500 kr (12 mnd) til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>"</i><br />
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<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -44.25pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-table-layout-alt: fixed; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184; width: 747px;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">Kommune<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 14pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 14pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">INP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">PP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">Valg 2023<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">3,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">6,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">21,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 14pt;">8,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">4,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">4,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">5,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 14pt;">25,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">11,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">3,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">1,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">5,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">Valg 2019<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">6,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">24,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 14pt;">14,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">6,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">4,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 14pt;">20,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">8,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">1,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">7,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">Differanse<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">-0,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">+0,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">-3,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 14pt;">-6,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">-2,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">+1,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 14pt;">+5,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">+3,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">+3,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">+0,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt;">-2,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br />
<br />
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 115%;">Kun 42 prosent lojale
velgere</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
SSBs tall er paneldata. Dvs. at mange av de samme respondentene har deltatt
både ved 2019- og 2023-valget. Det gir en fin mulighet for bl.a. å undersøke
hvor mange som holder fast ved sitt partivalg. Svarene indikerer at kun 42
prosent stemte likt ved begge valg. Det betyr at det altså er langt flere
ikke-lojale enn lojale velgere. Dette er en lavere lojalitetsandel enn jeg har
sett tidligere og et varsel om at partier og politikere langt i fra kan ta sine
velgere for gitt. De må i økende grad slåss for velgertilliten hver eneste dag.
<br />
<br />
<b>Høyre og KrF høyest lojalitet<br />
</b>Punkt nummer en for ethvert parti ved et valg er å forsøke holde på så
mange som mulig av de som stemte på deg sist. I følge valgundersøkelsen lyktes
Høyre best med å holde på sine velgere, etterfulgt av KrF. Men selv de beste i
lojalitetsklassen klarte kun å holde på drøyt seks av sine ti 2019-velgere. Det
viser hvor vanskelig det har blitt å få velgerne til stemme på samme parti
flere ganger på rad. <br />
Jeg merker meg at lojalitetsandelene generelt ligger en del høyere på
meningsmålingene enn i valgundersøkelsen. Dette kan skyldes noe selektiv
hukommelse når det spørres om hva du stemte sist slik meningsmålerne gjør. Det
gir paneldata en force. <br />
<br />
<b>MDG og Sp lavest lojalitet</b><br />
Sp og MDG hadde den laveste lojalitetsandelen. Ikke overraskende ble de da også
valgtapere. Kun en av fire MDG-velgere fra 2019 stemte MDG igjen i fjor høst.
Det gjorde det umulig for MDG å være i nærheten av å gjenskape sitt brakvalg
fra 2019. <br />
<br />
Lojalitetsnivået til de respektive partiene er streket under med rødt i tabellmatrisen
nedenfor. <br />
<br />
</span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhr-K4YUoZQ8pT1Qnd1FQOkMRdNfrH9lT803j68NI8jogqyN3HupR74ozRTkY0cdcQTOgGo6i56Us1Vp4PDTFMipw9y-SW1Hj2OdMAlqzv5euRqTNbzm1i0AoeTaa8L4dGZjFgvIxgRV0hAbpYAt8ZJIPHtsBVhrC32zeigLmQzns09BBidzHkFIP-md4fK/s844/MatriseValg2023.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="454" data-original-width="844" height="344" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhr-K4YUoZQ8pT1Qnd1FQOkMRdNfrH9lT803j68NI8jogqyN3HupR74ozRTkY0cdcQTOgGo6i56Us1Vp4PDTFMipw9y-SW1Hj2OdMAlqzv5euRqTNbzm1i0AoeTaa8L4dGZjFgvIxgRV0hAbpYAt8ZJIPHtsBVhrC32zeigLmQzns09BBidzHkFIP-md4fK/w640-h344/MatriseValg2023.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /> <span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 115%; mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK; mso-no-proof: yes;"><br />
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<p class="MsoNormal"><br />
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 115%;">Derfor gikk vinnerne
fram</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Høyre hentet velgere bredt fra den politiske skalaen. Den netto veksten var
størst fra Ap, Sp og FNB. Mens Frp forsynte seg godt fra mange av de som satt
hjemme i 2019, samt tidligere Sp-velgere. Partiet hadde også positiv utveksling
med både Ap og H. For SVs del var framgangen særlig tuftet på tilvekst fra MDG,
Sp og R. <br />
<br />
V lyktes med å mobilisere tidligere hjemmesittere og hadde også en pen netto gevinst
fra MDG og Ap. INP hentet velgere på bred front. Tidligere hjemmesittere, Sp,
Ap, H, Frp og FNB var alle solide leverandører av velgere til INP. <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><b><o:p></o:p></b></span></p>
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Her tapte taperne<br />
</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Sp måtte tåle stygge
netto velgertap til særlig H og Frp. Men også INP og SV forsynte seg ganske
grovt av Sps gamle velgere. Mens Ap
lekket tungt med velgere til H. Regjeringspartiet slet parallelt med
konkurransen fra INP og Frp. Netto pluss mot MDG og FNB dempet Ap-tilbakegangen
litt. <br />
<br />
MDGs hadde stygge netto tap til særlig SV, Ap og V. Mange av FNBs velgere valgte
å sitte hjemme på valgdagen. H, Ap, Frp og INP sopet også inn godt av bompengepartiets
2019-velgere. <br />
</span><span face=""Calibri","sans-serif"" style="font-size: 11pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">KrF kunne glede seg
over et visst pluss fra Ap, men måtte tåle et minus mot V.<b> <br />
<br /><br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--></b><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-size: 16px;">Du har lest et utdrag av mitt analysebrev nr 6 i 2024. Abonner på mine analyser ved å Vippse 500 kr (12 mnd) til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>"</i></span>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-43120382075603052242024-01-26T15:26:00.002+01:002024-01-26T15:26:22.170+01:00Nominasjonsstatus i Akershus <p><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;">Stortingsvalget 2025 er fortsatt halvannet år
unna. Men nominasjonsprosessene dras så smått i gang snart og vil være i full sving
til høsten. Jeg har gjort et tidlig kartleggingsarbeid for å lodde stemningen
før det hele braker skikkelig løs senere i år. Ved å kontakte både sittende
representanter, mulige utfordrere, organisasjonsfolk, politiske kommentatorer, journalister
og noen andre med god innsikt, har denne informasjonen, sammenholdt med mine
egne vurderinger og utregninger, gitt et grunnlag for en liten løypemelding fra
valgkretsene. Dette er slett ingen fasit over hvordan det kommer til å gå, kun
en liten statusrapport basert på min informasjon pr. i dag.</span></p><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">
<br /><i><span style="font-size: medium;">Du leser et utdrag av mitt Pluss-brev nr 1 i 20</span></i><span style="background-color: white; color: #444444;"><i><span style="font-size: medium;">24. Pluss koster 800 pr år og du kan Vippse beløpet til nr 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/303129437808470">Politisk analyse Pluss</a>". Pluss-abo er for de mest interesserte og gir også automatisk tilgang "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864">Politisk analyse</a>" der hovedbrevet blir publisert hver fredag. <br /></span></i><br /></span><br /><span style="font-size: 13pt;">
Mange sittende representanter holder kortene tett til brystet og er svært
sparsommelige med å svare eller de lar vær. Andre er friere og åpnere. Det er
mange faktorer å hensynta ifm. nominasjon: Politisk dyktighet og erfaring,
kjønn, geografi, alder og mangfold. I noen partier, som f eks Ap, teller
kjønnsbalanse mer enn i H eller Frp. </span></span><span face=""Calibri","sans-serif"" style="font-size: 11pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"> <br />
<br />
</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Min oversikt vil jevnlig
oppdateres hele veien inn til Stortingsvalget etter hvert som det blir nye
velgerbevegelser som endrer antatt mandatrekkefølge og det kommer til ny
informasjon om kandidatene etter hvert som prosessene skrider fram.<br /></span><span face=""Calibri","sans-serif"" style="font-size: 11pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"> <br /><br /><br /><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Hva skjer med
Sanners i Akershus?</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
Det er en viss usikkerhet rundt Jan Tore Sanners renominasjon. Han virker motivert
for å fortsette, men Henrik Asheim er nestleder og et større navn i Høyre nå og
vil dermed antagelig avansere til førsteplass på listen. Bærum får neppe de to
øverste plassene, så da kan spørsmålet bli om Sanner aksepterer en degradering til
tredjeplass. Han er en pragmatisk type, så det er et fullt mulig scenario. Et
tilleggsmoment som han nok vurderer er om han snart bør tre til side for å
slippe til sin datter Maria. Jeg har ikke info om Tone Trøen og Turid
Kristensen ønsker gjenvalg, men antar at de begge går for det. Trøen virker i
så fall ganske så bankers på andreplass. Kristensen er mindre sikker, men er
etter min info favoritt til å bekle 5.plassen på nytt. <br />
<br />
Anne Kristine Linnestad er motivert for gjenvalg. Linnestad kan muligens bli
utfordret av Anine Noren på «Follo-plassen» nr. 4 på listen, men mest trolig
får hun fornyet tillit. Asker var svært misfornøyd med at de ble henvist til
åttendeplass sist. Det kan derfor være litt deres tur nå, men det betinger at
de klarer å slå en kile i flertallsalliansen Bærum+Romerike. Kari Bjørnsen er antagelig
det sterkeste navnet fra Asker. Det kan i så fall gå ut over den sittende
representanten Hårek Elvenes som kom seg inn på et utjevningsmandat fra sin
sjetteposisjon på listen i 2021. Men har Elvenes nødvendig backing fra sitt
lokallag i Bærum, så spørs det om Bjørnsen tar ham. Det gjenstår dog også å se
om Elvenes faktisk ønsker gjenvalg. Ut over dette er Håkon Snortheim en mulig
ungdomskandidat på Akershus Hs noe aldrende liste. <br /><br /><br />
<b><br /></b><br />
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<!--[endif]--></span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgKZV5QLFJUTaTmcOJ4ongLlglcT_4XJ2zvICNzLiuEwlK2gjk0pkLZJoEwPMVcN5nDNubLOmKTd-khYFxvEPM-kQ3EGH4d9LHrLyEkOct2iTyJdAma86j5LysdPvBAFTge7duprMQu23ugLb_kAzO9GTaeNZjuJy0zB3i2JhX4nWJTvJg_sC0u4wwR3woO/s875/SannersTetzschners.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="606" data-original-width="875" height="444" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgKZV5QLFJUTaTmcOJ4ongLlglcT_4XJ2zvICNzLiuEwlK2gjk0pkLZJoEwPMVcN5nDNubLOmKTd-khYFxvEPM-kQ3EGH4d9LHrLyEkOct2iTyJdAma86j5LysdPvBAFTge7duprMQu23ugLb_kAzO9GTaeNZjuJy0zB3i2JhX4nWJTvJg_sC0u4wwR3woO/w640-h444/SannersTetzschners.jpg" width="640" /></a></div> Tegning: Egil Nyhus<br /><br /> <br /><b style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;">Farvel til Huitfeldt</b><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;" /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;">Anniken Huitfeldt (Ap) ser ut til å bli USA-ambassadør og forsvinner dermed ut av norsk politikk. Tonje Brenna overtar etter alle solemerker hennes førsteplass på Aps liste. Bak henne er det mer åpent. Sverre Myrli har sittet lenge og kan være moden for utskiftning. Kanskje gir dette en åpning for at Åsmund Aukrust kan rykke helt opp til fjerde til andreplass. Tuva Moflag beholder trolig tredjeplassen. Hvis Myrli forsvinner, kan det være duket for en duell mellom tidligere Lillestrøm-ordfører Jørgen Vik og Rælingens ex-ordfører Ståle Grøtte. Hvis man fraviker annethvert kjønn-prinsippet, så kan også Heidi Nyhus og Anita Patel være aktuelle navn fra Nedre Romerike i et mulig bikkjeslagsmål om fjerdeplassen. Mani Hussani er et antatt Follo-navn på femteplass. </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;"> </span><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;" /><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;" /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;">Hans Andreas Limi er favoritt til å bekle Frps frontposisjon. Men jeg har foreløpig ikke info på om han ønsker gjenvalg. Bak ham kan det bli en ny duell mellom Himanshu Gulati og Liv Gustavsen. Begge er motiverte. Gulati dro det lengste strået i 2021, Gustavsen kan ha en bedre sjanse nå, men dette er åpent. Tonje Lavik Pedersen kan være en joker å følge med på bak disse to.</span><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;" /><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;" /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;">Partileder Kirsti Bergstø er selvskreven øverst for SV. Haihtam El-Noush ble toer sist, og han er det mest trolige valget som nr. 2 igjen i følge min informasjon.</span><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;" /><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;" /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;">Abid Raja er motivert for fire nye år for Akershus V og får nok dette innvilget, til tross for sitt Oslo-bosted. Han får trolig med seg Solveig Schytz på annenplass. Men Schytz må se opp for Unge Venstre-leder Ane Breivik som kan komme til å utfordre henne. </span><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;" /><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;" /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;">Sigbjørn Gjelsvik (Sp) ble fjernet fra regjeringen i fjor der kysse-episoden med en underordnet i eget departement kan ha vært en bakenforliggende variabel. Jeg har ikke info om han ønsker gjenvalg, men setter ham øverst enn så lenge.</span><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;" /><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;" /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;">Marie Sneve Martinussen var på topp for Rødt i Akershus sist. Hun hadde bosted Oslo, men har flyttet til Moss siden den gang. Hun stiller neppe i Østfold, til det er mandatet der altfor usikkert.</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;">Også Akershus kan bli for usikkert for Rødts partileder, så det blir nok et aktuelt tema om hun bør flyttes til Oslo-listen. Silje Kjosbakken kan være aktuell arvtaker i Akershus hvis Martinussen flyttes, men hun er ikke noe åpenbart valg siden hun ikke lenger er nestleder i partiet. </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;"> </span><br />
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<!--[endif]--></span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjnnEp5Aqg7D6_RDY1ocKrvqMY7pCVkRJakRF0CYj0gMgfi9iUp7hY3xmbppFjfrGjkgyTqrGXDXizicmi18uNEv5qVEu4X7ceMx9V22AzcTUMNLHC82_VfN-JWjelLexR2ky5jxa0dp3ssZlFWpZk3OO5oJLzaqdYHG2hoHJBu_xZ9Q5TJhoKndg_cpwei/s837/Akershus25-29.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="567" data-original-width="837" height="434" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjnnEp5Aqg7D6_RDY1ocKrvqMY7pCVkRJakRF0CYj0gMgfi9iUp7hY3xmbppFjfrGjkgyTqrGXDXizicmi18uNEv5qVEu4X7ceMx9V22AzcTUMNLHC82_VfN-JWjelLexR2ky5jxa0dp3ssZlFWpZk3OO5oJLzaqdYHG2hoHJBu_xZ9Q5TJhoKndg_cpwei/w640-h434/Akershus25-29.jpg" width="640" /></a><br /><br /><br /><br /><div style="text-align: left;">Ønsker du å lese om ståa i Østfold, Oslo, Hedmark og Oppland? Ja, da anbefaler jeg at du sjekker ut<br />"<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/303129437808470">Politisk analyse Pluss</a>" som er mitt ekstra analysetilbud til de mest interesserte. Vanlig abo koster <br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">500 kr pr år. Plus koster 800. Du kan gjerne Vippse beløpet til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen. </i></div></div><br />Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-87354856741830208422024-01-12T11:34:00.002+01:002024-01-12T11:34:20.308+01:00Intet januar-Vendepunkt<p> <b>Velgerstabilitet preget 2024-starten. <br /><br /><br /></b></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgT00E2f845i3vEIu31rk0CBC0zuSbX01vW_eGavigZdeyeSgIDBYRdTgEUOaqAglhkD1iYIaRg4ZV3cunirub4BmHfjLvbVRNsucoOE7luRZWA2RiiTPavvezknjZRFqDGOb2Kt8mBPT4MPzBuD8Pu8CTymakX9kg5sXiChmnVVW-_5LqIpmm5aXhEzm0z/s714/Velgerstabilitet.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="661" data-original-width="714" height="592" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgT00E2f845i3vEIu31rk0CBC0zuSbX01vW_eGavigZdeyeSgIDBYRdTgEUOaqAglhkD1iYIaRg4ZV3cunirub4BmHfjLvbVRNsucoOE7luRZWA2RiiTPavvezknjZRFqDGOb2Kt8mBPT4MPzBuD8Pu8CTymakX9kg5sXiChmnVVW-_5LqIpmm5aXhEzm0z/w640-h592/Velgerstabilitet.jpg" width="640" /></a></div> Tegning: Egil Nyhus<br /><br /><br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Du leser et utdrag av mitt analysebrev nr 2 i 2024. Abonner på mine analyser ved å Vippse 500 kr (12 mnd) til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>"</i><br /><br /><p></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">«Summen av priser og renter merkes spesielt hardt
nå. Men hver dag i hele denne tiden har vi jobbet mot et vendepunkt i
økonomien: Der prisveksten dempes slik at også rentene kan settes ned. Ja, det
har tatt tid. Men vi nærmer oss dette vendepunktet nå. Vi har utsikter til en
mer stabil økonomi, for landet, bedrifter og for hver og én av oss.
Regjeringens mål er klart: Folk skal få bedre råd.»<br />
<br />
<br />
Slik lød et avsnitt i statsminister Jonas Gahr Støre sin <a href="https://www.regjeringen.no/no/aktuelt/statsministerens-nyttarstale-2024/id3020269/">nyttårstale</a>. Det er
tydelig at han, og regjeringen, setter sin lit til Vendepunktet. Med stor V. Der
det snur. Både for økonomien og for regjeringen. Håpet er at dette kan redde gjenvalget
i 2025. Onsdag offentliggjorde Statistisk sentralbyrå at matvareprisene har økt
med ti prosent siste år, den høyeste økningen siden 1982. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Ap
rundt 19<br />
</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">De
fem første stortingsmålingene i 2024 har tikket inn denne uken. Foreløpig er
det intet vendepunkt å spore for Støres parti. Ap ligger stabilt rundt 19
prosent på snittet av målingene. Regjeringspartneren Sp er på rundt 7. I sum
har regjeringspartiene 26,3 prosents oppslutning. Ved 2021-valget hadde de 39,8
prosent. <br />
<br />
Høyre er stadig landets største parti og ligger midt på 25-tallet - som i
desember. Frp ser 14-tallet på et par enkeltmålinger, men snittet viser
fortsatt drøyt 13. SV faller litt tilbake fra nesten 11 prosent i desember, men
er fremdeles på et tosifret nivå. </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> <br />
</span><br />
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<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78.0pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"> </span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">INP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78.0pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Storting Jan 24<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">10,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">19,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">25,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">13,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78.0pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Storting Des 23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">10,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">18,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">25,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">13,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78.0pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg
2021<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">26,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">13,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">0,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">20,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">11,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table><p>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 11.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br /><br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Du har lest et utdrag av mitt analysebrev nr 2 i 2024. Abonner på mine analyser ved å Vippse 500 kr (12 mnd) til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>"</i><br />
<!--[endif]--></span><br /></p>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-88789570167628317302024-01-07T13:34:00.004+01:002024-01-07T17:13:56.710+01:00Vestfold mest underrepresentert i 2025<p> <b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">Akershus
ligger an til å få ett mandat mer ved stortingsvalget neste år. Finnmark mister
ett. Nordland holder unna for Sør-Trøndelag i kampen om sistemandatet.</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-size: 16px;">Du leser nå mitt analysebrev nr 1 i 2024. Abonner på mine analyser ved å Vippse 500 kr (12 mnd) til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>"</i></span></p><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />Ved nyttår gjenoppstod fylkene Østfold, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold, Telemark, Troms og
Finnmark. Sammen med Oslo, Rogaland og Nordland er nå disse identiske med
stortingsvalgkretsene. <br />
<br />
Mens Innlandet, Agder, Vestland og Trøndelag vil avvike og hete Oppland,
Hedmark, Aust-Agder, Vest-Agder, Hordaland, Sogn og Fjordane, Sør-Trøndelag og
Nord-Trøndelag ved stortingsvalget. <br />
<b><br />
Akershus forbi Oslo</b> <br />
I tråd med de vedtatte endringene i 2023 av valgordningen vår, så vil antallet
mandater pr. valgkrets bli justert ved hvert valg i pakt med
befolkningsutviklingen. Tidligere fant justeringene sted ved annethvert valg. <br />
<br />
Det er befolkningsantallet i kretsene 1. januar 2024 som avgjør hvordan
utfallet ved valget påfølgende høst blir. Hver krets får 1 poeng pr. innbygger.
Fremdeles gjelder også arealfaktoren på 1,8 poeng pr. kvadratkilometer i
valgkretsen. <br />
<br />
Befolkningstallene for årsskiftet vil bli offentliggjort 21. februar, opplyser Amund
Engebretsen i Statistisk sentralbyrå. <br />
<br />
Han har sendt meg en befolkningsoversikt som viser ståa ved utgangen av tredje
kvartal 2023. Den viser bl.a. at Akershus har gått forbi Oslo og nå er landets
mest folkerike fylke.</span><span face=""Calibri","sans-serif"" style="font-size: 11pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"> <br /><br /><br /><br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--></span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjt3oSO-dN72I5otc-Wstg4U39bORojJIETTmoo-nKDDbwBkBzggH219PBBU9oZSCTdZ5KjqqKg8xseDfyb_9WCkkElKA284b8dCxaClBuaopHLLsQvCqKPK9bi2S3LwmKTltP_iBt0bwkcWiBz50wizBLaDtmQvPT2vt0n1bw5OJMKr8J-e6FbzezMbK66/s567/BefolkningValgdistrikt2023q3.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="401" data-original-width="567" height="452" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjt3oSO-dN72I5otc-Wstg4U39bORojJIETTmoo-nKDDbwBkBzggH219PBBU9oZSCTdZ5KjqqKg8xseDfyb_9WCkkElKA284b8dCxaClBuaopHLLsQvCqKPK9bi2S3LwmKTltP_iBt0bwkcWiBz50wizBLaDtmQvPT2vt0n1bw5OJMKr8J-e6FbzezMbK66/w640-h452/BefolkningValgdistrikt2023q3.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">Kilde: SSB</div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><p class="MsoNormal"></p><div style="text-align: left;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">Finnmark
mister ett mandat</span></b></div><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Hvordan vil befolkningsutviklingen påvirke mandatfordelingen i valgkretsene i 2025?
Vi trenger da å vite hvor mange arealpoeng hvert fylke har, i tillegg til
befolkningspoengene. </span><span style="font-size: 13pt;"> </span></div><o:p></o:p></span><p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"></p><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;">Nedenfor har jeg gjort en beregning (areal x1,8p) som
viser fylkenes arealpoeng. Ved å legge sammen valgkretsenes befolkningspoeng og
arealpoeng og dele dette på Norges totale poengsum og gange med 169 (antall
stortingsmandater totalt) finner vi hvor mange mandater hver krets skal ha.</span></div><span style="line-height: 115%;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;"><br /></span></div>
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Det avrundete antallet mandater i kolonnen nest lengst til høyre er det
antallet hver krets får neste år, inklusive ett utjevningsmandat pr. krets. </span><span style="font-size: 13pt;"> </span></div></span></span><p></p><p class="MsoNormal"><br /></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -1.7pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-table-layout-alt: fixed; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184; width: 633px;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Befolkn.poeng<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Arealpoeng<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Totalt<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Mandater<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Avrundet<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Endring<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Østfold<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">311 304<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">7 207<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">318 511<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">8,80<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Akershus<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">718 327<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">10 611<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">728 938<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">20,14<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">20<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Oslo<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">716 272<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">817<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">717 089<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">19,81<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">20<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Hedmark<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">201 614<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">49 316<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">250 930<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6,93<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Oppland<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">173 742<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">44 413<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">218 155<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6,03<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Buskerud<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">275 984<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">26 449<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">302 433<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">8,36<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Vestfold<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">255 715<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3 902<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">259 617<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">7,17<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Telemark<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">176 870<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">27 536<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">204 406<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">5,65<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">A-Agder<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">122 618<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">16 483<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">139 101<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3,84<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">V-Agder<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">196 439<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">13 099<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">209 538<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">5,79<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Rogaland<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">497 806<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">16 877<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">514 683<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">14,22<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">14<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Hordaland<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">540 464<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">27 792<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">568 256<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">15,70<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">16<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Sogn og
Fj<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">109 076<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">33 521<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">142 597<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3,94<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Møre og
R<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">269 696<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">27 207<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">296 903<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">8,20<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">S-Trøndelag<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">346 675<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">33 941<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">380 616<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">10,52<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">10<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">N-Trøndelag<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">134 875<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">40 347<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">175 222<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4,84<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Nordland<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">242 425<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">68 679<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">311 104<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">8,60<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Troms<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">169 075<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">47 156<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">216 231<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">5,97<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Finnmark<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">74 605<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">87 539<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">162 144<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4,48<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Norge<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">553 3582<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">582 817<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6 116 399<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">169<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 63.8pt;" valign="top" width="85">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">169<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br />
<br /></p><div style="text-align: left;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">Akershus får 20
mandater</span></b></div>
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Av utregningen framgår det at det kun ser ut til å bli to endringer i 2025 sammenlignet
med 2021-valget: Akershus får ett nytt mandat på bekostning av Finnmark. Det
vil totalt gi Akershus 20 mandater ved neste års valg, mens Finnmark får
redusert sin beholdning fra 5 til 4.</span></div><o:p></o:p></span><p></p>
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Hadde den nye
fordelingen vært innført før 2021-valget, så ville Høyre og Hårek Elvenes
vekslet om sitt utjevningsmandat til et fast mandat i Akershus. Mens Irene Ojala (Pasientfokus) hadde mistet sin stortingsplass fra Finnmark.</span><span style="font-size: 13pt;"> </span></div></span></div><br /><br /><br /><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKu7mFMgPTHX2HviRsSDVSp2KJOasGKrAGquYzkIuIuMCu7hqPHpZU0U-_cB1VUluR9bb-cKzVgI-FhZjOpPmho7kbHKPas0F2XX2-qsjBBk9xT91yUb6VSNfR8lPYBciJOO0Hsc1dD9rrx0Q-Wz815DLF_gsXl8WpZDoOpM6RPjhnglUhMoJSIwOsdpYz/s605/Akershus2025.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="511" data-original-width="605" height="540" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKu7mFMgPTHX2HviRsSDVSp2KJOasGKrAGquYzkIuIuMCu7hqPHpZU0U-_cB1VUluR9bb-cKzVgI-FhZjOpPmho7kbHKPas0F2XX2-qsjBBk9xT91yUb6VSNfR8lPYBciJOO0Hsc1dD9rrx0Q-Wz815DLF_gsXl8WpZDoOpM6RPjhnglUhMoJSIwOsdpYz/w640-h540/Akershus2025.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">Tegning: Egil Nyhus<br /><br /><br /><br /><p class="MsoNormal"></p><div style="text-align: left;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">Nordland
holder unna for Sør-Trøndelag</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></div><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Kampen om sistemandatet står nå mellom Nordland og Sør-Trøndelag. Sør-Trøndelag
mangler pr nå i underkant av 3 000 innbyggere for å knipe sistemandatet og plusse
på sin beholdning med en og få 11 på Tinget.</span></div><o:p></o:p></span><p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"></p><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;">Befolkningen i Sør-Trøndelag har de siste årene økt
med i underkant av 1 000 pr kvartal, mens Nordland øker med et par-tre hundre. En
tilsvarende utvikling i siste kvartal 2023 innebærer at det blir for langt fram
for Sør-Trøndelag, de ligger an til å mangle ca. 2 000 innbyggere når
sluttregnskapet skal gjøres. Med mindre trønderne har satt inn en enorm
sluttspurt på barnefronten i siste kvartal 2023.</span></div><span style="line-height: 115%;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;"><br /></span></div>
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Men ved valget i 2029 må nok Nordland forberede seg på at ett mandat ryker. </span><span style="font-size: 13pt;"> </span></div></span><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div>
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]-->
<!--[endif]--><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></span><p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Du leser nå mitt analysebrev nr 1 i 2024. Abonner på mine analyser ved å Vippse 500 kr (12 mnd) til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>"<br /><br /></i></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"></p><div style="text-align: left;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">Akershus
mer attraktivt</span></b></div><span style="line-height: 115%;"><div style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt; text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Ett mandat mer til Akershus vil senke innslagspunktet for mandat litt og gjøre
det ytterligere attraktivt å fronte stortingslistene her - særlig for de mindre
partiene. Det er ikke uten grunn at MDG har satt opp sine partiledere her ved
de to siste valgene, Rasmus Hansson og Une Bastholm.</span></div>
<div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;"><br /></span></div><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Rødt hadde sin nåværende fungerende partileder, Marie Sneve Martinussen, på
topp her i 2021. SVs leder Kirsti Bergstø kjørte også en interessant overgang
fra Finnmark til Akershus ved forrige valg. Hun er dog bosatt i Nittedal og
sånn sett litt mer «Akershusing» enn Oslo-baserte Bastholm og Moss-bosatte Martinussen.</span></div></span><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div>
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Finnmarks tap av ett mandat vil øke innslagspunktet og gjøre det noe verre for
lister ala Pasientfokus å komme inn derfra. Noen vil hevde dette er bra for
vårt representative demokrati, andre vil framholde at det er mindre bra at
muligheten for representasjon for alternative lister reduseres.</span><span style="font-size: 13pt;"> </span><span style="font-size: 13pt;"> </span></div></span><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div>
<b style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;"><div style="text-align: left;"><b style="font-size: 13pt;">Finnmark og Nordland mest
overrepresentert</b></div></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">I tabellen nedenfor har jeg regnet ut hvor mange innbyggere som står bak hvert
mandat. Utregningen viser at Vestfold ligger an til å bli landets mest
underrepresenterte valgkrets målt i innbyggere pr. mandat ved 2025-valget. Det
er kun her at over 36 000 innbyggere står bak hvert mandat. Tross Akershus
sin økte mandatbeholdning, vil kretsen like fullt være landets nest mest
underrepresenterte. Etterfulgt av Oslo og Rogaland.</span></div></span><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div>
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Finnmarks er landets suverent mest overrepresenterte krets, til tross for
mandatnedgangen neste år. Etterfulgt av Nordland, Nord-Trøndelag og Sogn og
Fjordane.</span></div></span><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div>
<b style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;"><div style="text-align: left;"><b style="font-size: 13pt;">Store arealjusteringer</b></div></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Jeg har også sammenlignet utfallet hvis man hadde fjernet arealfaktoren og kun
lagt innbyggertallet til grunn. Da ville både Oslo og Akershus plusset på med
to mandater til. Mens Østfold, Buskerud, Vestfold, Rogaland, Hordaland og
Sør-Trøndelag ville fått ett til hver.</span></div></span><div style="text-align: left;"><br /></div>
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Nordland og Finnmark ville mistet to hver, mens både Hedmark, Oppland, Sogn og
Fjordane, Nord-Trøndelag og Troms ville mistet hvert sitt. Arealjusteringene er
altså betydelige som følge av den gjeldende arealfaktoren på 1,8. </span><span style="font-size: 13pt;"> </span></div></span><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;"> </span></div>
</span><p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: 5.4pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-table-layout-alt: fixed; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Krets<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Innb. pr mandat<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">m/arealfaktor<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">u/arealfaktor<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Endring<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Østfold<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">34 589<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">10<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Akershus<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">35 916<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">20<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">22<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Oslo<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">35 814<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">20<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">22<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Hedmark<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">28 802<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Oppland<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">28 957<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Buskerud<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">34 498<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Vestfold<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">36 531<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Telemark<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">29 478<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">A-Agder<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">30 655<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">V-Agder<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">32 740<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Rogaland<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">35 558<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">14<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">15<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Hordaland<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">33 779<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">16<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">17<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Sogn og
Fj<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">27 269<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Møre og
R<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">33 712<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">S-Trøndelag<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">34 668<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">10<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">11<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">N-Trøndelag<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">26 975<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Nordland<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">26 936<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Troms<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">28 179<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Finnmark<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">18 651<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Norge<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 92.1pt;" valign="top" width="123">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">32 743<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">169<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 78pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">169<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 70.85pt;" valign="top" width="94">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">169<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"></p><div style="text-align: left;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">Skjevheten
består. Og vil øke?</span></b></div><span style="line-height: 115%;"><div style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt; text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Befolkningsjustering
ved hvert valg fører til at skjevhetene i vårt valgsystem holdes noe mer
kontinuerlig i sjakk. Men det er like fullt systematiske skjevheter som vil
være der så lenge arealfaktoren på 1,8 finnes.</span></div>
<div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;"><br /></span></div><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Grunnlovens § 57 inneholder en bestemmelse om at «</span><span style="background: white; font-size: 13pt;">Alle
valdistrikt skal ha minst fire mandat». Både Sogn og Fjordane, Aust-Agder og
Finnmark vil ved valget neste år være nede på minimumsnivået 4. Fortsetter
befolkningsutviklingen i valgkretsene i samme spor de kommende årene, så vil
dermed disse distriktenes overrepresentasjon øke siden de i følge Grunnloven ikke
kan få færre mandater.</span></div></span><span style="background: white;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 17.3333px;"><br /></span></div>
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;"><div style="text-align: left;"><span style="background-color: transparent; line-height: 115%;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Med mindre denne bestemmelsen fjernes.</span></span></span><span face="Helvetica, "sans-serif"" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-size: 11.5pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></div></span></span></span><p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></p><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; text-align: start;">Du har nå lest mitt analysebrev nr 51 i 2023. Abonner på mine analyser ved å Vippse 500 kr (12 mnd) til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>"</i></div><br />Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-72586694984666312902023-12-08T11:42:00.001+01:002023-12-08T11:42:27.977+01:00Skolens renessanse?<p> <b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">PISA viser
nedadgående skoleresultater. Kunnskapsminister Nordtun vil kaste mobilen ut av
klasserommet.<br /><br /></span></b></p><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 11.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">
<i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Du leser nå et utdrag av mitt analysebrev nr 51 i 2023. Abonner på mine analyser ved å Vippse 500 kr (12 mnd) til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>"</i><br /><br />
<br />
</span><span style="background: white; color: #303030; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">«Norske elever presterer betydelig svakere i både
lesing, matematikk og naturfag sammenlignet med PISA 2018. Stadig
flere elever presterer på det laveste mestringsnivået på alle de tre
fagområdene». <br />
<br />
Dette er ingressen i den nye <a href="https://www.udir.no/contentassets/0fa804bc05974e4380fffbb2b1d424af/pisa_2022_uu.pdf">PISA-rapporten </a>som ble lagt fram denne uken.
Særlig er utviklingen i matematikk negativ, i følge materialet. Du finner hovedgrafene
under.</span><span style="background: white; color: #303030; font-family: "Arial","sans-serif"; font-size: 16.5pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"> <br /><br /><br /></span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiUVyuFWm0VnLaytjwfLxsDELSCa2L8SH1w8RKH7XmgB7FWt-J2ON70fYSivqMDQGjc9uXs7doGb0cdoxVbuCArT291GRYE1iUGbrpFFev4qlupeEaA5p1HJXhYwBpf94JD1nHzDtMlr21MGb9a8MVojgz-9mmU1ZMvLRMJqAXgV-9H20PL40q8OAdLxSx_/s915/PisaGrafer.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="467" data-original-width="915" height="326" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiUVyuFWm0VnLaytjwfLxsDELSCa2L8SH1w8RKH7XmgB7FWt-J2ON70fYSivqMDQGjc9uXs7doGb0cdoxVbuCArT291GRYE1iUGbrpFFev4qlupeEaA5p1HJXhYwBpf94JD1nHzDtMlr21MGb9a8MVojgz-9mmU1ZMvLRMJqAXgV-9H20PL40q8OAdLxSx_/w640-h326/PisaGrafer.jpg" width="640" /></a><br /><br /><br /><p class="MsoNormal"></p><div style="text-align: left;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; line-height: 115%;">Pandemien
forklarer bare noe</span></b></div><span style="line-height: 115%;"><div style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; text-align: left;">Forskerne Jensen, Pettersen, Frønes, Eriksen, Løvgren og Narvhus er
sparsommelig med å peke på årsaker til den negative utviklingen. Slik forskere
ofte er. Men de skriver at «vi antar at pandemien har hatt betydning for flere
av endringene i resultatene fra PISA 2018 til 2022. Samtidig kan vi ikke si
sikkert hvor store endringer som kan tilskrives pandemien og hvor mye som
skyldes andre faktorer».</div>
<div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif";"><br /></span></div><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif";"><div style="text-align: left;">Landets nye kunnskapsminister, og den stigende Ap-stjernen, Kari Nessa Nordtun,
går mye lenger i å peke på årsaker. I et langt Facebook-innlegg tirsdag, der
hun riktignok tar et lite forbehold om at «årsakene er trolig sammensatte», er
det særlig fallende motivasjon, digitalisering ute av kontroll og forstyrrende
skjermbruk som framheves som forklaringsfaktorene hun tror mest på. Svarene som
skal snu utviklingen handler i følge Nordtun bl.a. om «å kaste forstyrrende
elementer ut av klasserommet». (Analytikeren og Tegneren antar at hun her
sikter til mobiler og ikke elever). <br /><br /><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEitdaRtJyRulzeDKM51HRVihxAz0Xfqr3Wzg15nDVi3tJ1RvSOhxmEGCsUGjdcY00m5BR83La9b1ikCIfFQUze98Qj8wQojvxROd_wfPFfM4x6oNCY1XWNseDmqk0KTQVpUp8rWtzbPq1k0QsgJDhDN88Fdks7WgLpkivp44mSyh-HmEmhuosXbvPTJSTwL/s722/Nessa.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="667" data-original-width="722" height="592" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEitdaRtJyRulzeDKM51HRVihxAz0Xfqr3Wzg15nDVi3tJ1RvSOhxmEGCsUGjdcY00m5BR83La9b1ikCIfFQUze98Qj8wQojvxROd_wfPFfM4x6oNCY1XWNseDmqk0KTQVpUp8rWtzbPq1k0QsgJDhDN88Fdks7WgLpkivp44mSyh-HmEmhuosXbvPTJSTwL/w640-h592/Nessa.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><span style="font-size: 13pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></span><p></p></div><p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Forstyrrende
skjermbruk?</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Et lite dykk noe lenger ned i rapporten viser at om lag en av tre elever sier
at de blir forstyrret av egen skjermbruk i skolen. Ca. en av fire sier de blir
forstyrret av andres bruk. Men den norske «forstyrrelsesandelen» er lavest i
Norden. Og kunnskapstilbakegangen er, med unntak av Island, større i Norge enn
hos våre naboer. Dette kan tyde på at
det også må letes etter helt andre forklaringer. <br /><br /> <o:p></o:p></span></p><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Dalende skolesak<br />
</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Norske velgere har i
stadig mindre grad gjennom 2000-tallet vektlagt skole som en viktig sak for sin
stemmegivning ved stortingsvalg. Ved 2001-valget mente hele en av tre velgere
at skole var aller viktigst. I 2021 hadde andelen sunket til kun en av ti, i
følge valgundersøkelsene. <br /><br /><br /><br /></span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbGl0ghEn-w1ta8f4BbzOJnuBlrwSn6QEkA7hjgePh3k7nbGGRj-5dOg1TYv3DIMMqZJjbDdgV5c-vtjoU9KVq7FlYJ8G1DWzsAAJ-D-zHRqx9Xam71UyZ4EBFMuPDBvMx7SFWtrxTXKFutOEg2PXDU3ysSob-RkVPRYXmA0TYIv1lDXc_YV-vLDIntjxt/s698/Skole.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="416" data-original-width="698" height="382" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbGl0ghEn-w1ta8f4BbzOJnuBlrwSn6QEkA7hjgePh3k7nbGGRj-5dOg1TYv3DIMMqZJjbDdgV5c-vtjoU9KVq7FlYJ8G1DWzsAAJ-D-zHRqx9Xam71UyZ4EBFMuPDBvMx7SFWtrxTXKFutOEg2PXDU3ysSob-RkVPRYXmA0TYIv1lDXc_YV-vLDIntjxt/w640-h382/Skole.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Du har lest et utdrag av mitt analysebrev nr 47 i 2023. Abonner gjerne på mine analyser ved å Vippse 500 kr (12 mnd) til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>"</i><br /><br />Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-90201737803073201632023-11-10T14:12:00.000+01:002023-11-10T14:12:01.809+01:00Nær tosifret SV<p> <b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 115%;">SV noterer nå sitt
sterkeste nivå siden 2005.</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Sosialistisk
Venstreparti, mest kjent som SV, oppnår 9,9 prosent på snittet av de seks
første stortingsmålingene i november.</span> <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -22.95pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 77.9pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"> </span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="background: red; border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.0pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.1pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.15pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.65pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">INP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.9pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.1pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 77.9pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Storting nov 23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: red; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">9,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.0pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">19,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.1pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.15pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.65pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.9pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">26,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.1pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">12,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 77.9pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg
2021<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: red; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.0pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">26,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.1pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">13,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.15pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.65pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.9pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">20,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.1pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">11,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 77.9pt;" valign="top" width="104">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Endring<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+0,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: red; border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+2,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.0pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-6,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.1pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-7,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.15pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+0,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.65pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+4,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.9pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+0,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+1,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.6pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+5,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.1pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+1,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-1,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 11.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
<br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Du leser nå et utdrag av mitt analysebrev nr 47 i 2023. Abonner gjerne på mine analyser ved å Vippse 500 kr (12 mnd) til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>"</i><br /><br />
</span><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />Palestina-effekt?</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
Jeg måtte bla meg et godt stykke tilbake i målingsarkivene for å finne et
månedsnivå med tosifret snitt for SV. Helt tilbake til desember 2005 for å være
nøyaktig.<br />
<br />
</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"> <br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh7AmEkdDFOTkoQL_Hz5ZxGyNW8lKN79KqjOjanph3KMck4Ly8lDgIVaqSZmmIUHu994f-B5T_MxVhpCMrI-5J85QETkvjehKiSAeNQbn7MkLUS5tIofJ30CziKc6IwKHut-1kl4CypyBO6dQi2iMu6DXibPM5W1TBEthljcJvatzR62zmojdEhvG4UMfHh/s757/SVNov23.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="440" data-original-width="757" height="372" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh7AmEkdDFOTkoQL_Hz5ZxGyNW8lKN79KqjOjanph3KMck4Ly8lDgIVaqSZmmIUHu994f-B5T_MxVhpCMrI-5J85QETkvjehKiSAeNQbn7MkLUS5tIofJ30CziKc6IwKHut-1kl4CypyBO6dQi2iMu6DXibPM5W1TBEthljcJvatzR62zmojdEhvG4UMfHh/w640-h372/SVNov23.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
<br />
2005 representerte på mange måter sluttfasen av SVs siste storhetsperiode, med
et toppunkt i april 2003 der de faktisk bare var tideler unna å være landets
største parti. Den gang, som nå, slet Ap med dype problemer. Og vi hadde
utenrikspolitikk uvanlig høyt oppe på agendaen. Da var det særlig Irak-krigen
som utløste sterke protester, nå er det Israel/Palestina som skaper sterkt
engasjement. Utenrikspolitikk spiller sjelden en viktig rolle for velgernes
preferanser, men jeg ser ikke bort i fra at uhyrlighetene som utspiller seg i
dette området nå kan påvirke opinionen i noen grad – og at SV kan bli noe mer
attraktivt. <br /><br /><br /><br /> </span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1e-aIt1MzWKISyAIe-RI0i9JkQDa6ZKfrBa6znFCCbFtBRlYtlT_EkxoV3itVfsr6df8Nufb2mFH0Um9fi_7hHbNON8nKpWOn_XUXVTYzuwMCVkaFekd-bKVQtQhJmE0DgMJJ-vY0EurMkpahvMEWaW42HXRk0nYOBq22VRe4xyfkgWc-5WnxZRAuhkAg/s702/Palestina.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="694" data-original-width="702" height="632" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1e-aIt1MzWKISyAIe-RI0i9JkQDa6ZKfrBa6znFCCbFtBRlYtlT_EkxoV3itVfsr6df8Nufb2mFH0Um9fi_7hHbNON8nKpWOn_XUXVTYzuwMCVkaFekd-bKVQtQhJmE0DgMJJ-vY0EurMkpahvMEWaW42HXRk0nYOBq22VRe4xyfkgWc-5WnxZRAuhkAg/w640-h632/Palestina.jpg" width="640" /></a><br /><br />Tegning: Egil Nyhus<br /><br /><div style="text-align: left;"><br /><br /></div><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; text-align: left;">Dette var et utdrag av mitt analysebrev nr 47 i 2023. Abonner gjerne på mine analyser ved å Vippse 500 kr (12 mnd) til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>"</i><br /><br /><br /></div><br />Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-43650492986839529872023-09-10T09:52:00.004+02:002023-09-10T11:50:56.335+02:00Mot blå valgseier<p><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;">Målingene spriker en god del i valgkampinnspurten. Det er nettopp da det er viktig å holde tunga
rett i munnen og se på snitt og trender – i stedet for å fortape seg i enkeltmålinger.
Jeg vurderer summen av alle tall, både nasjonalt og lokalt, og legger det inn i
prognoseberegningene. Høyre justeres ned, «Andre» øker og de øvrige ligger
omtrent stabilt, målt mot prognosen i forrige uke.</span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">
<br />
Høyre ligger fremdeles an til å bli klart største parti, hvilket vil være historisk.
Ap har noen løfterike enkeltmålinger en del steder, som i Stavanger, men i sum
virker partiet ikke å klare løfte seg noe særlig fra nivået de lå på for en måned siden. <br />
<br />
Frp så ut til å ha kurs mot 12-tallet, men framgangen synes å ha stoppet opp
den siste uken, og jeg har dem nå rundt 11 prosent. <br />
<br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-size: 16px;">Du leser nå et utdrag av mitt analysebrev nr 38 i 2023. Abonner gjerne på mine analyser ved å Vippse 500 kr (12 mnd) til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>".<br /></i><br />
<b>Sp halveres</b><br />
SV og Sp er i match om fjerdeplassen. Sp ligger an til å bli tett på halvert
sammenlignet med 2019-valget. De nasjonale kommunemålingene, som en stund har
avviket fra de lokale målingene og antydet et Sp rundt tosifret, har justert
seg ned og er nå mer i pakt med lokale målinger. SV ser 7-tallet, men virker
ikke å kunne greie å løfte seg videre derfra.<br />
<br />
V tikker fortsatt oppover og virker nå å ha 5-tallet inne. Det blir trolig for
langt opp til 6, men med en solid sluttspurt, bør de kunne nå medio 5. Også MDG
har vist enkelte sprekere tegn, men ligger fremdeles langt under sitt veldig
gode 2019-nivå. <br />
<br />
KrF og R er i kamp om sjuendeplassen – med KrF et lite hakk foran. Rødts tall
spriker en del. INPs frammarsj kan ha stagnert, det er i alle fall noen tegn i
de siste målingene på at de har nådd sitt mobiliseringspotensial i denne
omgang. <br />
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -37.15pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-table-layout-alt: fixed; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184; width: 699px;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.25pt;" valign="top" width="132">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Kommune<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">INP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">PP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10pt;">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.25pt;" valign="top" width="132">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">8.
sept 2023<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">7,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">20,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">7,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10pt;">4,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">5,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">26,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">11,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">1,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10pt;">4,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.25pt;" valign="top" width="132">
<p align="center" class="MsoListParagraph" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; mso-add-space: auto; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; text-align: center; text-indent: -18pt;"><!--[if !supportLists]--><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman";">1.<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-feature-settings: normal; font-kerning: auto; font-optical-sizing: auto; font-size: 7pt; font-stretch: normal; font-variant-alternates: normal; font-variant-east-asian: normal; font-variant-numeric: normal; font-variation-settings: normal; line-height: normal;">
</span></span><!--[endif]--><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">sept
2023<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">7,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">20,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">7,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10pt;">4,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">5,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">27,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">11,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">1,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10pt;">3,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.25pt;" valign="top" width="132">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">25.
aug 2023<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">7,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">20,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif";">7,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">5,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif";">28,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">11,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">2,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">1,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">3,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.25pt;" valign="top" width="132">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">18.
aug 2023<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">7,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">20,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif";">7,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">5,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif";">27,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">11,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">2,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">1,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">3,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.25pt;" valign="top" width="132">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">11.
aug 2023<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">7,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">20,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif";">7,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif";">29,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">10,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">2,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">1,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">3,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.25pt;" valign="top" width="132">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4.
aug 2023<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">7,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">20,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif";">7,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif";">29,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">10,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">2,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">1,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">3,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.25pt;" valign="top" width="132">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg 2019<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">6,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">24,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif";">14,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">6,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif";">20,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">8,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: white; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">1,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.5pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">7,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br /> </p>
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">H, Frp, V, SV og INP
ligger an til å bli valgvinnerne. Ap, Sp og MDG taperne. Dette kommer
også til å prege valgutfallene i kommuner og fylker. Maktforskyvningen vil gå i
blå retning, spørsmålet er hvor sterkt. <br />
<br /><br /><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">1,3 millioner har
allerede stemt. Det er 4,35 millioner stemmeberettigede i år. Antar vi at
valgdeltakelsen vil ligge på ca. samme nivå som sist (65 prosent), så har
dermed 46 prosent av velgerne stemt. Den høye andelen forhåndsstemmer må tas
med i prognosene. For den bidrar til å dempe eventuelle velgerbevegelser i
denne siste helgen. Partier som lykkes godt med sluttmobiliseringen, vil ikke
få mer enn halv effekt av oppsvinget siden halvparten allerede har stemt. Og
partier som har motvind de siste dagene, kan sette sin lit til at flere har
forhåndsstemt på dem. Slik sett er økende forhåndsstemmegivning med på å dempe velgerbevegelsene.
Det kan gagne Høyre som har hatt en noe nedadgående kurve gjennom valgkampen. <br />
<br />
Jeg legger inn dette forholdet i mine prognoser. Sammen med den infoen som nå
er tilgjengelig av lokale målinger, nasjonal tendens og valghistorikk, har jeg
utarbeidet nye tall for Oslo, Bergen, Trondheim og Stavanger. Disse er ikke
ment som noen «fasit» på hvordan det kommer til å gå mandag kveld, men kan
forhåpentligvis gi oss en vel så god pekepinn på ståa som enkeltmålingene.<b> <br />
</b><br />
<b>Knapt borgerlig flertall i Oslo<br />
</b>Mine tall viser nå 30 mandater til H+Frp+V+KrF og dermed borgerlig flertall
i Oslo. Slår dette til på valgnatten, så heter Oslos neste byrådsleder Eirik
Lae Solberg (H). Men marginene ser tynne ut, Ap er svært nær å plukke et mandat
fra H. INP ligger inne med ett mandat på denne beregningen, men dette er da
ikke på vippen. Skulle rødgrønn side klarer å hente ett mandat fra de
borgerlige, så kan det bli 29-29 og INP på vippen. <b><br />
<o:p></o:p></b></span></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -15.9pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184; width: 595px;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 66.15pt;" valign="top" width="88">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b>Oslo<o:p></o:p></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.15pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b>R<o:p></o:p></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.95pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b>SV<o:p></o:p></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.2pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b>Ap<o:p></o:p></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.4pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b>MDG<o:p></o:p></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.55pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b>Sp<o:p></o:p></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b>INP<o:p></o:p></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.8pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b>KrF<o:p></o:p></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.5pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b>V<o:p></o:p></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.85pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b>H<o:p></o:p></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.25pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b>Frp<o:p></o:p></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.5pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b>A<o:p></o:p></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 66.15pt;" valign="top" width="88">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">Prognose<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.15pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">6,8<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.95pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">11,1<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.2pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">17,7<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.4pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">11,0<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.55pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">1,1<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">1,3<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.8pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">1,8<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.5pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">10,1<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.85pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">32,0<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.25pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">6,3<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.5pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">1,0<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 66.15pt;" valign="top" width="88">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">Endring v19<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.15pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">-0,4<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.95pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">+2,0<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.2pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">-2,3<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.4pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">-4,2<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.55pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">-1,1<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">+1,3<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.8pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">+0,1<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.5pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">+4,3<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.85pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">6,6<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.25pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">+1,0<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.5pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">-6,3<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 66.15pt;" valign="top" width="88">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">Mandater<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.15pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">4<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.95pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">7<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.2pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">10<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.4pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">7<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.55pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">1<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.8pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">1<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.5pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">6<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.85pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">19<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.25pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">4<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.5pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 66.15pt;" valign="top" width="88">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">Endring<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.15pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.95pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">+1<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.2pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">-2<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.4pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">-2<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.55pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">-1<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">+1<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.8pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><o:p> </o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.5pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">+2<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.85pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">+4<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.25pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">+1<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.5pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">-4<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><o:p> </o:p></span><b style="font-size: 13pt;">Meyer ett mandat unna drømmen</b></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">Christine Meyer (H) har en drøm om å samle H, Frp, KrF og V i et samarbeid
som skal velte det sittende Ap-styret i Bergen. Hun er ett mandat unna flertall
for å kunne realisere den drømmen, i følge min beregning. Gitt da at V faktisk
bytter side, de sitter jo i byråd med Ap der pr. i dag. Får vi et slikt utfall
på valgkvelden, så vil det bety at hun kan måtte hente inn ytterligere en
samarbeidspartner. Det kan være Bergenslisten, INP, Sp eller PP, men ingen av
dem er vel i nærheten av å inngå i en slik drøm. <br />
<br />
I en situasjon der H virker å bli det klart største partiet, og med stor framgang
i ryggen, mens Ap er distansert med om lag ti prosentpoeng, tror jeg fortsatt
at det mest sannsynlige er at Bergen blir H-ledet etter valget. Men det kan
fort bli meget krevende ettervalgsforhandlinger. <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><b><o:p></o:p></b></span></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -30.05pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184; width: 675px;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 75.55pt;" valign="top" width="101">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Bergen<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 29.35pt;" valign="top" width="39">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.35pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.5pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 36.5pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">INP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 31.95pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">BL<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 31.95pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">PP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.5pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.1pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.05pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">A<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 75.55pt;" valign="top" width="101">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Prognose<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 29.35pt;" valign="top" width="39">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.35pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">10,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.5pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">17,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 36.5pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">2,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 31.95pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 31.95pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">1,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.5pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">27,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.1pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">9,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.05pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 75.55pt;" valign="top" width="101">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Endring
v19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 29.35pt;" valign="top" width="39">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;">-0,1<o:p></o:p></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.35pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.5pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-2,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 36.5pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-3,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-2,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+2,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+3,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 31.95pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+2,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 31.95pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.5pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+0,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+7,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.1pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+4,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.05pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-15,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 75.55pt;" valign="top" width="101">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Mandater<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 29.35pt;" valign="top" width="39">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.35pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.5pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">12<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 36.5pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 31.95pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 31.95pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.5pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">20<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.1pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.05pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 75.55pt;" valign="top" width="101">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Endring<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 29.35pt;" valign="top" width="39">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.35pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.5pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 36.5pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 31.95pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 31.95pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.5pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.1pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.05pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-12<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><o:p> </o:p></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Ap kan holde Trondheim<br />
</span></b><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">Trondheim
blir jevnere enn på mange år. Men selv om H ligger an til å bli størst, så
virker det for meg som Emil Raaen (Ap) har flere veier til ordførermakt enn
Kent Ranum (H). Derfor er mitt tips fortsatt at Trondheim forblir rød, basert
på prognosene nedenfor.<br />
<b><br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></b></span></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -22.95pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184; width: 650px;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 73.1pt;" valign="top" width="97">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Trondheim<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 31.8pt;" valign="top" width="42">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.8pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 36.5pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.8pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.8pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">INP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.05pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">PP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.3pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.3pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.75pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.95pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.2pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">A<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 73.1pt;" valign="top" width="97">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Prognose<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 31.8pt;" valign="top" width="42">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.8pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">12,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">22,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 36.5pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">7,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.8pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">2,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.8pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">2,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.05pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.3pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">2,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.3pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">6,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.75pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">26,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.95pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">5,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.2pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">2,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 73.1pt;" valign="top" width="97">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Endring
v19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 31.8pt;" valign="top" width="42">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-0,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.8pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+0,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-2,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 36.5pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-3,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.8pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-4,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.8pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+2,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.05pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-0,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.3pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.3pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.75pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+5,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.95pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+0,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.2pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 73.1pt;" valign="top" width="97">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Mandater<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 31.8pt;" valign="top" width="42">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.8pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">16<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 36.5pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.8pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.8pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.05pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.3pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.3pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.75pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">18<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.95pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.2pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 73.1pt;" valign="top" width="97">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Endring<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 31.8pt;" valign="top" width="42">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.8pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 36.5pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.8pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.8pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.05pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.3pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.3pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.75pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.95pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.2pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><br /><br /></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">«Kari-effekten»
redder neppe Ap-makten i Stavanger<br />
</span></b><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">God
popularitet for ordfører Kari Nesse Nordtun, kombinert med forslaget om gratis
buss, har sendt Stavanger Ap fram gjennom valgkampen. En del av framgangen
virker dog noe skjør fordi den er tuftet på velgere som satt hjemme sist. I
hvilken grad disse faktisk vil stemme på mandag, gjenstår å se. Aps mulige
framgang kan gå på bekostning av samarbeidspartnerne til venstre, samt Sp, noe
som medfører problemer mht. til å forsvare makten. <br />
<br />
Også min prognose gir Ap et lite pluss, men ikke så mye som den siste lokalmålingen
der viser. Mine tall viser derimot at H ligger an til å bli størst. Sammen med
de antatte samarbeidspartnerne Frp, V og KrF, har de 34 mandater inne. Det er akkurat
nok til å etablere flertall. PP og INP kan være mulige «støttealternativer»
hvis Sissel Knutsen Hegdal (H) og co skulle mangle ett mandat. <br />
<br />
Stavanger har tetnet til, men Knutsen er fremdeles grei favoritt – slik jeg
leser tall og landskap i oljebyen. <br />
<b><br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></b></span></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -22.95pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184; width: 650px;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 73.05pt;" valign="top" width="97">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Stavanger<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.85pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.1pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.4pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.3pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.95pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">INP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.35pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">PP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.35pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.8pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.15pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.35pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 12pt;">A<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 73.05pt;" valign="top" width="97">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Prognose<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">5,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.85pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">5,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.1pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">27,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.4pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.3pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">1,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.95pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.35pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">1,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.35pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">4,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.8pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">30,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.15pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">10,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.35pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">1,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 73.05pt;" valign="top" width="97">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Endring v19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-0,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.85pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+0,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.1pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.4pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-1,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.3pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-3,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.95pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+3,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.35pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+0,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.35pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.8pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+7,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.15pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.35pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-9,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 73.05pt;" valign="top" width="97">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Mandater<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.85pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> 3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.1pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.4pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.3pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.95pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.35pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.35pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.8pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">21<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.15pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.35pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 73.05pt;" valign="top" width="97">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">Endring<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> -1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.85pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.1pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.4pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.3pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.95pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.35pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.35pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.8pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.15pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.35pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">-3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
<br />
Rysare på gang i Lillestrøm og Fredrikstad</span></b><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"> <br />
Når det gjelder de øvrige kommunene på «topp 10», så er Asker og Bærum klink
blå. <br />
<br />
I Kristiansand virker det klart mest sannsynlig at Mathias Bernander og Høyre
overtar styringen. Men han må holde seg inne med KrF. <br />
<br />
Drammen har tetnet til, men indikatorene peker fremdeles i retning av et
maktskifte med Kjell Arne Hermansen (H) som ny ordfører. <br />
<br />
Lillestrøm og Fredrikstad kan bli «rysare» der lite trenger å være avklart på
valgkveden, og vi må vente i spenning på ettervalgsforhandlingene. Setter en
minimal knapp på blå ordfører i Lillestrøm og rød i Fredrikstad, men begge
virker vidåpne. <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="Tabellrutenett1" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184; width: 603px;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="background: white; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.65pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Innb<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 192.55pt;" valign="top" width="257">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 14pt;">2019 – 2023<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 219.75pt;" valign="top" width="293">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Prognose 2023-27<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="background: white; border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.65pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: red; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 192.55pt;" valign="top" width="257">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Oslo<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: rgb(0, 176, 240); border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 219.75pt;" valign="top" width="293">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Oslo<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="background: white; border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.65pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: red; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 192.55pt;" valign="top" width="257">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Bergen<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: rgb(0, 176, 240); border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 219.75pt;" valign="top" width="293">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Bergen<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="background: white; border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.65pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: red; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 192.55pt;" valign="top" width="257">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Trondheim<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: red; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 219.75pt;" valign="top" width="293">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Trondheim<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="background: white; border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.65pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: red; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 192.55pt;" valign="top" width="257">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Stavanger<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: rgb(0, 176, 240); border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 219.75pt;" valign="top" width="293">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Stavanger<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="background: white; border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.65pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: rgb(0, 176, 240); border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 192.55pt;" valign="top" width="257">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Bærum<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: rgb(0, 176, 240); border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 219.75pt;" valign="top" width="293">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Bærum<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="background: white; border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.65pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: red; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 192.55pt;" valign="top" width="257">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Kristiansand<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: rgb(0, 176, 240); border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 219.75pt;" valign="top" width="293">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Kristiansand<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="background: white; border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.65pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: red; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 192.55pt;" valign="top" width="257">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Drammen<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: rgb(0, 176, 240); border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 219.75pt;" valign="top" width="293">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Drammen<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="background: white; border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.65pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: rgb(0, 176, 240); border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 192.55pt;" valign="top" width="257">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Asker<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: rgb(0, 176, 240); border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 219.75pt;" valign="top" width="293">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Asker<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="background: white; border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.65pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: red; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 192.55pt;" valign="top" width="257">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Lillestrøm<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: rgb(0, 176, 240); border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 219.75pt;" valign="top" width="293">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Lillestrøm<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="background: white; border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-background-themecolor: background1; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.65pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">10<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: red; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 192.55pt;" valign="top" width="257">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Fredrikstad<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="background: red; border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 219.75pt;" valign="top" width="293">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 14pt;">Fredrikstad<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><o:p> </o:p></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><o:p> </o:p></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
I sjiktet mellom blå seier 10-0 og uavgjort 5-5<br />
</span></b><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">8
av 10 storkommuner kan bli blå, i følge mine tall og vurderinger nå. I så fall
vil det innebære en nøyaktig omvendt situasjon av inneværende periode der 8 av
10 er røde. <br />
Med stang inn kan H hente Trondheim og Fredrikstad også og gjøre rent bord
10-0.<br />
<br />
Ap har realistiske muligheter i Lillestrøm, Oslo og Bergen, i tillegg til
Trondheim og Fredrikstad og kan da i beste fall håpe på 5-5. <br />
<br />
Den blå maktforskyvningen i storkommunene kommer, men kraften i den er
spenningsmomentet – sånn dagen før dagen. <br /><br /><br /><br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-size: 16px;">Du har lest et utdrag av mitt analysebrev nr 38 i 2023. Ønsker du å sjekke mine vurderinger av hvordan det vil gå i de øvrige 90 av våre 100 mest folkerike kommuner, så kan du abonnere ved å Vippse 500 kr (12 mnd) til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>".</i><br /><br /></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><o:p> </o:p></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"><o:p> </o:p></span></b></p>
<br />
<br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--></span>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-36498477647891685662023-04-14T14:35:00.002+02:002023-04-14T14:35:48.863+02:00Tar nasjonale kommunemålinger feil?<p><b><span style="font-size: medium;"> Sps nasjonale kommunenivå er ikke 11 prosent. </span></b><br /><br /><br /><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;"><span style="font-size: 13pt;">Rett før mange av oss gikk ut i påskeferie i forrige
uke, kom det et </span></span><a href="http://www.pollofpolls.no/?cmd=Maling&gallupid=4828" style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;">oppsiktsvekkende tall</a><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 13pt;"> fra målebyrået Norstat. De hadde utført
en nasjonal kommunemåling, på oppdrag for NRK og Aftenposten, som viste at Senterpartiet
fikk hele 10,7 prosent. Det ble umiddelbart fullt kok blant Sp-folkene i Face-feeden
min. For er virkelig Sp nå plutselig på full fart opp i mot jubelvalget i 2019?
Peker Sp rett og slett nese til alle som har trodd at velgerne deres har
flyktet i hopetall det siste året?</span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">
<i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-size: 16px;">Du leser nå mitt analysebrev nr 13 i 2023. Du sikrer deg tilgang til alle mine hovedanalyser i hele 2023 ved å Vippse 500 kr til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>".</i><br /><br />
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">- Råtallet er 9,6</b><br />
Eller skyldes det sterke barometertallet en voldsom oppvekting av Sp?<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br />
Jeg kontakter NRKs politiske kommentator Lars Nehru Sand for å få svar. <br />
- Hva er Sps råtall i kommuneundersøkelsen, spør jeg?<br />
- La meg sjekke. Jo, det er 9,6, svarer han.<br />
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Sp er altså vektet opp fra 9,6 til et
barometertall på 10,7. Ett drøyt prosentpoeng oppvekting altså. Det er en del,
men forklarer likevel ikke hvorfor Sp-nivået er så oppsiktsvekkende høyt. <br />
<br />
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">Kommune-Sp dobbelt så stort som
Stortings-Sp?</b><br />
- Hva er råtallet i stortingsundersøkelsen da, spør jeg videre.<br />
- 5,2, opplyser han. <br />
Råtallet på 5,2 er vektet opp til 5,7 på stortingsbarometeret. Men uansett; kommune-Sp
er altså omtrent dobbelt så stort som stortings-Sp på denne målingen. Dobbelt! <br />
<br />
Differansen er så enorm at den ikke er til å fatte. Riktignok er det grunn til
å tro at regjeringsmisnøyen slår sterkere ut på stortingsnivå enn kommunenivå.
Slik jeg flere ganger har påpekt også i disse brevene. Men forskjellen kan
umulig være så ekstrem? <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br />
<br />
Jeg klarer ikke legge fra meg undringen. Selv om jeg strengt tatt har
påskeferie. Og går igjennom Sps nivå på alle nasjonale kommunemålinger til nå i
år. Tall-rekken viser 9,2 (Norstat 3. januar). 9,1 (Kantar 11. januar). 8,1
(Norstat 2. februar). 10,2 (Kantar 7. februar). 9,1 (Norstat 1. mars). 9,0
(Kantar 7. mars). 8,6 (Norstat 21. mars). 10,7 (Norstat 31. mars).<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>8,3 (Kantar 4. april). <br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Norstat sin 31. mars-måling er altså Sps høyeste nasjonale
av alle. Men snittet viser likevel hele 9,1. Skyhøyt over partiets stortingssnitt
som viser under 6 prosent i samme periode. Og enda rarere: Skyhøyt over hva de
lokale kommunemålingene viser. <br />
<br />
I følge PollofPolls.no indikerer de siste lokale kommunemålingene et Sp-nivå på
kun seks prosent. Så her er det noe som ikke stemmer. Min egen modell, som også
inkluderer nasjonale målinger og valghistorikk, gir for øvrig Sp drøyt 7, slik
det framgår av tabellen under.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<!--[endif]--></span><o:p></o:p></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -22.95pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-table-layout-alt: fixed; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184; width: 662px;">
<tbody><tr style="mso-yfti-firstrow: yes; mso-yfti-irow: 0;">
<td style="border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3.0cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #00b050; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-themecolor: text1;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">INP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">ND<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 1;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3.0cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Norstat 31.03<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">23,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #00b050; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">10,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">5,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-themecolor: text1;">27,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 2;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3.0cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Poll of Polls april<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">8,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">19,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #00b050; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">4,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-themecolor: text1;">31,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">10,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 3;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3.0cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Marthinsen april<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">20,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #00b050; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-themecolor: text1;">30,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">11,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 4; mso-yfti-lastrow: yes;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3.0cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Valg 2019<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">24,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #00b050; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">14,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; mso-themecolor: text1;">20,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">8,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">0,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white;"><br />
<br />
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Giersten</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
<span style="color: black; mso-themecolor: text1;">Dette er såpass fascinerende at
her trengs det mer grubling! Samt noen å gruble sammen med. Så jeg tar kontakt
med en av heller få som faktisk er en større tallnerd enn meg selv: Johan
Giertsen. En av hjernene bak det omtalte nettstedet PollofPolls.no <br />
<br />
Jeg kludrer ned en e-post der jeg skriver «S</span></span><span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK; mso-themecolor: text1;">kjønner ikke særlig mye av de nasjonale
kommunemålingene for tiden. Harmonerer jo overhode ikke med de
lokale, spesielt hva gjelder Sp». <br />
<br />
Giertsen svarer raskt: «Helt enig. Kan jeg ringe deg om dette»? <br />
Minutter senere er han på tråden, med sin klingende Bergen-røst, og rett på
sak:<br />
- Enig med ditt «hjertesukk», Svein Tore, dette er rart. </span><span style="color: #1d2228; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK;"><br />
<br />
</span><span style="color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica","sans-serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK;"><br /></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkRZV7nALTcwIEFJZuldpvCAMZsLkCY164yhsi00MfQrZzayQb_JLzBF4XJZszlKOiaiLIbC-aCO2MbuC3X7Ii_G9UOOavS1CSIJStULMY1cS9bbPkvK-upP6226dSCnUMxzxgj3qVKPXC0WIKVk1TvKkSPm1GurU-ahwD24C1rnZAU1y3hUqYOHhA8w/s724/Giertsen.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="662" data-original-width="724" height="586" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkRZV7nALTcwIEFJZuldpvCAMZsLkCY164yhsi00MfQrZzayQb_JLzBF4XJZszlKOiaiLIbC-aCO2MbuC3X7Ii_G9UOOavS1CSIJStULMY1cS9bbPkvK-upP6226dSCnUMxzxgj3qVKPXC0WIKVk1TvKkSPm1GurU-ahwD24C1rnZAU1y3hUqYOHhA8w/w640-h586/Giertsen.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><span style="color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica","sans-serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK;"><br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
</span><span style="color: #1d2228; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK;">Vi går igjennom mulige forklaringer. Og til ære for denne punkt-elskende
jusprofessoren, så tar jeg det i tre punkt:<br />
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br />
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">1. 58 av 60 kommunemålinger viser Sp
under 10,7</b><br />
- </span><span style="background: white; color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Av de 60 kommunene som så langt er målt, er det
bare Bærum og Stad som peker i retning av over 10,7 prosent for Sp, sier Johan.
<br />
- Hm, 58 av 60 lokale kommunemålinger tyder altså på et lavere nivå, supplerer
jeg. Da er det jo svært mye velgerdata som indikerer noe helt annet her. Og vi
står da nesten igjen med en undring om vi bør tro på de ni nasjonale målingene eller
de 58 lokale</span><span style="background: white; color: black; font-family: "Helvetica","sans-serif"; font-size: 15.0pt; line-height: 115%;">.<br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span><p></p>
<span style="background: white; color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Johan sender meg en oversikt (se nedenfor) over de 20 aller siste
lokalmålingene, som alle er utført i år. Hans samarbeidspartner, Jon Aabye, har
gjort beregninger som viser at Sps landstendens i snitt ligger på 6,1 prosent
med utgangpunkt i disse målingene. <br />
<br />
Flere av målingene er fæl lesning for Sp, med Færder som det aller svarteste.
Men også Trondheim, Fitjar, Bergen, Austvoll og Tønsberg har så svake Sp-tall at
de tyder på at partiet ligger under 5 prosent nasjonalt. Samtidig som det også
finnes noen løfterike målinger for Sp lokalt med Frogn, Ringsaker, Sandnes og
Hamar i front. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br />
</span><span style="background: white; color: black; font-family: "Helvetica","sans-serif"; font-size: 15.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEil8s7uGWBpg7BlGq6rhDnGhRiM8_6CDMRZqMsvo0gtIJpQtq56bCSBIOjnIqn70x5npPy7B3VxvbB5ONrPQTYr_XtRtz62Eb9YXQ0qvtmtZBgNXHYpEILuCozXWONullyBHBbzOWbkR_ZmNZATCe3WFPvEvZutOaPNcJQncZNGL8m8Fv0D2CSvPluO9w/s688/Sp-niv%C3%A5.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="620" data-original-width="688" height="576" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEil8s7uGWBpg7BlGq6rhDnGhRiM8_6CDMRZqMsvo0gtIJpQtq56bCSBIOjnIqn70x5npPy7B3VxvbB5ONrPQTYr_XtRtz62Eb9YXQ0qvtmtZBgNXHYpEILuCozXWONullyBHBbzOWbkR_ZmNZATCe3WFPvEvZutOaPNcJQncZNGL8m8Fv0D2CSvPluO9w/w640-h576/Sp-niv%C3%A5.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /></span></span><span style="background: white; color: black; font-family: "Helvetica","sans-serif"; font-size: 15.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span style="color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica","sans-serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK;"><br />
</span><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="color: #1d2228; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK;">2. Sps beste (utkant)kommuner er lite målt</span></b><span style="color: #1d2228; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK;"><br />
- Det er mulig at PollofPolls sin modell undervurderer det faktum at Sps beste
kommuner er lite målt, og at partiet klarer seg bedre her, bemerker Giertsen.
Men aldri så mye bedre enn at det nasjonale nivået kan være 9-11 prosent! <br />
- Enig, Johan. Nasjonale trender pleier slå igjennom stort sett overalt, selv
om det ofte er lokale variasjoner i vindstyrken. Jeg er heller ikke i nærheten
av å se hvordan partiet kan ha tosifret inne nå, selv om min beregning ligger
litt høyere enn PoP; på 7 prosent. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br />
<br />
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">3. Metodesvakhet</b><br />
- Kan det være en metode-svakhet innbakt i de nasjonale kommunemålingene at
velgerne først spørres om stortingsvalg, for deretter å bli konfrontert med hva
som er deres kommunepreferanse, undrer Johan? Dette er jo et kunstig scenario. <br />
- Det er mulig, svarer jeg, stortingsvalg og kommunevalg avholdes aldri på
likt. Kan det tenkes at noen velgere «straffer» regjeringen litt ekstra ved
først å oppgi sin reelle partipreferanse ved spørsmålet om stortingsvalget, for
deretter å svare Ap eller Sp ved kommune for å synliggjøre sin nasjonale misnøye?
<br />
<br />
På den annen side, dette blir å spekulere da man i hovedsak bør forutsette at
alle respondenter svarer reelt på alle spørsmål. Men velgerne har jo aldri mulighet
til å dele stemmen sin slik mellom Storting og kommune. Så kanskje gir de
lokale målingene der det kun spørres om kommune bedre uttrykk for de reelle preferansene.
<br />
<br />
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">Ap ligger også høyere på nasjonale
kommunemålinger</b><br />
For å fullføre dette resonnementet, sjekker jeg også Aps nivå på de nasjonale
kommunemålingene. Har hypotesen noe for seg, så bør jo også Ap ligge godt over
det lokalmålinger viser. Det viser seg å slå til; Ap ligger klart over. Alle ni
nasjonale kommunemålinger har Ap mellom 20 og 24 prosent. Snittet viser 22,1.
Godt over både PollofPolls sitt estimat som gir Ap 19,9 og godt over mitt Ap-tall
på 20,2. Vi ser altså den samme tendensen som for Sp, dog ikke like sterk. <br />
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><br />
Lokale kommunemålinger er nærmest sannheten?</b><br />
Vi gir oss der, Johan og jeg, og konkluderer med at det er bemerkelsesverdig at
de nasjonale kommunemålingene i år generelt avviker så markant fra de lokale
kommunemålingene. Og både de nasjonale og lokale kan ikke ha rett, til det
avviker de for mye. Vi heller derfor til at summen av de lokale målingene er
nærmere faktisk opinionsbilde enn de nasjonale. Dels fordi de er langt flere,
mens også fordi det kan være en innbakt metodisk svakhet i nasjonale
kommunemålinger som svekker dem. <br />
<br />
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>- Fint å høre stemmen din, stå på med dine
greier, jeg leser analysebrevene dine med stor interesse, avrunder Johan. <br />
- I lige måde, du og dine samarbeidspartnere gjør en formiddabel jobb som
kommer alle oss valg- og velgerinteresserte til gode, repliserer jeg. <br />
Vi imøteser de kommende målingene med stor interesse. Både nasjonale og lokale.<br />
<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><br /><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--></i><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-size: 16px;">Du har lest mitt analysebrev nr 13 i 2023. Du sikrer deg tilgang til alle mine hovedanalyser i hele 2023 ved å Vippse 500 kr til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>".</i><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<!--[endif]--></i></span>
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<hr align="left" size="1" width="33%" />
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<div id="ftn1" style="mso-element: footnote;">
<p class="MsoFootnoteText"><a href="file:///C:/Users/Svein%20Tore/OneDrive/Dokumenter/Analyse13.2023Giertsen.docx#_ftnref1" name="_ftn1" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn1;" title=""><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote;"><!--[if !supportFootnotes]--><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">[1]</span></span><!--[endif]--></span></span></a>
Råtallet er den andel respondenter som faktisk har svart partiet i
undersøkelsen. Før tallet vektes. <o:p></o:p></p>
</div>
</div>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-24317794097666563222023-03-25T16:46:00.004+01:002023-03-25T16:46:35.204+01:00Høyres store sjanse<p><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Høyre har en enorm mulighet
for å overta makten i en rekke kommuner og fylker etter høstens valg. Kommer partiet
til å gripe den?<br /><br /></span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Høyre avholder landsmøte denne helgen. Vårt nest
eldste parti virker å være i utmerket forfatning nå. Gjennomsnittet av
mars-målingene, gjengitt i tabellen nedenfor, viser at et stortingsvalg i dag
ville gitt partiet over 32 prosent. Faktisk over det partiet oppnådde ved
stortingsvalget i 1981 – etterkrigshistoriens aller beste valg for H. <br /><br />
<i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-size: 16px;">Du leser nå et utdrag av mitt analysebrev nr 11 i 2023. Du sikrer deg tilgang til alle mine hovedanalyser i hele 2023 ved å Vippse 500 kr til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>".</i><br /><br /><br />
Kommune- og fylkestingsnivået viser rundt 30 prosent, her må vi tilbake til
1979 for å finne noe tilsvarende. H har altså i øyeblikket inne en oppslutning
med historisk sus over seg. <br /><br /><br /></span><o:p></o:p></p><table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -22.95pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-table-layout-alt: fixed; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184; width: 662px;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3.0cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="color: #00b0f0; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">INP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">ND<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3.0cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Storting mars 23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">9,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">17,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">3,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #00b0f0; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">32,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">12,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3.0cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Fylke mars 23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">19,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #00b0f0; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">30,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">13,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3.0cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Kommune mars23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">20,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #00b0f0; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">29,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">11,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3.0cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Valg 2019<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">24,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">14,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #00b0f0; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">20,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">8,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">0,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 3.0cm;" valign="top" width="113">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Differanse<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">+1,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 9.0pt;">+1,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">-4,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">-7,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">-2,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">-0,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 9.0pt;">+0,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #00b0f0; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">+9,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">+2,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 1.0cm;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 9.0pt;">+0,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">-4,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table><p>
<span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 11.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
<br />
</span><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Økende sakseierskap</span></b><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 11.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Høyre kan selv ta
deler av æren for partiets meget sterke posisjon for tiden. </span><span style="color: #1d2228; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK;">Partiets tillit og troverdighet
i mange saker er økende blant velgerne. Politisk profiterer man på økt
etterspørsel blant velgerne etter økonomi og trygg styring i en tid der
utrygghet og økende renter og priser preger agendaen. <br />
<br />
Partiet har også et sterkt lag av politikere på riksplan. Man gikk inn i en
konstruktiv rolle som opposisjonsparti med en gang valgnederlaget i 2021 var et
faktum. Lokalt har man en noe lenger vei å gå mht. å bygge opp profiler siden
man har få ordførere. <br />
<br />
<b>Regjeringen serverer H velgere</b><br />
Men Høyre får også mye servert. Ikke minst bidrar den sterke misnøyen med
regjeringen til Høyres store vekst. Ca. 100 000 velgere har netto gått fra Ap
til H og 50 000 fra Sp til Høyre siden 2021-valget, i følge
bakgrunnstallene fra målingene i mars. Høyre henter også tusenvis av velgere
fra andre partier på borgerlig side, særlig V og Frp. Frp er ikke en like sterk
velgerkonkurrent som de var. I tillegg mobiliserer Høyre meget godt blant de
som ikke stemte sist. Og på toppen av det hele har partiet en ekstrem høy
lojalitet blant sine egne velgere. I sum gir dette en velgermatrise som vil gi
et brakvalg i høst hvis den holder hele veien inn. <br /><br /><br /><br /></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHUT5a0x-b0FmpIja3OCFh1f8bJ2zmYHlg2EpoQgzJP56aWO4ft__8k53hMNLIKCT8FUTzfAoWZRaZ2VLEyZpFsMY1TrQxuPjkF3snUQzLwTnYEbPC6_a4djPsObA88M796WT5hj98B6Pbemop6LN4B01MDWvPjMPjAPjY0hM-8FOrvsylMRdKSpmNQg/s662/H%C3%B8yreB%C3%B8lge.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="649" data-original-width="662" height="628" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiHUT5a0x-b0FmpIja3OCFh1f8bJ2zmYHlg2EpoQgzJP56aWO4ft__8k53hMNLIKCT8FUTzfAoWZRaZ2VLEyZpFsMY1TrQxuPjkF3snUQzLwTnYEbPC6_a4djPsObA88M796WT5hj98B6Pbemop6LN4B01MDWvPjMPjAPjY0hM-8FOrvsylMRdKSpmNQg/w640-h628/H%C3%B8yreB%C3%B8lge.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><span style="font-size: x-small;"> Tegning: Egil Nyhus </span><p></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm;"><b><span style="color: #1d2228; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK;"><br />8 H-styrte fylker?<br />
</span></b><span style="color: #1d2228; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK;">Min gjennomgang av fylkene, som baserer seg på en kombinasjon av
nasjonale og lokale fylkestingstall, samt valghistorikk og info om
samarbeidsmønstre, viser at H er i posisjon til å kunne få ledervervene i både
Østfold, Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold, Agder, Rogaland, Hordaland og Møre og
Romsdal etter høstens fylkestingsvalg. Også i Trøndelag, Nordland og Troms er
det reelle muligheter. <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><i></i></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><i><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgWGOyT6thj_hugxMvJWfIDJOWFt-9c9gFK8TLkRR8NhO0jjRdXTMBNuO7E4k5FTqPFTvNSi5PqazlvzQ__EUnPiCvo_Iq0AXzPV2Z_EB6Z7NoStoobOpzejZiM4esbtophKzfE60RUTyQeqFdSlwrSo6lhezR0Tzg_POVYsiyXoMZRvnIrL5JNp7PgZg/s671/Fylke2023.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="333" data-original-width="671" height="318" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgWGOyT6thj_hugxMvJWfIDJOWFt-9c9gFK8TLkRR8NhO0jjRdXTMBNuO7E4k5FTqPFTvNSi5PqazlvzQ__EUnPiCvo_Iq0AXzPV2Z_EB6Z7NoStoobOpzejZiM4esbtophKzfE60RUTyQeqFdSlwrSo6lhezR0Tzg_POVYsiyXoMZRvnIrL5JNp7PgZg/w640-h318/Fylke2023.jpg" width="640" /></a></i></div><i><br /></i><i><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
</span></i><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
<br />
</span></b><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Høyre kan ta alle de ti
største kommunene</span></b><i><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
</span></i><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">For
første gang i år holder jeg nå også Høyre som (svært knepne) favoritter til å
erobre hovedstaden etter en opposisjonell ørkenvandring der i åtte år. Bergen
er også klart innenfor rekkevidde. Trondheim blir nok verre å ta, men heller
ikke der er avstanden opp til de rødgrønne avskrekkende stor nå. <br />
<br />
Også i Stavanger, Drammen og Kristiansand ligger det an til maktovertakelse i
Hs retning. Høyre ser ut til å forsvare Asker og Bærum enkelt. Mens det er helt
åpent i Lillestrøm og Fredrikstad. Hvilket totalt sett betyr at vi begynner å
nærme oss et scenario der H, med stang inn, faktisk kan ta alle de ti mest
folkerike kommunene i landet.</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> <br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
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<v:imagedata o:title="" src="file:///C:\Users\SVEINT~1\AppData\Local\Temp\msohtmlclip1\01\clip_image002.png">
</v:imagedata></v:shape><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEik4kYR_OOWzVZAXZeNJpTEYScXWJ2I4m0PiBk_ohP0gyoV7OnCgwVKdZtIOExTgvPQ06rnifuw3YtN7Ilz3xvkBY6Zo0ngmZr75y9jz7bLDo4Ez70qjLOaPW_AxJcUxbLMInFMtkFZAsVFSWH9JP--V4SZEfotdXqF6N5BsvnZd3dMq30iw-l18ofkqQ/s922/Kommuner23.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="223" data-original-width="922" height="154" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEik4kYR_OOWzVZAXZeNJpTEYScXWJ2I4m0PiBk_ohP0gyoV7OnCgwVKdZtIOExTgvPQ06rnifuw3YtN7Ilz3xvkBY6Zo0ngmZr75y9jz7bLDo4Ez70qjLOaPW_AxJcUxbLMInFMtkFZAsVFSWH9JP--V4SZEfotdXqF6N5BsvnZd3dMq30iw-l18ofkqQ/w640-h154/Kommuner23.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
<!--[endif]--><b><o:p></o:p></b></span><p></p><p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></b><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></b><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Favoritter
i 30 kommuner</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">I
de øvrige mest folkerike kommunene på topp-50-listen, holder jeg det som mer
enn 50 prosent sannsynlig at H ender opp med ordføreren i Ålesund, Sandefjord,
Nordre Follo, Tønsberg, Bodø, Moss, Larvik, Arendal, Lørenskog, Øygarden,
Haugesund, Molde, Halden, Ringerike, Gjøvik, Askøy, Alver, Sola, Lier, Færder, Holmestrand,
Nittedal og Grimstad. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p><span style="color: #1d2228; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK;">
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br /><br /><i>Vil du se hele topp50-listen, så sikrer du deg til<span style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-size: 16px;">gang til alle mine hovedanalyser i ett år ved å Vippse 500 kr til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>".</span></i><!--[endif]--></span></p>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-24130384598751207122023-03-03T15:49:00.003+01:002023-03-03T16:23:49.483+01:00Vindmøllene må rives?<div style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; line-height: 115%;">Sameopprøret setter
den politiske agendaen og tvinger regjeringen på banen.</span></b><br /><br /><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;"><br />11.
oktober 2021, rett etter den rødgrønne Stortingsvalgseieren, falt
<a href="https://www.domstol.no/no/hoyesterett/avgjorelser/2021/hoyesterett-sivil/hr-2021-1975-s/">Høyesteretts-dommen </a>om vindmøllene på Fosen. Dommen slo fast at
vindkraftutbyggingen, som staten har brukt 6 mrd. kroner på, er ugyldig fordi
den innebærer en krenkelse av reindriftssamene sin mulighet for å utøve sin
kultur. <br /></span><span style="line-height: 115%;"><br />Høyesterettsdommerne Øie, Skoghøy, Falkanger, Noer, Bull, Kallerud, Bergsjø,
Falch, Berglund, Thyness og Steinsvik kom enstemmig fram til at Norges
vassdrags- og energidirektorat (NVE) sitt vedtak i 2010 om konsesjon og
ekspropriasjonstillatelse, er ugyldig og strider mot FNs artikkel 27 om sivile
og politiske rettigheter. <br /></span></span></span><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;"><br />Du leser nå mitt analysebrev nr 8 i 2023. Du sikrer deg tilgang til alle mine hovedanalyser i hele 2023 ved å Vippse 500 kr til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>".</i><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: inherit;"><span style="line-height: 115%;"><br /><br /></span><span style="line-height: 115%;"><b>Fra seier til skuffelse<br /></b></span><span style="line-height: 115%;">
Dette var en stor seier for reindriftssamene på Fosen som hadde gått til sak mot
utbygger Fosen vind som har Statkraft som største eier. Samene mente at <span style="background: white; color: #061629;">vindkraftanleggene på Storheia og Roan
ødelegger svært viktige beiteområder for rein særlig om vinteren. <br />
<br /></span></span><span style="line-height: 115%;"><span style="background: white; color: #061629;">En seier som har blitt etterfulgt av 500 dager med skuffelse for samene. For dommen
har, fram til nå, fått </span>relativt liten oppmerksomhet. De 150
vindturbinene har hele denne tiden vært i full drift, til tross for at
Høyesterett altså har fastslått at driften bryter med Menneskerettighetene og
er basert på en ugyldig konsesjon. <br /></span><span style="line-height: 115%;"><br /><br /></span><span style="line-height: 115%;"><b>Saken eksploderer<br /></b></span><span style="line-height: 115%;">
Men denne uken har saken eksplodert i offentligheten. Natur og Ungdom og ungdomsutvalget
til Norske samers riksforbund (NSR nuorat) markerte 500-dagen på Eidsvolls
plass foran Stortinget forrige torsdag. 13 aksjonister tok seg deretter inn i
lobbyen i Olje - og Energidepartementet og var der helt fram til de ble båret
ut av politiet natt til mandag. Artisten Ella Marie Hætta Isaksen var blant
disse. <br /></span><span style="line-height: 115%;"><br /></span><span style="line-height: 115%;">
Aksjonene har tiltatt i styrke gjennom denne uken, de har blokkert stadig flere
innganger til departementene og flere og flere mennesker har sluttet seg til.
Deriblant den verdenskjente miljøaktivisten Greta Thunberg. Dette har bidratt
til å øke oppmerksomheten også internasjonalt. Hun opplevde onsdag å bli båret
bort av politiet fra inngangene til både Finansdepartementet og
Miljødepartementet. <br /><br />Riksmediene har sendt direkte fra demonstrasjonene, og det har
blitt avholdt store TV-debatter om temaet. I dag avrundes demonstrasjonene i
denne omgang med en markering ved Slottet ifm. Kongen i statsråd, samt en stormarkering
foran Stortinget. Partenes posisjoner har fram til nå virket fastlåste, men det
har vært bevegelse det siste døgnet. </span></span></span></div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEilJL6p4_WjUFC9FcjdOzVP1YOFZyblYnM0rdWMvyuEVN-4mL8SA4N51i59q-H5vGOQJ-gWUhJMrnGmRW5ANFOLN4tIBXCeBBacofggkVhd3cdryzCTngJ4l8WQGrUzb4UQ90piRbPGjSUY6nLosfLBl3gYygxaiKfIFqCxgEVwxzGQZjYXYJpVivT1vw/s778/Vind.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="720" data-original-width="778" height="592" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEilJL6p4_WjUFC9FcjdOzVP1YOFZyblYnM0rdWMvyuEVN-4mL8SA4N51i59q-H5vGOQJ-gWUhJMrnGmRW5ANFOLN4tIBXCeBBacofggkVhd3cdryzCTngJ4l8WQGrUzb4UQ90piRbPGjSUY6nLosfLBl3gYygxaiKfIFqCxgEVwxzGQZjYXYJpVivT1vw/w640-h592/Vind.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; text-align: left;">Tegning:
Egil Nyhus</span></div><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">
<b><br />
<br /></b></span><p style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><b>
Uforståelig<br /> </b></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">
Regjeringen, med olje- og energiminister Terje Aasland i front, har slitt stort
med å forklare hvorfor tilsynelatende ingen ting er gjort for å etterkomme
dommen. Det virker som man i det lengste har håpet at det skulle være mulig å
finne en slags kompromissløsning der vindmøller, rein og samer kan leve i fred
i fordragelighet side om side. Eller finne noen «avbøtende tiltak» som alle kan
slutte seg til. </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br /></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br /></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">
Det har vært forbløffende vanskelig for minister og regjering å beklage menneskerettsbruddene
overfor reindriftssamene. Med det historiske bakteppet som ligger der med de
urettene som er begått mot samene gjennom generasjoner, så er det tett på uforståelig.</span></p><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">
<br />
</span><p style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><b>Mange sitter med ansvar<br /></b></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">
Saken illustrerer også hvordan hensynet til samfunnets behov for energi og
omlegging til fornybare kilder, kan stå mot hensynet til urfolks rettigheter.
Derfor er det av stor prinsipiell betydning hvordan saken løses. Man har f. eks.
noe av den samme tematikken under oppseiling med elektrifiseringen av
Melkøya-anlegget i Finnmark. Rundt en tredel av Norge er mulige områder for
reinbeite, dette kan bli kime til mange konflikter framover ved nye utbygginger.<br />
</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
</span></p><p style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Både SV, R, V, MDG, KrF, INP og PP har vært ute med klar støtte til vår tids
Alta-aksjon. Mens H og Frp sitter nokså stille i båten. Kanskje ikke så rart
all den tid dette er en sak som strekker seg tilbake helt til 2006 da <span style="background: white; color: #061629;">Statkraft meldte sin interesse for
utbygging av anlegg på Fosen. Mange regjeringer, også blå, </span>har derfor vært
inne i bildet. Og mange sitter dermed med det politiske ansvaret. </span></p><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">
<br />
<b>«Vente og se»</b><br />
Det er likevel slik at det er de sittende styrende som må håndtere saken. Foreløpig
føyer regjeringens avventende håndtering seg inn i et mønster der det
etterlatte inntrykket hos mange velgere er at regjeringen «venter og ser». <br />
<br />
Dette er uheldig for både Ap og Sp og en viktig forklaring på hvorfor oppslutningen
om begge har rast. Derfor er det viktig for dem å vise mer handlekraft. <br />
<br />
<b>Beklagelsen<br />
</b>Gårsdagens møte mellom sametingspresident Silje Karine Muotka, Aasland og
landbruksminister Sandra Borch (Sp) munnet bl.a. ut i at regjeringen omsider ga
sin beklagelse til reineierne. Det var helt avgjørende for å komme videre i
saken. Borch innrømmet nokså klart at det pågår et menneskerettighetsbrudd,
Aasland formulerte seg vagere. Også statsminister Støre hadde et møte i går med
demonstrantene og frokost med Fosen-samene i dag, der han gjentok beklagelsen. Det har sittet svært langt inneogså for ham å kalle det et pågående menneskerettighetsbrudd,
men han gikk lenger i den innrømmelsen i dag.
<br />
<br />
Når det gjelder selve løsningen, så virker det som man fortsatt håper at rein
og vindmøller kan leve side om side på Fosen. Det settes nå i verk en utredning
som skal se på konkrete løsninger. Jeg har vanskelig for å se at utfallet kan
bli noe særlig annet enn at vindmøllene, helt eller delvis, må rives. Fordi reinsamene
har en klar Høyesterettsdom i ryggen som det må tas hensyn til.<br />
<br />
Så gjenstår det å se hvor lang tid det tar før man kommer til denne
konklusjonen. Søksmål fra Fosen Vind, som har trodd at de helt legitimt kunne
sette opp anlegget, kan komme i kjølvannet, men det er nok en kamp som
regjeringen heller må ta framfor å legge seg ut med både FN, menneskerettigheter,
samer, miljøforkjempere og Høyesterett.
</span> <br />
<br />
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Borgerlig Viken</span></b><br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Foreløpig
har vi ikke sett hvordan, og om, Fosen-opprøret slår ut på opinionstallene.
Mens vi venter på det, har jeg brukt uken til å studere ståa i fylkene våre.
Det er jo bare seks måneder igjen til fylkestingsvalget og i mine analysebrev
skal opinionsutviklingen følges tett hele veien inn til valget. <br /><br />I min
Pluss-utgave forrige tirsdag gikk jeg igjennom stillingen i Viken-området.
Analysen viste at alle de tre nygamle fylkene Akershus, Buskerud og Østfold kan
bli borgerlig styrt etter valget. Men det er nå svært jevnt i Østfold. Det har ikke
kommet nye tall de siste dagene som endrer på den analysen.</span><br />
<br />
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Ap holder Innlandet?</span></b> <br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Hvis
vi beveger oss et hakk nordover, til Innlandet, så ser det ut til at Ap kan beholde
posisjonen som fylkets største parti. Min beregning, som bygger på siste lokale
og nasjonale målinger, samt valghistorikk, tyder på at partiet ligger rundt 27
prosent. Vi bør da huske at dette tradisjonelt er partiets aller beste område i
landet, så at man selv i kjernestrøkene er godt under 30, illustrerer også Aps store
velgerproblemer for tiden. <br />
<br />
H og Sp ser ut til å være i match om å bli nest størst i Innlandet. I 2019 var
H hele 17 prosentpoeng bak Sp. Nå er H et lite hakk foran. Min modell viser et Frp
på ca. ni prosent, det er en formidabel framgang fra svake 5,6 som de fikk her i
2019. SV ligger an til å bli Innlandets femte største parti midt på 6-tallet. Deretter
følger R rundt 5. <br />
<br />
PP har dette som en av sine beste fylker. Ikke umulig at de kan klare 3-tallet
og i så fall ha mulighet for å passere MDG og blir sjuende største parti her. V
og KrF ligger rundt 2 prosent. Demokratene fikk kun 0,2 prosent i 2019, men
klarte 1,2 i 2021. Kan kanskje se 1-tallet. <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--></span><o:p></o:p><p></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -15.9pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.75pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.35pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.9pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.85pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.35pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.25pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.25pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.4pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.85pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 29.15pt;" valign="top" width="39">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">PP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.0pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">ND<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.75pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.75pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Mars
23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.35pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">5,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.9pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">6,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.85pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">27,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.35pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">17,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.25pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">3,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.25pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">1,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.4pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">2,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">18,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.85pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">9,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 29.15pt;" valign="top" width="39">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">3,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.0pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">1,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.75pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.75pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Valg
19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.35pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">2,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.9pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.85pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">34,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.35pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">28,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.25pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.25pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">1,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.4pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">2,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">11,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.85pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">5,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 29.15pt;" valign="top" width="39">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">2,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.0pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">0,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.75pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">0,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.75pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Mandat
23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.35pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.9pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.85pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">17<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.35pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">10<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.25pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.25pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.4pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">11<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.85pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 29.15pt;" valign="top" width="39">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.0pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.75pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.75pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Endring<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.35pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.9pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.85pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">-3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.35pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">-6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.25pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.25pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.4pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">+4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.85pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">+3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 29.15pt;" valign="top" width="39">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.0pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.75pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></b></p>
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Bredt budsjettsamarbeid</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
Etter at Ap+Sp-samarbeidet i fylket gikk fløyten, sørget SV, MDG, KrF, V og PP
for at Ap fikk den nødvendige støtten til fylkesbudsjettet for 2023. Disse seks
partiene har ikke flertall på min mandatberegning. Ei heller Ap+Sp har
flertallet inne. Det ligger dermed an til en ganske så åpen situasjon til
høsten som vil kreve betydelig forhandlingsvilje fra opptil flere, hvis dagens opinionsbilde
blir valgutfallet. <br />
<br />
Skulle Ap og Sp finne tilbake til hverandre igjen, så har heller ikke de to
flertall. De vil måtte ha med SV. Ser Aud Hove og Sp i retning H, så vil H+Sp
mangle enda mer på et flertall. De manglende mandatene kan de kanskje hente hos
Frp+PP eller Frp+MDG, men slike konstellasjoner virker i utgangspunktet mindre
realistiske. Også en teoretisk Ap+H-variant mangler her ett mandat på flertall
noe som betyr at minst ett parti til må inkluderes også i en slik
blokkoverskridende koalisjon. <br />
<br />
<b>Mer fragmentert Innland</b><br />
I sum synes opinionssituasjonen i Innlandet å peke i retning av at et fortsatt
Ap-ledet fylke ser ut som det mest sannsynlige utfallet etter høstens valg. Men
man går mot et mer fragmentert fylkesting i neste periode. Samarbeidskonstellasjonene
er ikke åpenbare. Det vil kunne gi forhandlingsmuligheter for flere. <br />
<br />
Vurderinger og tall for fylkene Vestfold, Telemark, Agder, Rogaland, Vestland,
Møre og Romsdal, Trøndelag, Nordland, Troms og Finnmark får du i Pluss-utgaven
som kommer allerede førstkommende tirsdag. <br /><br /><br />
<i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-size: 16px;">Du leser nå mitt analysebrev nr 8 i 2023. Du sikrer deg tilgang til alle mine hovedanalyser i hele 2023 ved å Vippse 500 kr til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>".</i><br />
<br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--></span>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-30070965735626483612023-01-28T14:46:00.011+01:002023-01-28T14:55:13.076+01:00Bettan og Asbjørnsen<p><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"></span></b></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><b style="text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br /></span></b></span></b></div><p></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;">Lokalvalgkampen er i gang. Genuin og fin. Men bør den bli bredere?</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; font-weight: 700; line-height: 18.4px;"> <br /><br /></span><br />Tirsdag hadde jeg gleden av å lede årets første valgdebatt her jeg bor i
Ullensaker. I et nyoppusset bibliotek var de fremste representantene for alle
ni partiene som sitter i kommunestyret til stede. Debatten var innom flere
temaer, men fattigdomsbekjempelse var kjernen. <br /></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><iframe allowfullscreen="" class="BLOG_video_class" height="266" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/_IqDSeEmyLI" width="320" youtube-src-id="_IqDSeEmyLI"></iframe></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><b style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">Håndverket debattledelse</b><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Muligheten for debattledelse innimellom alle analyser og tall, har gitt meg flere nyttige perspektiver: Det ene dreier seg om økende respekt for ledelse av ordskifter som et håndverk. Det er lett å sitte og ergre seg over svak ordstyring og håpløs debattleder når man følger politiske debatter som TV-seer eller radiolytter.</span><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Dette er mitt fjerde analysebrev i 2023. Du sikrer deg tilgang til alle mine hovedanalyser i hele 2023 ved å Vippse 500 kr til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>".<br /></i><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Men når man selv får prøvd seg i den rollen, så siger en stadig dypere forståelse inn at for å kunne gjøre en bra jobb, så kreves det både gode doser med forberedelser, en ide om hvor man vil, feiling og læring, evne til improvisasjon, gode lydteknikere og debattanter og publikum som spiller på lag. Dette er faktisk en ganske så krevende øvelse som det ligger mye mer arbeid bak for å få til å fungere enn det som vises for de som kun ser eller lytter.</span><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><b style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">Jovial tone</b><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Dernest er det meget interessant å skue hvordan politikere møter hverandre før, under og etter slike debatter. Det er generelt en meget jovial tone mellom dem. Og det gjelder enten det er snakk om rikspolitikere som Anniken Huitfeldt, Kirsti Bergstø og Abid Raja, eller lokalpolitikere som Lise Kragset Furuseth, Thorbjørn Merkesdal og Lars Halvor Stokstad Oserud. Man hjelper hverandre både med drikke, mikrofoner, hår og diverse, slår av en trivelig passiar og har en vennligsinnet holdning til hverandre. Men når debatten er i gang, så «skjerpes greiene» (for å låne litt DumDum) og man er konkurrenter som kjemper om mange av de samme velgerne.</span><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Dette er en meget fin kvalitet ved norsk politikk. For antagelig er det også lettere å finne gode politiske løsninger til det beste for velgerne når man har en bra mellommenneskelig relasjon i bunn. Samtidig er det en balanse her der det neppe er gunstig hvis det trivelige og joviale bikker for mye over i vennskap og uformelle relasjoner. Det er en balanse som jeg som analytiker og debattleder også må passe på.</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><b style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">Fritidspolitikerne</b><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Landet rundt vil det i månedene som kommer avholdes mange slike arrangement. Der flere antagelig vil delta som lokalvalgdebattant for første gang. Folk som, også under tvil, har sagt ja til å stille på kommune- eller fylkestingslisten for sitt parti, men som kanskje er litt uforberedt på oppmerksomhet. Og vi bør huske at lokalpolitikere gjør dette på fritiden sin.</span><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Derfor er det noe ekte og genuint over lokalvalgkamp. Mennesker med et lokalpolitisk engasjement uten økonomiske utsikter til noe særlig annet enn beskjedne møtegodtgjørelser for tunge saksdokument, står i sentrum. Slike folk er det all mulig grunn til å applaudere.</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><b style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">To viktige symboler</b><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">I politikken er det en tendens til dominans av mennesker i 40- og 50-årene. For å skape bedre gjenspeiling av befolkningen, er det derfor ekstra grunn til å jobbe med rekruttering av både unge og eldre. Det er fremdeles også overvekt av menn, selv om kvinneandelen er økende.</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;" /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">I tirsdagens Ullensaker-debatt ble Unni Lisbeth «Bettan» Lundberg og Kathrine Asbjørnsen to viktige symboler på denne bredden.<br /><br /></span><p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhmDmY4r-Z_SA25BWx8a-9fp7hhwHTXvSr1QRYIj7tiHU7RcxX5JJIXQnqc5lVOvMjTCPRbFnA-tEauEpaBdfZSXDFbmBixuknWULmkesmMvaMQqlpHaO-og_FZOb3SgQtKsMEChK0EHAnD9k3JsqMBkScINsPWB2h0DUW0IqsC9r_CdnpvuZ0gk8klWg/s1123/Bettan.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="660" data-original-width="1123" height="376" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhmDmY4r-Z_SA25BWx8a-9fp7hhwHTXvSr1QRYIj7tiHU7RcxX5JJIXQnqc5lVOvMjTCPRbFnA-tEauEpaBdfZSXDFbmBixuknWULmkesmMvaMQqlpHaO-og_FZOb3SgQtKsMEChK0EHAnD9k3JsqMBkScINsPWB2h0DUW0IqsC9r_CdnpvuZ0gk8klWg/w640-h376/Bettan.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><span style="font-size: x-small;">Tegning: Egil Nyhus</span><p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Den ene; 68-årige Lundberg, rykker opp fra 8. til 3. plass på årets Ap-liste.
Hun stilte i debatten på kort varsel da både 1. og 2. kandidaten ikke kunne. Lundberg
mente at hennes tilværelse som bestemor og nylig pensjonist, vil være et nyttig
ståsted å ta med seg for å kunne skjøtte kommunestyrevervet på en god måte. Og
den andre; den fremadstormende 36-åringen Asbjørnsen, som rykker opp fra 21.
til 1. plass på Rødts liste, kom inn med et brennende engasjement for sosial
utjevning for alle mennesker fra «vugge til grav». <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Det er å håpe at alle kommunevalgkamper har sine
«Asbjørnsener og Bettaner» i den meget interessante og spennende tiden vi nå
går inn i landet rundt. Det vil gi bedre bredde i debatter og kommunestyrer hva
gjelder både kjønn, alder og meninger. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br /></span><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
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<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">PS:<br />
Ståle Lien Hansen er favoritt</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Min helt ferske Ullensaker-prognose under, som bygger på nasjonale data,
valghistorikk og siste lokalmåling, viser at Frp ligger an til å bli størst,
tett fulgt av H og Ap. </span><br />
<br /><br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhqdZGUEiwH0IAM5JnDk-ex3ZM2OHAC_sFAZ-I__maYN68CbRUy9yvE2oOKu7oYphc9MsWsfTkJhSgLRjnXyIc3qXBnX0PASMxBUYEF-I1Xt1VdwbYDqQry1FkqNwpkWDD9LzFjMh1n9U9CD_c8yfGeHXnnyKhkvzFwURBHuNy7ggmNB6MkIzT1LSl7qA/s865/UllensakerPrognose.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em; text-align: center;"><img border="0" data-original-height="502" data-original-width="865" height="372" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhqdZGUEiwH0IAM5JnDk-ex3ZM2OHAC_sFAZ-I__maYN68CbRUy9yvE2oOKu7oYphc9MsWsfTkJhSgLRjnXyIc3qXBnX0PASMxBUYEF-I1Xt1VdwbYDqQry1FkqNwpkWDD9LzFjMh1n9U9CD_c8yfGeHXnnyKhkvzFwURBHuNy7ggmNB6MkIzT1LSl7qA/w640-h372/UllensakerPrognose.jpg" width="640" /></a></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Mandatberegningen viser helblått flertall med 24 (av i alt 45) mandater for
partiene til Hansen-brødrene. KrF holder sitt ene mandat med syltynn margin på
denne prognosen, Ap er svært nær å plukke opp dette. Både R og V kan doble sine
kommunestyregrupper, mens Sp og MDG ligger an til å få dem halvert.</span><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
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<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: 5.4pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-table-layout-alt: fixed; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr style="mso-yfti-firstrow: yes; mso-yfti-irow: 0;">
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 1;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Jan 23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">5,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">5,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">23,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">6,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">2,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">1,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">23,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">28,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">0,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 2;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg 19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">2,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">27,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">12,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">14,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">29,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">0,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 3;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 9pt;">Mandater 23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">10<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">11<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">13<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 4; mso-yfti-lastrow: yes;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 9pt;">Endring<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.55pt;" valign="top" width="57">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.4pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.45pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 49.6pt;" valign="top" width="66">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">I
sum peker tallene i retning av et maktskifte med Ståle Lien Hansen (Frp) som mest
sannsynlig ordfører. Men blir det en viss stemmeforskyvning fra blå til
rødgrønn side i valgkampen, så kan Ullensaker-valget bli jevnt.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> <br /><br /><br /><br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Dette er mitt fjerde analysebrev i 2023. Du sikrer deg tilgang til alle mine hovedanalyser i hele 2023 ved å Vippse 500 kr til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>".</i><br /><br /><br /></span><o:p></o:p></p>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-41310572650859933382023-01-17T20:38:00.001+01:002023-01-17T20:38:13.308+01:00Mot maktskifter i Kristiansand, Drammen, Ålesund og Nordre Follo<p> <span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">I dag fortsetter jeg ferden i kommune-Norge. De fem største kommunene, i
innbyggertall, ble analysert i fredagens brev. Nå skal jeg se nærmere på de ti
neste. Mine prognoser er basert på lokale målinger der disse finnes, nasjonale
målinger og valghistorikk. Tallene er øyeblikksbilder. Både tall og vurderinger
vil endre seg jo mer info vi får og jo nærmere vi kommer valgdagen.</span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color: black; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-themecolor: text1;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">
<br /></b><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444;">Dette er min Pluss-analyse nr 1 i 2023. Du sikrer deg tilgang til alt Pluss-innhold i hele 2023 ved å Vippse 300 kr til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen <a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/303129437808470">Politisk analyse Pluss</a>. <br /></i><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><br /><br />
Bernander har grepet om Kristiansand</b> <br />
H og Ap jevnstore rundt 18 prosent i 2019. Nå er det 26-16 i favør H på min
beregning. KrF har et grep om tredjeplassen rundt 10 blank. Frp og SV ligger
begge midt på 7-tallet. Demokratene oppnådde formidable 13,4 i 2019, men ser
ikke ut til å kunne forsvare det nå. Indre strid og diverse utmeldinger har
ødelagt mye. Siste lokalmåling viste 6 blank. <br />
<br />
MDG faller tilbake også i Kristiansand og ligger midt på 5-tallet.
Pensjonistpartiet virker å ha spennende ting på gang her og kan bli større enn
både Venstre og Rødt. Alle tre ligger rundt 4. Kristiansand er blant Sentrums
beste muligheter, men datagrunnlaget er foreløpig tynt. 2 prosent er derfor
mest et tidlig anslag. PDK, nå K, fikk 1,7 i 2019 og kan klare noe tilsvarende
til høsten. En mulig ny partidannelse i form av Sørlandspartiet, med ex-Demokrat
Nils Nilsen i front, kan være i emning, med potensial til å hente en del ex-D-velgere,
men foreløpig er det ikke bekreftet at de stiller. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span style="color: #00b0f0; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -22.95pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr style="mso-yfti-firstrow: yes; mso-yfti-irow: 0;">
<td style="border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 55.55pt;" valign="top" width="74">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.5pt;" valign="top" width="35">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.15pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.25pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.6pt;" valign="top" width="35">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.3pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">S<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">PP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.35pt;" valign="top" width="35">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.2pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 30.95pt;" valign="top" width="41">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">K<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.55pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">ND<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 1;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 55.55pt;" valign="top" width="74">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Jan 23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.5pt;" valign="top" width="35">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.15pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.25pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">16,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.6pt;" valign="top" width="35">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.3pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.35pt;" valign="top" width="35">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.2pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">10,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">26,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 30.95pt;" valign="top" width="41">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.55pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 2;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 55.55pt;" valign="top" width="74">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg 19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.5pt;" valign="top" width="35">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.15pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.25pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">18,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.6pt;" valign="top" width="35">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.3pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.35pt;" valign="top" width="35">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.2pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">11,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">17,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 30.95pt;" valign="top" width="41">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.55pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">13,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 3; mso-yfti-lastrow: yes;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 55.55pt;" valign="top" width="74">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 9.0pt;">Mandater23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.5pt;" valign="top" width="35">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.15pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.25pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">10<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.6pt;" valign="top" width="35">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.3pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.35pt;" valign="top" width="35">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.2pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.05pt;" valign="top" width="43">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">16<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 30.95pt;" valign="top" width="41">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.55pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color: #00b0f0; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Antallet
mandater i Kristiansand bystyre reduseres fra 71 til 57, derfor er ikke
mandattallene sammenlignbare. Det er et fragmentert og uoversiktelig politisk
landskap som avtegner seg i den største sørlandsbyen. Dagens posisjon av Ap,
SV, Sp, MDG og R har 20 mandater inne på beregningen og ser ut til å være langt
unna flertall. En «klassisk» borgerlig variant av H, Frp, KrF og V har 28
mandater og mangler ett fattig mandat på flertall. Men V er ikke noe åpenbart
del av en slik blokk. Alternativt kan H søke støtte hos PP el. ND og finne
flertall. <br />
Mathias Bernander (H) ligger best an til å bli Kristiansands neste ordfører,
selv om det blir en krevende oppgave å hente tilstrekkelig støtte. Kenneth Mørk
(Ap) har en betydelig vei å gå for å forsvare ordførerkjedet for sitt parti. Vi
bør dog ikke helt utelukke at det også kan finnes andre ordførerutfall, Stefan
Avila (KrF) kan være en outsider. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="color: #00b0f0;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Høyre
tar revansj på Ap i Drammen</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> <br />
Ap ble så vidt større enn H i 2019. Det ser ut til å bli solid revansj for H i
år, de har drøyt 34 på mine tall, mens Ap ligger under 25. Frp virker å bli
bykommunens klart tredje største parti med rundt 12 prosent. MDG leverte meget
pene 8,6 i 2019, men har slitt med mye indre personstrid, flere avhoppere og
diverse andre utfordringer gjennom perioden. De virker derfor å være langt unna
dette nivået nå, omtrent en halvering er mitt anslag pt. Også Sp så 8-tallet i
2019, men har falt kraftig tilbake og kan bli mer enn halvert i sjiktet rundt
3. Det kan bety at begge forbigås av SV som nærmer seg 6 prosent. Også R og V
har mulighet til å passere MDG og Sp, begge er rundt 4 på mine tall. R ble målt
til oppsiktsvekkende 8,2 på siste lokalmåling, men inntil jeg evt. ser andre
indikatorer som kan bekrefte noe slikt, så velger jeg å tro at dette var en
«uteligger». KrF fighter for å holde 1-tallet fra livet. Både INP og Fp
(Folkets parti) ligger rundt 1 blank.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -15.9pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr style="mso-yfti-firstrow: yes; mso-yfti-irow: 0;">
<td style="border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 56.8pt;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.6pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.25pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.7pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.85pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.8pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.6pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">INP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.0pt;" valign="top" width="37">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Fp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.0pt;" valign="top" width="37">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.5pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.75pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.3pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 1;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 56.8pt;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Jan 23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.6pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.25pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.7pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">24,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.85pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.8pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.6pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.0pt;" valign="top" width="37">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.0pt;" valign="top" width="37">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.5pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.75pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">34,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.3pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">12,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 2;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 56.8pt;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg 19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.6pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.25pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.7pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">26,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.85pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">8,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.8pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">8,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.6pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.0pt;" valign="top" width="37">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.0pt;" valign="top" width="37">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.5pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.75pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">25,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.3pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">10,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 3;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 56.8pt;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 9.0pt;">Mandater 23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.6pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.25pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.7pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">15<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.85pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.8pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.6pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.0pt;" valign="top" width="37">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.0pt;" valign="top" width="37">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.5pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.75pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">21<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
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<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
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<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 4; mso-yfti-lastrow: yes;">
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 9.0pt;">Endring<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.6pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.0pt;" valign="top" width="37">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.5pt;" valign="top" width="46">
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<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.3pt;" valign="top" width="44">
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<br />
H og Frp samler 28 mandater på denne beregningen. De to blå er i så fall kun
ett mandat unna flertall. Både V og Sp har brutt ut av dagens posisjon med Ap
og kan være aktuelle i et samarbeid med H, men deres primære ønske er å isolere
Frp. En variant av H+KrF+V+Sp har 27 mandater og mangler to mandater på
flertall. Uansett virker Kjell Arne Hermansen (H) å ha de beste ordførerkortene
på hånden med et slikt mandatgrunnlag, så sittende ordfører Monica Myrvold Berg
(Ap) og co må virkelig jobbe på for å forsvare makten. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> <br /></span><i><br /><br /><br />Vil du lese prognosene og analysene av Asker, Lillestrøm, Fredrikstad, Sandnes, Tromsø, Ålesund, Sandefjord og Nordre Follo? Vipps </i><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444;">300 kr (for 12 mnd Pluss) til 92237487 og be om om medlemskap i Face-gruppen <a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/303129437808470">Politisk analyse Pluss</a> eller oppgi e-post. <br /></i>
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span></p>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-70098562921692727712023-01-13T10:32:00.003+01:002023-01-13T10:32:49.430+01:00Høyre størst i alle fem storkommuner, men...<p><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Det er rødgrønt overtak i Trondheim og knepent i Oslo. Svakt blått
favorittstempel i Bergen, klarere i Stavanger og soleklart i Bærum.</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Et par uker inne i valgåret 2023 har vi nå noen flere nasjonale kommunedata å
bygge vurderinger på. Og vi har lokalmålinger en del steder fra i fjor. I
tillegg har vi valghistorikken. På bakgrunn av alle disse tre hovedkilder, har
jeg laget prognoser for Oslo, Bergen, Trondheim, Stavanger og Bærum. Dette er
ment som øyeblikksbilder basert på tilgjengelig info pr. nå. <br /><br /><br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444;">Dette er mitt andre analysebrev i 2023. Du sikrer deg tilgang til alle mine hovedanalyser i hele 2023 ved å Vippse 500 kr til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>".<br /></i><b><br /><br />
</b></span><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 115%;">Åpne Oslo</span></b><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></b><b><span style="color: red; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Oslo
har et stemmemønster som er langt unna landsresultatene. R, SV, MDG og V gjør
det langt bedre i hovedstaden enn snitt. Mens Frp, KrF og Sp gjør det meget
svakt. H er noe bedre og Ap noe dårligere enn sitt landsnivå. Nasjonale
målinger koblet sammen med valghistorikk tilsier at Oslo H nå ligger midt på
30-tallet. Men lokale målinger matcher ikke helt denne prediksjonen og klokker
landets nest eldste parti inn på lavt 30-tall. Mitt estimat er drøyt 33. <br />
<br />
Ap er noe unna å forsvare 20 blank fra 2019, men hvor langt unna?
Lokalmålingene spriker fra 15 til 18. Siste nasjonalmåling, brutt ned på Oslo, antyder
over 18. Min beregning viser ca. 17. MDG ble Oslos tredje størst parti i 2019
med over 15. De har ikke det inne nå, lokale målinger viser mellom 11 og 13.
Jeg har partiet i underkant av 12. Man er dermed jevnstort med SV som ligger i
samme sjikt. Men kan Kaskis nei til SV-ledelse komme til å påvirke i negativ
retning her? Også Rødt ligger rundt tosifret. <br />
<br />
<br />
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" o:spid="_x0000_i1026" style="height: 244.5pt; visibility: visible; width: 432.75pt;" type="#_x0000_t75">
<v:imagedata o:title="" src="file:///C:\Users\SVEINT~1\AppData\Local\Temp\msohtmlclip1\01\clip_image001.png">
<o:lock aspectratio="f" v:ext="edit">
</o:lock></v:imagedata></v:shape></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Tosifret
drømmer også Oslo V om, og siste lokalmåling viste at partiet faktisk er oppe
og lukter på det. Foreløpig har jeg ikke sett andre tall som kan bekrefte dette
høye nivået for Oslo V, øvrige indikatorer peker derimot på et nivå på ca. 6-7.
Min prognose viser midt på 7-tallet. Frp ser ut til å ha en brukbar framgang
inne på landsbasis, men i følge lokalmålingene virker ikke denne vinden å blåse
inn over Oslo. Snarere er man på stedet hvil og knapt nok det rundt 5 prosent.
KrF er større enn Sp, men begge ser 1-tallet. Ellers er det foreløpig ingen
tegn å spore som tilsier at noen av partiene i gruppen «Andre» har over 1
prosent. <br />
<br />
<b>30-29 rødgrønt</b><br />
Når jeg gjør prosenter om til mandater, kommer jeg ut med H 20, Ap 10, SV 7,
MDG 7, R 6, V 5, Frp 3 og KrF 1. Mens Sp mangler 600 stemmer på representasjon.
Blokkmessig betyr det 30-29 i rødgrønn favør. Et lite MDG-el. SV-fall,
kombinert med en viss H-vekst el. en større vekst for V eller en overraskende
Frp-vekst, kan medføre at flertallet vipper over på borgerlig side. Men Frp og
KrFs svake stilling i hovedstaden er stadig problemet for Lae Solberg og co. <br />
<br /></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
<br /></span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgPvU8z3NcHKmqdFodc3WGSgz3WwknDmC2e1bQbrtV1B_7mTv4sVJK_EaNjTqOUNX8xuc2Xy4qPUH13XGBu9NMMhe6tMJ7IFVEnxm_I2QfnYVyjhtzTrCIAhHF78yUvmr5nzwcA3bjuYE4hpr0teZVs006MYV6XIk4z6e-YlJXtzRAZoK-XQgCli7s68w/s924/OsloMandat2023jan.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="536" data-original-width="924" height="372" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgPvU8z3NcHKmqdFodc3WGSgz3WwknDmC2e1bQbrtV1B_7mTv4sVJK_EaNjTqOUNX8xuc2Xy4qPUH13XGBu9NMMhe6tMJ7IFVEnxm_I2QfnYVyjhtzTrCIAhHF78yUvmr5nzwcA3bjuYE4hpr0teZVs006MYV6XIk4z6e-YlJXtzRAZoK-XQgCli7s68w/w640-h372/OsloMandat2023jan.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="color: #00b0f0; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Totalvurderingen er at Raymond Johansen (Ap) fremdeles er svak favoritt til fire nye år som byrådsleder. Men Oslo tetner seg til.</span></p><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;"><o:p></o:p></span>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="color: #00b0f0; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="color: #00b0f0; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></b><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 115%;">Hvor henter Meyer sin støtte i Bergen?</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Et
spennende spørsmål i Bergen er hvor de 25 000 velgerne som stemte på FNB i
2019 vil ta veien. H underpresterte her i 2019 og fikk kun 20 prosent. Finner
en del FNB-velgere veien dit, så er det grunn til å tro at Hs Bergen-framgang
vil kunne bli en del større enn snittet. De to siste lokalmålingene herfra
antyder et H midt på 30-tallet. <br />
<br />
Også Ap bør kunne nyte litt godt av FNB-kollapsen, men det spørs om dette er nok
til å stå i mot den forventede nedgangstrenden. Drøyt 18 prosent viser min
prognose nå. Frp er et annet parti som bør hente en del ex-FNB-velgere. Bergen
Frp har vært ekstremt plaget av mye intern uro og endog hatt et lokallag som
har vært helt nedlagt. Nå virker det som man er i ferd med å få mer orden på
sakene. Tosifret er ikke et urealistisk mål og med det er man i så fall på nivå
med SV. R og MDG ser ut til å være jevnbyrdige i sjiktet 6-7 prosent. Bergen V
er langt unna Oslo V i nivå og byrådssamarbeidet med Ap slår ikke nødvendigvis
positivt ut på oppslutningen. Men lokalmålingene har til nå likevel vært
relativt oppmuntrende for partiet. <br />
<br />
Sp og KrF risikerer begge å se 2-tallet på valgdagen. <br />
<br />
Nystartede Bergens-listen, med tidligere finansbyråd Trond Tystad (ex Ap) i
spissen, som ønsker å mobilisere på at bybanen ikke skal gå over Bryggen, men i
tunell, vil også kunne gjøre seg berettiget håp om å mobilisere i
ex-FNB-massen. <br />
<br />
PP og INP virker å være størst av de øvrige med i overkant av 1 prosent. </span><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 14.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> <span style="color: #00b0f0;"><br />
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<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 56.8pt;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.6pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.25pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.7pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.85pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.8pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.85pt;" valign="top" width="36">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">BL<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.6pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">INP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">PP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.0pt;" valign="top" width="37">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.5pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.75pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.3pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 56.8pt;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Jan 23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.6pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.25pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">10,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.7pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">18,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.85pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.8pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.85pt;" valign="top" width="36">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.6pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.0pt;" valign="top" width="37">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.5pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.75pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">32,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.3pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">9,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 56.8pt;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg 19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.6pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.25pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">8,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.7pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">19,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.85pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.8pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">9,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.85pt;" valign="top" width="36">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.6pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.0pt;" valign="top" width="37">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.5pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.75pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">20<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.3pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">18,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 56.8pt;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 9.0pt;">Mandater 23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.6pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.25pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.7pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">12<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.85pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.8pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.85pt;" valign="top" width="36">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.6pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.0pt;" valign="top" width="37">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.5pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.75pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">22<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.3pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 56.8pt;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Endring<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.6pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.25pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.7pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.85pt;" valign="top" width="38">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.8pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 26.85pt;" valign="top" width="36">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.6pt;" valign="top" width="45">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 25.8pt;" valign="top" width="34">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 28.0pt;" valign="top" width="37">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.5pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 32.75pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.3pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-11<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color: #00b0f0; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Jeg har BL, INP og PP inne med hvert sitt
mandat i Bergen bystyre 2023-27 på min prognose. I så fall vil 12 partier bli
representert i neste periode. <br />
<br />
Skulle H få et resultat godt oppe på 30-tallet og bli omtrent dobbelt så stort
som nest største parti; Ap, så tror jeg «kjøttvekten» tilsier at Christine
Meyer (H) tar over som byrådsleder etter Rune Bakervik (Ap). Men det springende
punktet er hvor hun skal hente sin parlamentariske støtte fra. Det virker
fortsatt langt fram for rent flertall med Frp. Så da blir det avgjørende hva
partier som V, KrF, MDG, Sp, INP og PP vil foreta seg. Meyer kan komme til å
trenge støtte fra en eller flere av disse. <br />
<br />
Bergen er derfor åpnere enn hva et første øyekast på tallene skulle tilsi. </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 115%;">Raaen vs. Ranum i Trondheim</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Høyre ligger an til å bli Trondheims største parti med relativt god margin.
Rundt 28 virker nå å være nivået de har inne for øyeblikket. Ap gikk markant
tilbake i 2019 og fikk 25 prosent da. Ytterligere nedgang er sannsynlig, jeg
har Trondheim Ap på 22 prosent nå – basert på summen av datainfoen herfra. SV
var målt overraskende lavt på siste lokalmåling og fikk under 10, jeg tolker
øvrige indikatorer i retning av at partiet reelt har rundt 12 inne. R virker å
kunne bli fjerde størst i sjiktet rundt 9 prosent. <br />
<br />
MDG leverte sterkt her i 2019 og bikket tosifret, men sliter med å følge opp og
ser ut til å ha nok med å komme seg over 7 prosent. Frp, V og PP er jevnstore
på 5-tallet. Pensjonistpartiet er m.a.o. oppsiktsvekkende sterke her, noe som
nok har å gjøre med gode lokale kandidater over tid, der bl.a. partinomaden Svein
Otto Nilsen i front har gjort en formidabel innsats som «velgerombud». <br />
<br />
Sp ligger an til å bli mer enn halvert og havne på 3-tallet, mens KrF ikke
virker å kunne klare se 2-tallet. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color: #00b0f0; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -8.8pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 57.35pt;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.9pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 36.6pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 37.9pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.65pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.35pt;" valign="top" width="56">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.0pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.3pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.85pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 37.05pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 41.75pt;" valign="top" width="56">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">PP<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 57.35pt;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Jan 23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.9pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">9,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 36.6pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">11,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 37.9pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">21,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.65pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.35pt;" valign="top" width="56">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.0pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.3pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.85pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">28,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 37.05pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 41.75pt;" valign="top" width="56">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> 2,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 57.35pt;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg 19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.9pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 36.6pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">11,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 37.9pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">25,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.65pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.35pt;" valign="top" width="56">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">10,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.0pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.3pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.85pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">20,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 37.05pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 41.75pt;" valign="top" width="56">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 57.35pt;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 9.0pt;">Mandater 23<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.9pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 36.6pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 37.9pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">15<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.65pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.35pt;" valign="top" width="56">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.0pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.3pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.85pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 37.05pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 41.75pt;" valign="top" width="56">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 57.35pt;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Endring<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.9pt;" valign="top" width="47">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 36.6pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 37.9pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.65pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 42.35pt;" valign="top" width="56">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 33.0pt;" valign="top" width="44">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.3pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 34.85pt;" valign="top" width="46">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 37.05pt;" valign="top" width="49">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 41.75pt;" valign="top" width="56">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; tab-stops: 42.55pt; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="color: #00b0f0; font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Ap, SV, MDG og Sp
samarbeider i posisjon. Disse fire har 30 mandater inne på min beregning og
dermed ikke flertall. Men med Rs mandater, så er det rødgrønt flertall. H, Frp,
V og PP la sammen fram et opposisjonsbudsjett i høst. De fire
budsjettkameratene samler 30 mandater på disse tallene og mangler dermed fire
mandater på flertall. Så enten må de vokse en del mer inn mot valget eller håpe
på et sideskift fra MDG/Sp sin side. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Trondheim er åpnere enn på lenge. Men totalvurderingen
er likevel at Emil Raaen (Ap) er favoritt til å videreføre ordførklubba
etter Rita Ottervik. Kent Ranum (H) er slett ikke ute av det, men må jobbe hardt
langs to fronter for å overta makten: Ytterligere velgermobilisering og samle
mer støtte fra flere partier. <br /><br /><br /><br /> </span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEir_EMoQ5jGCyO75fE8S-4OaQ1LAoznSbZUz3SceqwB55Ku4zIwKiql5KehR4as4t4QNUnC8IGne2OTkl_IoWED17_qHHlJt1uh0KPGr3HDL6_2WUcY8dby450AZtjWtNU6UaT7z9-PuKd1K1TlcZBJcMb8HX6ZPW793A-jM0qZE0U592R8WkdGOnz-0g/s758/TrondheimBattle.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="758" data-original-width="602" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEir_EMoQ5jGCyO75fE8S-4OaQ1LAoznSbZUz3SceqwB55Ku4zIwKiql5KehR4as4t4QNUnC8IGne2OTkl_IoWED17_qHHlJt1uh0KPGr3HDL6_2WUcY8dby450AZtjWtNU6UaT7z9-PuKd1K1TlcZBJcMb8HX6ZPW793A-jM0qZE0U592R8WkdGOnz-0g/s16000/TrondheimBattle.jpg" /></a><br /><br />Tegning: Egil Nyhus<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><span style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; text-align: start;"> <br /></span><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px; text-align: start;">Dette er mitt andre analysebrev i 2023. Det inneholder også en analyse av Stavanger og Bærum. <br />Du sikrer deg tilgang til alle mine hovedanalyser i hele 2023 ved å Vippse 500 kr til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>".</i><br /><br /></div><br />Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-47351528223888208952022-12-31T14:10:00.007+01:002022-12-31T15:49:48.883+01:00Politisk analysekavalkade 2022<p><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Den aller første målingen i 2022 viste at
regjeringspartiene Ap og Sp hadde mistet en kvart million velgere siden
Stortingsvalget høsten 2021. Velgerfrafallet skulle vise seg å bli enda mye
større etter hvert som året skred fram. Raset fikk et omfang vi aldri tidligere
har sett fra en nyvalgt regjering her til lands.</span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">
<br />
<b>Skuffelse</b><br />
Tendensen fikk meg til å be Sentio spørre velgerne allerede i januar hvorfor mange
av dem hadde endret sine preferanser etter valget. Svarene ga oss innsikt i at
velgerne hadde mange ulike grunner til å forlate regjeringspartiene. Men
fellesnevneren syntes å være skuffelse. Skuffelse over partiet man stemte på og
hva det får til i regjering. Forventningene var åpenbart (for?) store. Frafalne
Ap- og Sp-velgere søkte i hovedsak i tre retninger: de gikk til venstre, til SV
og R, de gikk til høyre, til H og Frp, og de satte seg på gjerdet.</span><br />
<br />
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<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">24. februar 2022 peker seg ut som en dato som til
evig tid vil bli stående i historiebøkene. Russlands invasjon av Ukrainia
kastet lange skygger inn over det politiske livet. Tradisjonell velgerkunnskap tilsier
at velgerne ofte slutter opp om de styrende i slike situasjoner. Det skjedde
kun i beskjeden grad her hjemme. Ap fikk riktignok et lite løft fra rundt 22 prosent
i februar til snaut 24 i april, men Sp falt fra 8 til 7. Derimot steg H. R og
SV fikk seg en opinionsknekk – deres NATO-motstand var nok en medvirkende
faktor i en tid der forsvarsalliansen knapt har stått sterkere blant velgerne. <br /><br /><br /> <i>Dette er mitt siste analysebrev i 2022. Du sikrer deg tilgang til alle mine hovedanalyser i hele 2023 ved å Vippse 500 kr til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864">Politisk analyse</a>".</i><br />
<br />
<b><br />Tajiks fall</b><br />
Parallelt opplevde Ap også et stort politisk personfall. Arbeids- og
inkluderingsminister Hadia Tajik måtte gå av. Pendlerbolig-sak, skattesnusk og
svak håndtering, medførte i sum til at det ikke var mulig for henne å fortsette.
Hun prøvde noen dager å holde fast på nestledervervet, men innså motvillig at
dette ikke gikk å beholde. <br /><br />Dermed var en av Støres aller mest betrodde
statsråder, og den eneste åpenbare arvtakeren som partileder etter Giskes fall,
borte. I alle fall temporært. Men hun vil nok ha lettere for å komme tilbake
til topposisjoner enn Giske all den tid hun fortsatt befinner seg på
Stortinget. Samtidig ga dette rom for at kunnskapsminister Tonje Brenna seiler
opp som mulig nestleder og kanskje også partileder ved neste korsvei. <br />
<br /></span><br />
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">I mars presenterte jeg landets aller første
nasjonale kommunemåling før lokalvalget 2023. Den viste svakere misnøye med Ap
og Sp lokalt enn nasjonalt. Samt overraskende sterkt nivå for «Andre», med PP,
Dem og Kons (tidl. PDK) i front.</span> <br /><br />
<br />
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<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Valgundersøkelsen
2021</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Mot slutten av mars ble de aller første tallene fra valgundersøkelsen 2021 lagt
fram. De viste bl.a. at halvparten av velgerne byttet preferanse fra
2017-valget til 2021. Samt at Sp dro mange borgerlige velgere over blokken og
dermed var en betydelig bidragsyter til den store, rødgrønne valgseieren. <br />
<br />
Under framleggelsen ble analytikeren sittende å tenke på hvor raskt dette
opinionsbildet har endret seg. Et annet interessant trekk ved tallene er at Aps
«jerngrep» om innvandrerne er i ferd med å svikte. I flere grupper er Ap-støtten
omtrent halvert. <br />
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiBN-eBhNzmAu2rbKuCJ7xpcdcnJXbZzk8GRxt2vTKsMrlfRQ8G4dPXCcoFZ55q_YkNYaBeBLPCgOOA5_9E-z5v99Mvqn7yCCN7eepi3iwooT-rJ0qaSm9GyGiDJwxfJ6YS_4RviYcYB3Kzx5CS-ShbJl__zzaWn4mbhL-IsOdHghiGdh8W9R6eld6B2w/s784/InnvandrerGrep.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="624" data-original-width="784" height="510" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiBN-eBhNzmAu2rbKuCJ7xpcdcnJXbZzk8GRxt2vTKsMrlfRQ8G4dPXCcoFZ55q_YkNYaBeBLPCgOOA5_9E-z5v99Mvqn7yCCN7eepi3iwooT-rJ0qaSm9GyGiDJwxfJ6YS_4RviYcYB3Kzx5CS-ShbJl__zzaWn4mbhL-IsOdHghiGdh8W9R6eld6B2w/w640-h510/InnvandrerGrep.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Endret
kjønnsstemmegivning</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
I april viet jeg et helt brev til temaet kjønn og stemmegivning. Gjennomgangen
avdekket store endringer både i deltakelsesmønster og stemmegivning. Før deltok
menn oftere enn kvinner ved valg. Nå deltar kvinner oftest. Denne forskjellen
virker å være økende, særlig blant unge. Før stemte kvinner mer høyreorientert
enn menn. I dag er det motsatt. Yrkesaktivitet, sektortilknyting og partienes
endrede saksvektegging, er faktorer som kan forklare forskjellene.</span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><v:shape id="Bilde_x0020_4" o:spid="_x0000_i1033" style="height: 354pt; mso-wrap-style: square; visibility: visible; width: 453.75pt;" type="#_x0000_t75">
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</v:imagedata></v:shape><br />
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<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Fylkeshistorie!</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
I mai bød «Politisk analyse» på nybrottsarbeid: Historiens aller første
nasjonale fylkestingsmåling ble bestilt, gjennomført av Sentio og presentert!
Disse historiske tallene så slik ut: </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: 5.4pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Fylke<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Mai
22<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">5,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">9,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">21,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">9,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">5,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">28,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">9,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">2,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Valg 19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">6,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">24,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">14,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">7,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">20,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">7,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10pt; line-height: 115%;">Andre: Dem 1, PP 0,8, K 0,3, Lib 0,3, Fp 0,1<br />
<br />
</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Målingen
antydet at H, Frp, R og SV lå an til å bli valgvinnerne av fylkestingsvalget
2023, mens Ap, Sp, MDG og Fp (tidl. FNB) lå an til å bli taperne.</span> <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Borgerlig
flertall<br />
</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">I
mai ble det, for første gang siden mars 2018, borgerlig flertall på
gjennomsnittet av stortingsmålingene. Det borgerlige blokkflertallet holdt seg
gjennom hele resten av 2022 og var økende. <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEizs9GtwmtBMGZt91etIaE02ZXumnx2NurHYwkErsn745c81uLwE6IO2QvLnP3CK2xGyEKTL2SsPS9VIZVJl_0z546eqdkusyR1VOZY65YRJ1sB_xavSS1UoxsadV9GEqU2uO-0wThuXrfXBVIAWz9AW6kVWT76WIsS70A9dZmnUGoMWQxzmUxrQb2xTQ/s850/blokkflertall.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="309" data-original-width="850" height="232" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEizs9GtwmtBMGZt91etIaE02ZXumnx2NurHYwkErsn745c81uLwE6IO2QvLnP3CK2xGyEKTL2SsPS9VIZVJl_0z546eqdkusyR1VOZY65YRJ1sB_xavSS1UoxsadV9GEqU2uO-0wThuXrfXBVIAWz9AW6kVWT76WIsS70A9dZmnUGoMWQxzmUxrQb2xTQ/w640-h232/blokkflertall.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br />
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Ingen
valgreform</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Onsdag 1. juni ble Valglovutvalgets store arbeid med ny valglov behandlet på
Stortinget. I innstillingen lå det inne noen interessante endringsforslag:
Fjerne arealfaktoren, senke sperregrensen, senke stemmerettsalderen og innføre
personvalg ved stortingsvalg. Alt ble nedstemt! H, Ap, Frp og Sp dannet en
slags status quo-allianse som gikk inn for å beholde dagens valgordning mest
mulig lik som i dag. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Kun en reell endring av noe mer enn det rent
akademiske slaget, ble vedtatt: Justering av stortingsmandatene i tråd med
befolkningsutviklingen ved hvert valg og ikke annethvert som i dag. </span> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Ensifret
kommune-Sp</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Noe senere i juni presenterte jeg årets andre nasjonale kommunemåling. Den
viste et Sp på et ensifret nivå, passert av Frp, som så 10-tallet. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJrK9MzRLK51zt4uXnZbukCJikDkLta0avPssIedr2a7iQLrR4G4Iiy204hOWwW25ILbSWlSbR3YBBQJBWuU09Q9c_TZIkdBlK97AN2llFQanF3RqhQ6v029MnCIS4MA8IzQvwu52q4_G6OrMXTlszJkI5oFcxJl7gbZqqpFnuXcBUZWHnZQAVc_61sg/s842/VedumStovel.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="672" data-original-width="842" height="510" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJrK9MzRLK51zt4uXnZbukCJikDkLta0avPssIedr2a7iQLrR4G4Iiy204hOWwW25ILbSWlSbR3YBBQJBWuU09Q9c_TZIkdBlK97AN2llFQanF3RqhQ6v029MnCIS4MA8IzQvwu52q4_G6OrMXTlszJkI5oFcxJl7gbZqqpFnuXcBUZWHnZQAVc_61sg/w640-h510/VedumStovel.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><v:shape id="Bilde_x0020_6" o:spid="_x0000_i1031" style="height: 354.75pt; mso-wrap-style: square; visibility: visible; width: 453.75pt;" type="#_x0000_t75">
<v:imagedata o:title="" src="file:///C:\Users\SVEINT~1\AppData\Local\Temp\msohtmlclip1\01\clip_image006.png">
</v:imagedata></v:shape><br /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">I min første storkommune-analyse pekte jeg på at
særlig Bergen, Stavanger, Kristiansand og Drammen var det gode utsikter til
maktskifte i blå retning etter kommunevalget neste år.</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><br /></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">
<b>Arendal</b><br />
Juli-oppsummeringen viste at H+Frp samlet 43 prosent av velgerne bak seg. Mens
analytikeren brukte noen dager i august på å avlegge Arendals-uken en visitt og
for første gang i sitt liv ble stående i kø for skaffe billett til
partilederdebatt. En debatt som i sin helhet var viet årets store diskusjonstema:
Strøm.</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Selv synes jeg ungdomslederdebatten var vel så interessant. Både fordi den
representerer den politiske framtiden, men også fordi det var en fin og
underliggende respektfull tone og raushet for meningsmotstandere som
voksenpolitikere kan ha mye å lære av.</span> <br />
<br /><br />
<br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEimmAaiOU0EdBnZOox_9G4iXolhAwfgCRrIbPOdLHcdNrtq4R-N7jDMR7gSOeCe8OefOG7GGfLIYvT_fv2ugHRPWjgcsHhXQDoD4nOSHC3jao5sflHaUdD__FbTHnIcklgrgHZ5RNyohv_8Eod0fSeOp5MITaRrQ697zaKi_UAMVTnbdrHCFCY-K0fqlA/s845/Ungdomspartilederne.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="599" data-original-width="845" height="454" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEimmAaiOU0EdBnZOox_9G4iXolhAwfgCRrIbPOdLHcdNrtq4R-N7jDMR7gSOeCe8OefOG7GGfLIYvT_fv2ugHRPWjgcsHhXQDoD4nOSHC3jao5sflHaUdD__FbTHnIcklgrgHZ5RNyohv_8Eod0fSeOp5MITaRrQ697zaKi_UAMVTnbdrHCFCY-K0fqlA/w640-h454/Ungdomspartilederne.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br />
<p class="MsoNormal"><br /><i style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Dette er mitt siste analysebrev i 2022. Du sikrer deg tilgang til alle mine hovedanalyser i hele 2023 ved å Vippse 500 kr til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864">Politisk analyse</a>".</i><br /><br /><br />
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Synkende politisk
tillit</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Under Arendal-uken ble også den årlige Tillitsundersøkelsen, utført av Respons,
lagt fram. Den viste at tilliten til Storting, regjering, kommunestyrer og
politiske partier falt markert sammenlignet med i fjor. Neppe helt overraskende
md tanke på alle skandalesaker særlig knyttet til pendler-boligene. </span><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
<br />
Jevn MDG-duell <br />
</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Det
skjedde mye denne august-uken. MDGs leder, Une Bastholm, meldte noe
overraskende at hun trakk seg fordi hun ønsket å se mer til sine to små jenter.
Beslutningen avfødet en interessant debatt i hvilken grad politikk generelt, og
toppolitikk spesielt, egner seg å kombinere med småbarnsliv.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Dessuten ble det en lederdiskusjon i partiet som
munnet ut i en lederduell mellom Arild Hermstad og Kristoffer Robin Haug på
ekstraordinært landsmøte 26. november. Det skulle vise seg å bli den jevneste
lederduellen i et stortingsparti noen gang. Hermstad trakk det lengste strået
med smått utrolige 102 vs. 101 stemmer (en stemte blankt). <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br /><br />
</span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj6x06j3krbO1Dk05MyPKGq427dsAEfzQLm4tmyGTgc4Sk8s_PnSStuQe2FHeE_Lk_FIJNEuHpEPBjC-m0HiusK1whO_ndyXCA09-s3YwKnFTz-q1b4fhhvcU4mSgyNLyTvmGgNxtsxsvrFyL6OxQnKcz5lPQnJjyHWrQG6R6DhaC-fGCf3TJc2M0oG0A/s844/MDGDuell.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="608" data-original-width="844" height="462" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj6x06j3krbO1Dk05MyPKGq427dsAEfzQLm4tmyGTgc4Sk8s_PnSStuQe2FHeE_Lk_FIJNEuHpEPBjC-m0HiusK1whO_ndyXCA09-s3YwKnFTz-q1b4fhhvcU4mSgyNLyTvmGgNxtsxsvrFyL6OxQnKcz5lPQnJjyHWrQG6R6DhaC-fGCf3TJc2M0oG0A/w640-h462/MDGDuell.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /> <p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">INP<br /></span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">2022 ble også et år der flere av oss politisk interesserte fikk stifte
bekjentskap med Industri- og Næringspartiet. Partiet ble stiftet så sent som i
2020 og har på kort tid rukket å få opp en potent organisasjon. De markerer seg
stadig hyppigere i mediebildet. Godt hjulpet av en energi-agenda der partiet
presenterer alternative løsninger som en del velgere finner forlokkende.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Foreløpige velgerata indikerer at menn mellom 40 og
70 år er overrepresentert blant INP-velgerne. Partiet står sterkest på
Vestlandet, men virker også å ha interessante ting på gang i Trøndelag og
Nord-Norge.</span> <o:p></o:p></p>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgkq4Endpt3yeOq0XZFHoUiverAES_zgespwlicmzQ7sfOWl9N-p5mUkJPhrwWgSlYzy5-qKcl1z4JzE3QjUI2UWSmv5_Qxq6EAU5monxHt3xWT2aCOQIrd9AduXkCuiWlwP3Z9ZByMxdsNxvIfSfs1wu2jKBSuK0qVrTR28ZTlPMPsYKOPdNQK1BTZ9g/s730/INP.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="730" data-original-width="591" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgkq4Endpt3yeOq0XZFHoUiverAES_zgespwlicmzQ7sfOWl9N-p5mUkJPhrwWgSlYzy5-qKcl1z4JzE3QjUI2UWSmv5_Qxq6EAU5monxHt3xWT2aCOQIrd9AduXkCuiWlwP3Z9ZByMxdsNxvIfSfs1wu2jKBSuK0qVrTR28ZTlPMPsYKOPdNQK1BTZ9g/w518-h640/INP.jpg" width="518" /></a></div><br /><p class="MsoNormal"><br />
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<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Svenske
og danske sosialdemokrater drar i fra Ap</span></b><br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Begge
våre naboer i Sverige og Danmark avholdt parlamentsvalg høsten 2022. Sverige i
september og Danmark i november. Begge valg var vært jevne. I Sverige ble det
maktskifte der en ny, borgerlig treparti-regjering med M+KD+L, ledet av Ulf
Kristersson (M), etterfulgte Magdalena Anderssons S-regjering. Sverigedemokratene
ble for første gang tatt inn i varmen som et støtteparti med innflytelse over regjeringens
politikk. <br />
<br />
Også i Danmark var det et historiens sus over den nye, blokkoverskridende
tre-partiregjeringen S+M+V, ledet av Mette Fredriksen (S), som etterfulgte
valgresultatet. For de av oss som er over snittet glade i sammenlignende
politikk, så er det et artig trekk at Skandinavia nå har en rødgrønn regjering
i Norge, en borgerlig regjering i Sverige og en blokkoverskridende i Danmark. <br />
<br />
Med et Ap som her hjemme slet med målinger stadig lenger under 20 ut over
høsten, var et annet, interessant komparativt trekk at de sosialdemokratiske
søsterpartiene leverte bra valg i sjiktet 27-30 prosent. Der svenske og danske
sosialdemokrater oppnådde styringstillegg, ble Ap her rammet av kraftig slitasje.</span><br /><br /><br />
<o:p></o:p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh69dCLkXImpE1tVwls39of9wQ0iH2VP6bCsm5yt0msqYTVONeQMLfc2Ew1w9kvEw_MpmCFfAZvdMMbIHDEERFxw3RdflRUETcLpNIvO-vP4N3xJuh78E223ms4k2i-ap6HU7b-ae8_eXymtHhDMbJ1GqRQHJehxq9zFAIcUxB9k8rnfmcsffCi0c3lNQ/s668/Skandinavia.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="472" data-original-width="668" height="452" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh69dCLkXImpE1tVwls39of9wQ0iH2VP6bCsm5yt0msqYTVONeQMLfc2Ew1w9kvEw_MpmCFfAZvdMMbIHDEERFxw3RdflRUETcLpNIvO-vP4N3xJuh78E223ms4k2i-ap6HU7b-ae8_eXymtHhDMbJ1GqRQHJehxq9zFAIcUxB9k8rnfmcsffCi0c3lNQ/w640-h452/Skandinavia.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br />
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<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Regjeringen la fram statsbudsjettet for 2023 i
oktober. Et budsjett der innføringen av grunnrenteskatt fikk mye oppmerksomhet.
Skattepakken inneholdt betydelige økninger for kraftprodusenter og
havbruksnæring. Budsjettforhandlingene med SV skred fram uten særlig stor
dramatikk og munnet ut i et forlik i slutten av november. <br />
<br />
<b>Lysbakkens ettermæle</b><br />
I november ga også Audun Lysbakken beskjed om at han gir seg som partileder i
SV på landsmøtet i mars. Lysbakken lyktes med sitt prosjekt om å bredde ut
partiet og gjøre det både grønt og rødt. I ettertid framstår det også som et
smart trekk ikke å gå inn i Støre-regjeringen da partiet hadde muligheten til
det etter sonderingene på Hurdal i fjor. To kandidater peker seg ut som de
sterkeste til å etterfølge Lysbakken: Kirsti Bergstø og Kari Kaski. Bergstø har
sagt seg villig til påta seg vervet, mens Kaski teller på knappene. Kaski
framstår pr. nå som favoritt. <br />
<br />
På kort sikt blir det spennende hvordan en ny leder kan klare å fortsette
manøvreringen som støtteparti til Støre-regjeringen og samtidig utgjøre en venstreopposisjon.
Foreløpig har SV greid denne balansekunsten på en meget sterk måte, men
spørsmålet er om Rødt over tid blir mer fristende for venstreorienterte velgere
som synes det Ap leverer er for tamt. <br />
<br />
<br />
<b>Suverene H</b> <br />
Ved utgangen av 2022 er H omtrent dobbelt så stort som Ap. Jeg har fulgt med en
stund og har aldri sett noe liknende. Både Frp, SV og R har gått forbi Sp i
størrelse i løpet av året. V har ligget oppsiktsvekkende stabilt over
sperregrensen til dem å være, mens KrF og MDG har ligget stabilt under.</span> <br /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br /><br />
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" o:spid="_x0000_i1026" style="height: 252.75pt; visibility: visible; width: 432.75pt;" type="#_x0000_t75">
<v:imagedata o:title="" src="file:///C:\Users\SVEINT~1\AppData\Local\Temp\msohtmlclip1\01\clip_image011.png">
<o:lock aspectratio="f" v:ext="edit">
</o:lock></v:imagedata></v:shape></span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Åtte
blå fylker?</span></b><br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Min
siste fylkesanalyse, basert på den siste, nasjonale fylkesmålingen og nedbrutte
tall, peker i retning av at både Akershus, Buskerud, Vestfold, Agder, Rogaland,
Vestland, Møre og Romsdal kan bli H-ledede fylker. Også i Østfold er det
sjeldent gode muligheter for H og de borgerlige. Selv i de rødgrønnes sterkeste
fylker Innlandet, Telemark, Trøndelag, Nordland, Troms og Finnmark virker det å
kunne bli ubehagelig jevnt – sett med Ap-øyne.
</span><br />
<br />
<br />
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">17 H-styrte
storkommuner?</span></b><br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Min
siste kommuneanalyse i år, basert på all tilgjengelig velgerinfo på både
nasjonalt og lokalt nivå, antyder at H nå er favoritter til å få
lederposisjonen i 17 av de 30 største kommunene i innbyggertall. Og i flere av
de øvrige nærmer H seg.</span> <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br /><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgmJ9k9TkR2uL6GFYUxP714btSZ_B-gzr09wEth1fCPKTxD4X8kA_iaOAPaFAi1025dHhAeQQ_cLZgEl8dLaW_pSf4qrPRH6Ac7OaeR7jq4EjjUO9CshvFcRMGUCIL2sBiENQ5LKYVTUl_9IHAQ9OK7--nlwJpVT_2qh3vGVjRD9__PS3yoN1sUyMWSZw/s557/Kommuneanalyse.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="557" data-original-width="503" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgmJ9k9TkR2uL6GFYUxP714btSZ_B-gzr09wEth1fCPKTxD4X8kA_iaOAPaFAi1025dHhAeQQ_cLZgEl8dLaW_pSf4qrPRH6Ac7OaeR7jq4EjjUO9CshvFcRMGUCIL2sBiENQ5LKYVTUl_9IHAQ9OK7--nlwJpVT_2qh3vGVjRD9__PS3yoN1sUyMWSZw/w578-h640/Kommuneanalyse.jpg" width="578" /></a></div><br />
<p class="MsoNormal"> </p>
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Mye på spill i 2023</span></b><span face=""Calibri","sans-serif"" style="font-size: 11pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Når vi nå straks glir
over i valgåret 2023 er det mao. masse som står på spill. Den sterke rødgrønne
lokalmakten er i ferd med å smuldre opp hvis de ikke klarer å snu den negative trenden
på de åtte månedene som gjenstår før valget.<br />
<br />
Politisk analyse skal følge utviklingen med argusøyne og vil ta for seg
samtlige fylker og kommuner jo nærmere vi kommer valget. <br />
<br />
2022 var et begivenhetsrikt år på mange plan. Det er ingen grunn til å tro at
2023 blir noe kjedeligere. <br /><br /><br /><br /><i>Dette er mitt siste analysebrev i 2022. Du sikrer deg tilgang til alle mine hovedanalyser i hele 2023 ved å Vippse 500 kr til 92237487. Oppgi e-post eller be om medlemskap i Face-gruppen "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864">Politisk analyse</a>". </i><br />
<br />
<br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--></span>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-22315118074809363192022-11-18T10:30:00.004+01:002022-11-18T10:38:58.652+01:00Fylkestingsvelgerne flokker seg om Høyre<p><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Norges-historiens tredje nasjonale fylkesmåling
presenteres i dag! De to første fikk du i mine analysebrev i mai og august. Sentio
har spurt et representativt utvalg av velgere:</span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">
Hvis det var fylkestingsvalg i morgen, hvilket parti ville du ha stemt?<br />
<br />
898 personer har deltatt i undersøkelsen som ble utført over telefon i perioden
8. – 14. november. 629 har oppgitt partipreferanse. Altså en svarprosent på 70.
Dette ligger noe høyere enn antatt valgdeltakelse ved fylkestingsvalg. Feilmarginen
er rundt +- 3 for de største partiene og +-2 for de mindre. Svarene er vektet
etter kjønn og alder, men ikke politisk. <br />
<br />
I tabellen nedenfor ser du hvordan svarene fordelte seg på partiene. Svarfordelingen
er sammenlignet med de tilsvarende undersøkelsene i mai og august og det
nasjonale fylkestingsresultatet i 2019. </span><br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: 5.4pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Fylke<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Nov 22<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">9,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">21,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">32,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Aug 22<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">21,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">11,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">5,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">27,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">9,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">2,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Mai 22<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">5,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">9,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">21,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">9,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">5,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">28,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">9,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">2,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Valg 19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">6,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">24,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">14,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">7,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">20,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">7,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10pt; line-height: 115%;">Andre: INP 1,8, PP 0,6, Dem 0,5 Fp 0,3 </span><br />
<br /><br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er mitt analysebrev nr 43 i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere</i><br /><br />
<br />
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Høyre-byks</span></b> <br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Høyre
gjør et stort byks fra forrige måling og havner godt oppe på 30-tallet.
Framgangen kommer som et resultat av økende lojalitet og flere overganger fra
Ap og Sp, samt fra de som ikke stemte sist, i følge bakgrunnsmaterialet i
målingen. <br />
<br />
For de øvrige partiene er det mindre endringer, men jeg registrerer at Sp
faller fra 11 til under 9, noe som kan tyde på at partiet var målt noe høyt
sist. Fremdeles er dog Sps nivå godt over hva man leverer i nasjonale
stortingsmålinger for øyeblikket. <br />
<br />
<b>Vekting<br />
</b>De ovennevnte tall er «råtall». Altså hva respondentene som har deltatt,
faktisk har svart i undersøkelsen. Det er imidlertid vanlig å vekte råtallene
politisk, dvs. ta hensyn til at noen partier trolig er underrepresentert og
andre er overrepresentert i utvalget. Enten kan man vekte mot siste stortingsvalg
(2021) eller mot siste fylkestingsvalg (2019). Av kostnadshensyn, har jeg bedt
Sentio vekte disse råtallene mot 2021. <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">I tabellen nedenfor ser du de politisk vektede
tallene. Her ser vi at særlig Frps nivå da endrer seg. Det er et kjent fenomen
at deres velgere oftere lar vær å svare på slike undersøkelser enn andre
partiers velgere. Derfor gir en slik oppvekting av Frp trolig et bedre uttrykk
for partiets reelle fylkesnivå. Derimot vektes H, Ap og Sp noe ned. Rødt havner
på 3-tallet, andre målinger indikerer at dette er vel lavt. <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--></span><o:p></o:p></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: 5.4pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Fylke<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Vektet<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">20,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">7,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">30,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">13,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 2cm;" valign="top" width="76">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Råtall<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 35.7pt;" valign="top" width="48">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">9,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">21,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">32,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<span face=""Calibri","sans-serif"" style="font-size: 11pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
<b><br />
</b></span><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Mer enn halve fylkes-Norge males blått? </span></b><span face=""Calibri","sans-serif"" style="font-size: 11pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"> <br />
</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Disse nasjonale
tendensene tyder på et klart borgerlig overtak i deres beste fylker Akershus, Agder,
Vestfold og Rogaland. Også Buskerud, Vestland og Møre og Romsdal er nå i ferd
med å bikke i blå retning. Det samme kan skje i Østfold. I utgangspunktet
rødgrønne fylker som Innlandet, Telemark, Trøndelag,
Nordland, Troms og Finnmark kan bli mer spennende enn det tidligere har sett ut
hvis dagens måling er i nærheten av et mulig valgresultat nasjonalt. <br />
<br />
I alle fylker handler det imidlertid også om samarbeid og forhandlinger etter
valget før makten kan besettes. Samarbeidsmønstrene varierer fra fylke til
fylke. <br />
<br />
Men dagens løypemelding er blå. <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br /><br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er mitt analysebrev nr 43 i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere</i><br /><br />
<!--[endif]--></span>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-34908018002192898012022-09-21T11:06:00.000+02:002022-09-21T11:06:00.828+02:00Blå vind<p> <b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">H
og Frp ligger åtte prosentpoeng høyere på dagens kommunemåling enn valgresultatet
i 2019.</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal">
<br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">På
oppdrag for mitt <a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864">analysebrev</a> har Sentio intervjuet et representativt utvalg på 1
000 velgere på telefon i perioden 13. – 19. september. Spørsmålet lød: «Dersom
det var kommunevalg i morgen, hvilket parti ville du da stemme på?». 896 har
avgitt svar. 244 har svart «vet ikke». De resterende 652 respondentene har
oppgitt partipreferanse. Feilmarginen er +- 3 prosentpoeng for de største
partiene og 1-2 prosentpoeng for de mindre.
<br />
<br />
<b>H og R vokser, Sp faller</b><br />
Siden juni, som var forrige gang samme byrå gjorde tilsvarende måling for meg,
har Rødt og Høyre en markert framgang, mens Sp går markant tilbake. <br />
</span> <o:p></o:p></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: 5.4pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 57.75pt;" valign="top" width="77">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Kommune<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.6pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.25pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.1pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.15pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.4pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.15pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.5pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.65pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 57.75pt;" valign="top" width="77">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"> Sept.22<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.6pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">8,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.25pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.1pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">24,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.15pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.4pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.15pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.5pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">27,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.65pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">9,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 57.75pt;" valign="top" width="77">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Juni 22<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.6pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.25pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">8,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.1pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">23,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">9,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.15pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.4pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.15pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.5pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">24,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.65pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">10,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">5,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 57.75pt;" valign="top" width="77">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Mars 22 <o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.6pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.25pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.1pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">24,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">11,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.15pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.4pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.15pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.5pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">22,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.65pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">10,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 57.75pt;" valign="top" width="77">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg
19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.6pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.25pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.1pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">24,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">14,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.15pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.4pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.15pt;" valign="top" width="51">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.5pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">20,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.65pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">8,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"> Andre: Lokale
lister 1,4, INP 1,2, PP 0,6, Dem 0,3,
PDK 0,2 og FP 0,2</span><br />
<b><br />
</b><br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Rødts
framvekst skyldes sterk henting av velgere fra særlig SV og Sp. Hs framgang
beror på solid lojalitet og stort tilsig fra både Frp, Sp og Ap. Høyre har
ligget markert lavere på kommunemålingene enn på stortingsmålingene i år, men
nå ser vi en tilnærming. <br />
<br />
Hele to av tre 3 Sp-velgere fra i fjor høst har forlatt partiet, i følge
bakgrunnstallene. Sp lekker som en sil til mange partier, verst til H og Ap.
Trøsten for dem er at mange tidligere Sp-velgerne har hoppet opp på gjerdet.<b> </b>Disse kan være lettere å få tilbake
enn de som har gått til andre partier. <b> <br />
<br />
INP på frammarsj<br />
</b>I gruppen «Andre» merker jeg meg at målebyrået nå finner flere INP-velgere
enn tidligere. Dagens talls på 1,2 prosent er ikke enormt, men en bekreftelse
på at Industri- og Næringspartiet virker å ha noe på gang. Flere målinger både
lokalt og nasjonalt har vist samme tendens de siste ukene. Denne utviklingen
kan derfor være vel verdt å følge med i månedene som kommer inn mot valget. <b> </b><span style="font-size: 12pt;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Blå
trend </span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Sammenlignes september-tallene med valget i 2019, så ligger det inne en
framgang på nesten åtte prosentpoeng for H og Frp samlet, og en rødgrønn
tilbakegang på rundt tre. «Andre» har en tilbakegang på over fire prosentpoeng.
Men det er grunn til å tro at Andre-andelen vil øke noe når det blir mer avklart
hvem som stiller lister i de forskjellige kommunene.<br />
<br />
Skuer vi fram mot 2023, så tyder dagens tall på at valget i stor grad vil
handle om forsvar for de rødgrønne og angrep for de borgerlige. <br />
<br />
Samtidig er det verdt å understreke at både Ap og Sp fortsatt gjør det skarpere
på dagens kommunemåling enn de gjør på stortingsmålingene. De virker også å ha et
bra mobiliseringspotensial i mange gjerdesittere. <br />
<br />
Men med under ett år igjen til Kommune- og fylkestingsvalget 2023 er det like
fullt ingen tvil om at det blåser en blå vind over landet. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er mitt analysebrev nr 35 i 2022. Mine brev kommer stort sett ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere</i></span></p><span style="font-family: "Calibri","sans-serif"; font-size: 11.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"> <br />
<br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--></span>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-43017815049553213782022-05-04T14:57:00.000+02:002022-05-04T14:57:08.111+02:00 Ap mister grepet om innvandrerne <p><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">R, SV, Sp og V i klar framgang.</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal">
<br /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Arbeiderpartiet
har tradisjonelt hatt et meget godt grep om innvandrere generelt, og velgere
med bakgrunn fra Afrika og Asia spesielt. Ved 2017-valget stemte nesten 60
prosent av disse på Ap. Altså godt over dobbelt så høy Ap-andel her som i
befolkningen for øvrig. <br />
<br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er mitt analysebrev nr 17 i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere.</i><br /><br />
<b>Ap-halvering</b><br /><a href="https://www.ssb.no/statbank/table/11729/">Valgundersøkelsen 2021 </a>dokumenterer at Aps «jerngrep» om innvandrerne er i ferd
med å svikte. Særlig blant norskfødte velgere med foreldre fra Asia og Afrika
er nedgangen massiv. Ap-oppslutningen er her nesten halvert, partiet fikk «bare»
32 prosent blant disse i fjor høst. <br /><br />
<br />
<br />
<br /></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_PmRaqUx3CnGydCwrd9-XfD8KQDxXvxCFFV25Il6QITpGb-T17E3RZ2DFQaSXUA-24gr0pDTR6UR4R3-TdS8iwmraA1kU32B2K8n2UWj5hiPb3ZI98EabfL_gTH0REGeRpzMA-1srjHusZ-l2-Wp40wOlLzlknlRszdec_gvR4eSnEy7gvgByzvYZ6w/s784/InnvandrerGrep.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="624" data-original-width="784" height="510" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_PmRaqUx3CnGydCwrd9-XfD8KQDxXvxCFFV25Il6QITpGb-T17E3RZ2DFQaSXUA-24gr0pDTR6UR4R3-TdS8iwmraA1kU32B2K8n2UWj5hiPb3ZI98EabfL_gTH0REGeRpzMA-1srjHusZ-l2-Wp40wOlLzlknlRszdec_gvR4eSnEy7gvgByzvYZ6w/w640-h510/InnvandrerGrep.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><span style="font-size: x-small;">Tegning: Egil Nyhus</span><br /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Også blant innvandrere fra Øst-Europa, er Aps oppslutning markert dalende. I sum scorer Ap fortsatt bedre blant
innvandrere enn befolkningen for øvrig, men den ekstra forsen som man gjennom mange
år har hatt, er klart svekket. Partiet kan altså ikke lenger ta
innvandrerstemmer for gitt. </span><br /><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Aps
tilbakegang i disse velgergruppene kommer flere partier til gode. Både R, SP og
SV gikk sterkere fram her enn i resten av befolkningen, hvis vi skal tro undersøkelsen. <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span><p></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnt4AqcJVUt-BTGe7SePuQbWoiHOYNKy8Btpqfu0LehpCaRsn9F-r5NavouyyixkQeRqZ-KfWUDcC97jxogh-Q95GZxYC0dpTWkYCDcmI5ang4OsDL3PcUCfWQRsBz7KnsKJNNu5dsqAFVSuc11bxZeqLe6x-msmZsf9y3SK4V3i8Yf1enbYrC55ej7Q/s804/AsiaAfrika.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="387" data-original-width="804" height="308" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnt4AqcJVUt-BTGe7SePuQbWoiHOYNKy8Btpqfu0LehpCaRsn9F-r5NavouyyixkQeRqZ-KfWUDcC97jxogh-Q95GZxYC0dpTWkYCDcmI5ang4OsDL3PcUCfWQRsBz7KnsKJNNu5dsqAFVSuc11bxZeqLe6x-msmZsf9y3SK4V3i8Yf1enbYrC55ej7Q/w640-h308/AsiaAfrika.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br />
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />Venstre
fram</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Et underkommunisert poeng da disse tallene ble lagt fram for noen uker siden,
er at også V har en pen framgang her – faktisk en dobling fra fire til åtte
prosent blant norskfødte velgere med foreldre fra Asia og Afrika. Sett i lys av
at V, i motsetning til de tre andre partiene, sto på stedet hvil blant velgerne
generelt, er dette et ekstra interessant trekk. <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--></span><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Øst-europeisk
KrF-lyspunkt </span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Når det gjelder vestlige innvandrere (Vest-Europa, USA, Australia, Canada og
New Zealand), så er det markante og konsistente forskjeller å spore: H og Frp
gjør det vesentlig bedre her enn i de øvrige innvandrer-gruppene. Og MDG går
mye mer fram her enn i befolkningen ellers. <br />
<br />
Blant øst-europeerne finnes det interessante lyspunkt for hardt prøvede KrF.
Framgang fra fire til sju prosent hos de norskfødte velgerne med øst-europeiske
foreldre er oppsiktsvekkende. Også Sp
går solid fram i denne gruppen, mens Ap og Frp går klart tilbake. <br />
<br />
«Andre» partier gjør det omtrent like bra blant innvandrere som i resten av befolkningen.
Dessverre er det ikke mulig å si noe særlig om det enkelte parti innenfor denne
gruppen pga. få respondenter pr parti, men data fra valget i 2019 tyder på at
FNB dro mange innvandrervelgere fra Ap -
f. eks. i Groruddalen. <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Barna frigjør seg </span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
Innvandrernes Ap-pregede stemmegivning opp igjennom årene har blitt forklart
med stor grad av gruppetenkning. Parti-stemmegivningen blant mange innvandrere har
gått i arv, faktisk ikke helt ulikt bildet vi så i velgermassen på 50- og 60-tallet.
Høy grad av felles identitet er et annet forklaringsmoment som har blitt
tillagt vekt i valgforskningen. <br />
<br />
Det mer fragmenterte stemmemønsteret blant innvandrerne som avtegnet seg ved
høstens stortingsvalg, gjør at flere partier framover kan ha et mer berettiget
håp om større velgerpotensial i denne gruppen. <br />
<br />
Barn av innvandrerforeldre vil trolig i økende grad stemme mer uavhengig i
årene som kommer. <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br /><br /><br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er mitt analysebrev nr 17 i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid uten å abonnere.</i><br /><br />
<!--[endif]--></span>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-28133691032248814442022-04-08T11:41:00.002+02:002022-04-08T11:43:01.423+02:00Rekord i velgervandring<p><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">En av to velgere byttet preferanse fra 2017 til
2021.</span></b></p><span face=""Calibri","sans-serif"" style="font-size: 11pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">
<br />
<br />
</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">I forrige uke ble de
første tallene fra Valgundersøkelsen 2021 lagt fram. Valgforskningen bygger på
et samarbeid mellom Statistisk sentralbyrå og Institutt for Samfunnsforskning
og har røtter helt tilbake til 1957 da Henry Valen og Stein Rokkan og deres medarbeidere
gjennomførte den aller første valgundersøkelsen. Det er med andre ord en stolt
tradisjon som dagens frontfigurer Johannes Bergh (ISF) og Øyvin Kleven (SSB)
forvalter.<br /><br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er mitt analysebrev nr 13 i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere.</i><br />
<br />
<b>Valgresultatet 2021</b><br />
Stortingsvalget 2021 ble ujevnt til norske valg å være. Den rødgrønne seieren
var meget stor. Høyre og Frp gikk mye tilbake, mens Sp, R, SV og «Andre» gikk
markert fram. Under finner du valgresultatet oppsummert, og sammenlignet med
2017.</span><span face=""Calibri","sans-serif"" style="font-size: 11pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"> <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br /><p class="MsoNormal"><br /></p></span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhxDZppw5mwMs_B4ohb1ICAyt4yDCIdcinBTMeFKxqfxfotlSdbz8ZcO8L5PNkrQer65BuYWl54PgVdmoCZFZ_yOrKyXIHOCFS9ssOvAtg60OlCxNcB4yDLcXOA23mFY_2DkhQCH7-FRHlmXcFqk-fDbcC9yR8rYIAordUYPXwuyhXGqQMAGfzbIRta4A/s968/Valg2021.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="417" data-original-width="968" height="276" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhxDZppw5mwMs_B4ohb1ICAyt4yDCIdcinBTMeFKxqfxfotlSdbz8ZcO8L5PNkrQer65BuYWl54PgVdmoCZFZ_yOrKyXIHOCFS9ssOvAtg60OlCxNcB4yDLcXOA23mFY_2DkhQCH7-FRHlmXcFqk-fDbcC9yR8rYIAordUYPXwuyhXGqQMAGfzbIRta4A/w640-h276/Valg2021.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><p class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Calibri, "sans-serif"; font-size: 14.6667px; text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;">Det er verdt å merke seg at antallet stemmer ble historisk høyt, selv om valgdeltakelsen gikk litt ned. Det skyldes at det var rekord i antall stemmeberettigede.<br /><br /><b><br />Vandrerne<br /></b>Hva skjuler det seg bak disse hovedtallene? Et spennende trekk som forskerne har lagt merke til, er at velgervandringene satte ny rekord. Ganske nøyaktig halvparten av velgerne byttet preferanse fra 2017 til 2021. Enten ved at de byttet parti, eller hoppet inn eller ut av hjemmesittergruppen.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Calibri, "sans-serif"; font-size: 14.6667px; text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;"> </span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Calibri, "sans-serif"; text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;"> </span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjUNuNogTC6X8lSznXF38rViCdGdrGKIoBS__A94gi3Q_cXwTWZeEALcZXKrYnX1n6JYpRZKK-pc94600Ll0OjCn5lztgS8QETUkXgPRg7p9_vTflhXq0UWTAwdje1qxwjsQbu_pbIF23ZTUux1VEjzSIamQ9E9UWASe4JYpvCOcyoSM4uhYaAydMnlJg/s970/Partivandring.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="583" data-original-width="970" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjUNuNogTC6X8lSznXF38rViCdGdrGKIoBS__A94gi3Q_cXwTWZeEALcZXKrYnX1n6JYpRZKK-pc94600Ll0OjCn5lztgS8QETUkXgPRg7p9_vTflhXq0UWTAwdje1qxwjsQbu_pbIF23ZTUux1VEjzSIamQ9E9UWASe4JYpvCOcyoSM4uhYaAydMnlJg/s16000/Partivandring.jpg" /></a></div> <span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; line-height: 18.4px;"><span style="font-size: x-small;">Tegning: Egil Nyhus</span></span><p></p><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px; text-align: left;"><br /><br />Potensialet for både suksess og fiasko var dermed stort for alle partier som deltok i 2021. Etter flere valg på rad der man har sett det motsatte, med færre velgervandringer enn f eks på 90-tallet, er dette en påfallende økning. Det er særlig trafikken mellom det å stemme på et parti og sitte hjemme som har økt. </span><span face="Calibri, "sans-serif"" style="font-size: 11pt; line-height: 16.8667px; text-align: left;"> </span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span face="Calibri, "sans-serif"" style="font-size: 11pt; line-height: 16.8667px; text-align: left;"><br /><br /><br /></span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgSaresht7R84jTN9bZgDO1kKLgFZ4DRDR_whTqsuXshN-FMtg1ffmoyRM2BqKPag9jqcseb9jsxYGd1fgTFgy0Rr17RClizWvtvLgFVGgSwv2XJgdWoAr_Exjb2TCSJdqYdlzCGlM4p_5-dTfZ6TUxEFH9HBAYz-V0R-OUGpBkLvxkDm2vLuc7YT-mJw/s958/AardalGrafer.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="451" data-original-width="958" height="302" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgSaresht7R84jTN9bZgDO1kKLgFZ4DRDR_whTqsuXshN-FMtg1ffmoyRM2BqKPag9jqcseb9jsxYGd1fgTFgy0Rr17RClizWvtvLgFVGgSwv2XJgdWoAr_Exjb2TCSJdqYdlzCGlM4p_5-dTfZ6TUxEFH9HBAYz-V0R-OUGpBkLvxkDm2vLuc7YT-mJw/w640-h302/AardalGrafer.jpg" width="640" /></a><br /><span style="font-size: x-small;">Kilde: Valgundersøkelsen 2021. Grafer fra <a href="https://aardal.info/">Bernt Aardal hjemmeside </a></span><br /><br style="font-family: Calibri, "sans-serif"; font-size: 14.6667px; text-align: left;" /><b style="font-family: Calibri, "sans-serif"; font-size: 14.6667px; text-align: left;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;"><br />Slik vandret de</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px; text-align: left;"><br />Valgundersøkelsen gir oss også en unik kilde til kunnskap til hvordan velgerne vandrer. Det første tallet vi bør se på er lojalitetstallet. Altså hvor mange som fastholder sitt valg. Her kom valgforsker Bergh med en interessant opplysning på pressekonferansen som jeg var til stede på. Han sa nemlig at lojaliteten i valgundersøkelsen ligger klart lavere enn ved de ordinære stortingsmålingene. Fordi valgundersøkelsen bygger på et panel som man følger over tid, mens målinger ringer opp nye folk hver gang. 1 av 3 «husker ikke» hva de stemte på ved målinger, påpekte han, og mange svarer det partiet de oppgir som preferanse i dag, framfor det partiet de faktisk stemte på, når de blir spurt om hva de stemte ved forrige valg. <br /><br /><br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er mitt analysebrev nr 13 i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere.</i><br /><br />I tabellen under har jeg satt en rød strek under de ulike partiene lojalitetstall, i følge velgermatrisen i valgundersøkelsen. Som vi ser, svinger det fra 40 prosent som svakest (Venstre), til 64 som best (Ap og Sp). Egentlig ikke spesielt imponerende tall av noen, ved 2017-valget hadde Sp og R den høyeste lojaliteten med hhv. 85 og 81 prosent.</span><span face="Calibri, "sans-serif"" style="font-size: 11pt; line-height: 16.8667px; text-align: left;"><br /><br /><br /><br /></span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtYKT2XX3CXXnC5ZdoIQ5tJcnQejr_B4lq29liFNmbL99hYQq8jGNwWXc9JYtKuspi_jNMBxHRPVIQlVKLpEXzJ-2mCAf_PBbMDw09EdcH9Dr_-6zrllzyV0zvop0RUcL8FqY2Ehr59unIk1DodNzaKCZ5cBooZKIGbnnRynLUFnBFJfp3P_IgX0q1ZQ/s972/Overganger21.jpg" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="381" data-original-width="972" height="250" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhtYKT2XX3CXXnC5ZdoIQ5tJcnQejr_B4lq29liFNmbL99hYQq8jGNwWXc9JYtKuspi_jNMBxHRPVIQlVKLpEXzJ-2mCAf_PBbMDw09EdcH9Dr_-6zrllzyV0zvop0RUcL8FqY2Ehr59unIk1DodNzaKCZ5cBooZKIGbnnRynLUFnBFJfp3P_IgX0q1ZQ/w640-h250/Overganger21.jpg" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Calibri, "sans-serif"; font-size: 14.6667px; text-align: left;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;">Partisett</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;"><br />Dette kan tolkes som et uttrykk for at mange velgere følte på en usikkerhet ved valget. Der det partiet de stemte på sist, slett ikke var noe opplagt valg igjen. Ofte har velgerne to, tre, fire partier som de vurderer som ganske aktuelle, uten at ett parti nødvendigvis peker seg klart ut. Dette kalles gjerne partisett. I tillegg var det åpenbart mange velgere som vippet mellom å sitte hjemme eller stemme. I sum ga ikke dette særlig høy lojalitet for noen, samtidig som det ei heller var noen av de etablerte partiene som falt helt igjennom lojalitetsmessig. Alle lyktes altså mer eller mindre sånn halvveis med å mobilisere egne velgere, ingen var i nærheten av fullklaff.<br /><br />Hvis vi studerer forholdet mellom stemmegivning i 2017, og hvem som lot vær å stemme i 2021, så ser vi at Frp, Ap og V kom dårligst ut. Hele 15 prosent av Frps 2017-velgere lot være å stemme i 2021, mens tallet for Ap og V var 12. Alle tre må dermed kunne sies å ha hatt en viss demobilisering i deler av sin velgermasse. Sp, H og R hadde den laveste andelen som lot vær å stemme og lyktes altså slik sett best på dette punkt.<br /><br /><br /><b>Sp appellerte til borgerlige velgere</b><br />Valgvinner Sp hadde positiv velgerutveskling mot de fleste partier. Men jeg merker meg to interessante unntak: SV og Rødt. Den mye omtalte velgerveksten på Aps bekostning fant sted, men endte mer begrenset enn det kunne se ut som i forkant av valget. Dette indikerer at Sps framgang i første rekke var tuftet på velgere som stemte borgerlig sist. Her ligger også en hovedforklaring på den store rødgrønne valgseieren; Sps var den desidert sterkeste bidragsyteren til å dra velgere over blokken. <br /><br />Rødts vekst var særlig drevet av pluss til SV og Ap. Også SV hadde pluss til Ap, men jeg merker meg at mange SV-velgere fra 2017 også gikk motsatt vei. Ap ser dermed ut til å ha lyktes med å demme brukbart opp for de verste netto lekkasjene både i forholdet til Sp og SV. For selv om partiet åpenbart mistet mange velgere til disse to, så klarte man parallelt å hente en del fra begge slik at den netto summen ikke ble så stygg. </span> <br /><br /><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;">H tapte til KrF</span></b><br /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;">Hva kunne reddet KrF og MDG over sperregrensen? Først og fremst økt lojalitet. MDG lyktes bra med å appellere inn i SVs rekker, men mistet også mange velgere til dem slik at det totalt sett omtrent gikk i null. Overgangsmatrisen indikerer også et klart og noe overraskende tap mot H. KrF fikk et pent netto pluss mot H, Bergh antydet at dette i noen grad kunne være taktiske velgere. Men partiet sliter tungt med appell til andre partiers velgere og gikk særlig på et stort netto tap mot Sp. <br /><br />Høyre og Frps tilbakegang skyldes som nevnt bl.a. tap til Sp. Men begge har også netto tap til Ap, særlig H gikk her på et smertelig velgertap til sin konkurrent.</span> <br /><br /><o:p></o:p></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="font-family: Calibri, "sans-serif"; font-size: 14.6667px; text-align: left;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;">Kontinuitet og endring</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;"><br />Det hoppet mange velgere både mellom partiene, mellom blokkene og mellom sofaen og partiene ved høstens stortingsvalg. Men velgerne hopper ikke vilt rundt, det er noen gjenkjennelige mønstre i velgerovergangene, men også noen unike trekk. Ønsket om maktskifte og en endret saksagenda bidro til den klare rødgrønne valgseieren.<br /><br />Om et drøyt år kommer det nye muligheter for alle, både partier og velgere.</span> <br /><br /><br /></p></div><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; text-align: start;">Dette er mitt analysebrev nr 13 i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere.</i></div><br />Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-56605466164788346032022-03-20T18:31:00.003+01:002022-03-20T18:31:45.804+01:00Pensjonistpartiet vokser<p><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Det er ikke gitt at det
blir et rødgrønt ordførerras neste år.</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal">
<br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Det
er en stor glede å kunne presentere årets aller første nasjonale kommunemåling! <br /><br />
På oppdrag for meg har Sentio intervjuet et representativt utvalg på 1 000
velgere på telefon i perioden 8. – 14. mars. 727 har oppgitt partipreferanse på
spørsmålet «Dersom det var kommunevalg i morgen, hvilket parti ville du da
stemme på?». Feilmarginen er +- 3 prosentpoeng for de største partiene og 1-2
prosentpoeng for de mindre.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> <br /></span><br />
<i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er mitt analysebrev nr 12 i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere.</i><br /><br />
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">Sp og MDG størst minus<br />
</b>Nedenfor finner du hovedtallene. Disse er sammenlignet med kommunevalget i
2019. R, H og SV har, ikke helt overraskende, størst framgang inne av de
etablerte partiene. <br />
<br />
Sp og MDG ligger an til å få den største tilbakegangen. Også Ap, KrF, V og Frp
har minustall, men tilbakegangen er ganske beskjeden for disse.</span> <br />
<br />
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -1.7pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr style="mso-yfti-firstrow: yes; mso-yfti-irow: 0;">
<td style="border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.5pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Kommune<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.0pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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</tr>
<tr style="mso-yfti-irow: 1;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.5pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt;">Mars 22 <o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.0pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">24,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">11,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">22,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">10,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 18.6pt; mso-yfti-irow: 2;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.5pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg
19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.0pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">24,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">14,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">6,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">4,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">20,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">8,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">7,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 18.6pt; mso-yfti-irow: 3; mso-yfti-lastrow: yes;">
<td style="border-top: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.5pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Diff<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.0pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+2,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+1,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-0,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-3,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-2,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-0,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-0,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+1,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">-0,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; height: 18.6pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">+2,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><br />
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><br />
<br />
</b><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">«Andre» over ti prosent</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Mest oppsiktsvekkende er det kanskje at «Andre» måles over tosifret. Hva
skjuler det seg bak denne sekkeposten? Lokale lister utgjør ca. en tredel av dette
og oppnår 3,5 prosent. <br />
<br />
Pensjonistpartiet og Demokratene scorer oppsiktsvekkende bra med hhv. 2,7 og
2,3 prosent og har dermed faktisk ikke langt igjen til KrF og Vs nivå. Partiet
De Kristne oppnår sterke 1,6. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
</span><span style="mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK; mso-no-proof: yes;"><v:shapetype coordsize="21600,21600" filled="f" id="_x0000_t75" o:preferrelative="t" o:spt="75" path="m@4@5l@4@11@9@11@9@5xe" stroked="f">
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<v:imagedata o:title="" src="file:///C:\Users\SVEINT~1\AppData\Local\Temp\msohtmlclip1\01\clip_image001.png">
</v:imagedata></v:shape></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjNg9Yuc-LRkyFNVwIwRMTtZvdLwXtYWEw32u4surbUlEDzpFKUK2QGk807_99JaUQiMlFHKIeGkrBpoqRL133iYiFRM0CGSxCyKyXDVgdjOsFdFJIsMXgpbC_jzYdCMoba4IOgYW6TXKTRqvbnby0facyTDK63dQV0JJCDRYwYYeaJCt4h3KEa9q5LPQ/s989/Pensjonist.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="725" data-original-width="989" height="470" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjNg9Yuc-LRkyFNVwIwRMTtZvdLwXtYWEw32u4surbUlEDzpFKUK2QGk807_99JaUQiMlFHKIeGkrBpoqRL133iYiFRM0CGSxCyKyXDVgdjOsFdFJIsMXgpbC_jzYdCMoba4IOgYW6TXKTRqvbnby0facyTDK63dQV0JJCDRYwYYeaJCt4h3KEa9q5LPQ/w640-h470/Pensjonist.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>Tegning: Egil Nyhus<br /><p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Skulle dette være i nærheten av noe valgresultat neste år, så vil alle disse
oppleve en formidabel vekst målt mot 2019-valget.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Industri- og Næringspartiet er også nevnt av
respondentene, men ligger på promillestadiet.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> <br /></span><br />
<i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er mitt analysebrev nr 12 i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du får full tilgang til hele denne analysen og kommende brev ved å abonnere. Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere.</i><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
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<td style="border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 6.0cm;" valign="top" width="227">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Parti<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 4.0cm;" valign="top" width="151">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Mars 2022<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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<td style="border-left: none; border: solid windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 120.5pt;" valign="top" width="161">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Valg 19<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Lokale lister<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 4.0cm;" valign="top" width="151">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">3,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 120.5pt;" valign="top" width="161">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Pensjonistpartiet<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 4.0cm;" valign="top" width="151">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 120.5pt;" valign="top" width="161">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Demokratene<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 4.0cm;" valign="top" width="151">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">2,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 120.5pt;" valign="top" width="161">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">0,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Partiet De Kristne<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 4.0cm;" valign="top" width="151">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">1,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 120.5pt;" valign="top" width="161">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">0,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">Industri- og Næringspartiet<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<td style="border-bottom: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left: none; border-right: solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; width: 4.0cm;" valign="top" width="151">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;">0,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
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</tbody></table>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-75823586740455819222022-03-14T19:11:00.000+01:002022-03-14T19:11:02.169+01:00Damenes aften<p>«Hallo. Vi er to damer, Marianne Trondsen og jeg, Aud Gunleiksrud, som driver
Damenes Aften på Herredshuset på Jessheim. Vi har holdt på i sju år. Her er det
mye forskjellig. Nå får vi Gunhild Lærum på besøk. Vi vil at hun skal bli
intervjuet – om å ha det yrket og posisjonen hun har. Kan du gjøre det?»</p><p class="MsoNormal">
<br />
Denne SMS-en dumpet nylig ned hos meg. Jeg måtte tenke litt. Damenes aften? Lærum?
Intervju? Tre ting som egentlig er utenfor min komfortsone. Jeg driver mest med
politikk, politikere, analyse og slikt. Men så har man jo så forbaska godt av å
komme seg ut av den berømte sona der innimellom. Og Lærum, som jeg aldri hadde
møtt, men som jeg jo deler spalte med her i avisa, virket å være et meget
interessant «intervju-objekt». Dameaften? Vel, vel, dame blir jeg nok aldri –
men skitt au – vi lar det stå til. Så jeg sa ja. På torsdag møttes vi. Lærum og
jeg. Og 150 damer. Til samtale. Om oppvekst på Bjørkelangen. Jusstudier i Oslo.
Advokatfirma på Lillestrøm. Tunge straffesaker. Om rettsstat og rettssikkerhet.
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Mennesker. Familieliv. Forfengelighet.
Og om fotball og LSK. <br />
<br /><br /><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></p><blockquote style="border: none; margin: 0 0 0 40px; padding: 0px;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEhwcHE7yTqq9CvdOusrKcP18mfgSI9i5NXNwBusuLTeqj77HD4oHJXoRIaNLK2joiFk3b_d3gTGfLK5b7R3qb4Xyhe2VXHvIF7Cb6TMexy-vElmafGuRx__BqjYid5y8XuNKcbHgKfvqgrL6ar91ogpO-raWgc0s8JltRbZqQDF7MIoeY4qTJkAB1Slig=s646" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="502" data-original-width="646" height="498" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEhwcHE7yTqq9CvdOusrKcP18mfgSI9i5NXNwBusuLTeqj77HD4oHJXoRIaNLK2joiFk3b_d3gTGfLK5b7R3qb4Xyhe2VXHvIF7Cb6TMexy-vElmafGuRx__BqjYid5y8XuNKcbHgKfvqgrL6ar91ogpO-raWgc0s8JltRbZqQDF7MIoeY4qTJkAB1Slig=w640-h498" width="640" /></a></div></blockquote><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><span style="text-align: left;">Hun var et ganske så takknemlig intervjuobjekt, Gunhild Lærum. Jeg ble sittende og lytte til historiene, som hun nok har fortalt mange ganger før, medievant som hun er, men mest av alt til budskapet. Særlig var det to ting som fanget min interesse. Hun sa hun ble en bedre straffeadvokat av å være bistandsadvokat. Fordi erfaring med bistand gjorde henne til en mindre bøllete straffeadvokat. For oss utenforstående kan det virke rart at man en dag kan være på offerets side, og neste dag forsvare en gjerningsmann. Men ikke for henne, tvert i mot utviklende og bra. Selv om det nok finnes ofre som opp igjennom også har oppfattet Lærum som bøllete og ufin. </span><span style="text-align: left;"> </span></div></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br style="text-align: left;" /><span style="text-align: left;">Det andre jeg festet meg særlig ved, var at hun sa at det handler om mennesker. Også de som begår de mest grufulle handlinger, er mennesker. Det er menneskene hun forsvarer, ikke handlingene. Fordi de har krav på et forsvar og en rettferdig rettergang. Lørenskog-moren, som nylig ble dømt for å ha drept begge sine sønner, mislyktes med å ta sitt eget liv. Hun hadde i den første fasen etter ugjerningene, kun sin advokat Lærum å snakke med. Dvs. det var ikke noe snakking de første månedene, kun sjokk og gråt. Lærum forsvarte også «Lommemannen» Erik Andersen. Han ble dømt for 66 overgrep mot unge gutter. Hun kunne fortelle at han trolig ville begått langt færre overgrep og stoppet mye tidligere hvis han hadde hatt noen å snakke med. Hvis det hadde vært et lavterskel-tilbud. Det er grunn til å gjøre seg noen refleksjoner over hvordan samfunnet vårt kan forebygge bedre. Men selv Lærum har sagt nei til å forsvare noen. Hun sa nei til Anders Behring Breivik. Sønnen truet med å flytte hvis mamma forsvarte ham.<br /></span><br /><br style="text-align: left;" /><br style="text-align: left;" /><span style="text-align: left;">Jeg tittet ut i salen. Og så oppmerksomme damer som lyttet. Som stilte interessante spørsmål. Som var levende til stede. Det var så godt å se, og jeg tok meg i å tenke – for en flott arena dette er! Ethvert sted på hele Romerike burde ha sin Aud Gunleiksrud og Marianne Trondsen. Som drar i gang, legger til rette og skaper innhold som gjør at folk møtes. Gjerne med noe substansielt i bunn. Det tror jeg Gunhild Lærum bidro til den kvelden.</span><br style="text-align: left;" /><br style="text-align: left;" /><span style="text-align: left;">Takk for damekvelden!</span><span style="text-align: left;"> <br /><br /><br /></span></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjfc5c6Lc_oFkLpDaEKceXdegAw8x4b16D6tjOJ6zOQ-XYbN6iDxa6Oq3KuRi6mx4zqakG54mQPnXrqdk6rEA5nuUK-QdZSb3VbtycncvKer578YsAMu2puw9NlX1zfQjJ3v-VxSEP4I0uQMzEGsitsI4SjuUGOE9hS43AwJEteVcqf6Iq3ODegt8MdOA=s565" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="502" data-original-width="565" height="568" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjfc5c6Lc_oFkLpDaEKceXdegAw8x4b16D6tjOJ6zOQ-XYbN6iDxa6Oq3KuRi6mx4zqakG54mQPnXrqdk6rEA5nuUK-QdZSb3VbtycncvKer578YsAMu2puw9NlX1zfQjJ3v-VxSEP4I0uQMzEGsitsI4SjuUGOE9hS43AwJEteVcqf6Iq3ODegt8MdOA=w640-h568" width="640" /></a></div><br /><br />Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-8730333965286694802022-02-18T14:15:00.001+01:002022-02-18T14:19:01.382+01:00Fem nye mandater til Akershus?<p><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Innbygger-
og mandatmessig kan Buskerud, Østfold og Finnmark komme svekket ut av
fylkesreversen.</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal">
<br /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Oppløsningen av Viken, Troms og Finnmark, Vestfold og Telemark og muligens
Innlandet, kan sette i gang kommunal «fylkesshopping». Flere politikere fra
mange kommuner signaliserer i disse dager at de kunne tenke seg å bytte bort
sitt gamle fylke med et nytt. <br />
<br />
Røster i Alta var tidlig ute med et ønske om overgang fra Finnmark til Troms.
Skulle det skje, så kan Kautokeino og Loppa komme til å følge etter. I Telemark
er det krefter i sving for å få Porsgrunn over i Vestfold. Kragerø og Skien er
andre aktuelle «Vestfold-kandidater». <br />
<br /><br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er mitt analysebrev nr 6 i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere. <br /><br /></i><br />
<b>Ti nye Akershus-kommuner?</b><br />
Stemmer i både Lier, Jevnaker, Hole og Ringerike tar til orde for at de bør
vurdere å forlate Buskerud og innlemmes i Akershus etter at Viken er oppløst. I
Moss antydes det også at Akershus er mer attraktivt enn Østfold. I så fall kan
Indre Østfold, artig nok, komme til å følge etter (bør kommunen da bytte navn
til Ytre Akershus?). Ryker Innlandet, så er det ikke utenkelig at også
Kongsvinger ser mot Akershus. Det kan dra med seg omlandskommunene Eidskog,
Sør- og Nord-Odal. <br />
<br />
Skulle dette bli en realitet, så vil det i sin tur påvirke innbyggertallet og
dermed også mandatfordelingen til Stortinget. Under ser du en oversikt over
noen av disse hypotetiske mandatendringene, gitt at de fleste av de ovennevnte
kommunene faktisk bytter fylke, samt at dagens 19 valgkretser beholdes. <br />
<br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--></span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Valgkrets<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Mandater i dag<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Mandater i
2025?<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Endring<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
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<tr>
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<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Akershus<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">24<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.4pt;" valign="top" width="133">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 109.75pt;" valign="top" width="146">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Vestfold<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.4pt;" valign="top" width="133">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 109.75pt;" valign="top" width="146">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Troms<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.4pt;" valign="top" width="133">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 109.75pt;" valign="top" width="146">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Sør-Trøndelag<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">10<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">11<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.4pt;" valign="top" width="133">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 109.75pt;" valign="top" width="146">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Møre og Romsdal<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.4pt;" valign="top" width="133">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 109.75pt;" valign="top" width="146">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Østfold<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.4pt;" valign="top" width="133">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 109.75pt;" valign="top" width="146">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Finnmark<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.4pt;" valign="top" width="133">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 109.75pt;" valign="top" width="146">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Buskerud<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.4pt;" valign="top" width="133">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 109.75pt;" valign="top" width="146">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Telemark<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.4pt;" valign="top" width="133">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 109.75pt;" valign="top" width="146">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Hedmark<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 115.15pt;" valign="top" width="154">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 99.4pt;" valign="top" width="133">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p class="MsoNormal"> <br />
<o:p></o:p></p>
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Akershus kan passere Oslo med god margin og bli den valgkretsen i landet med
flest mandater. Hadde Akershus hatt fem ekstra mandater ved fjorårets valg, så
ville f. eks. både Ragnhild Hartviksen (Ap), Tore Vamraak (H), Solveig Schytz
(V) og Haitam El-Noush (SV) blitt valgt inn på faste plasser på Akershus-benken
på Tinget. Og Hårek Elvenes (H) ville vekslet om sitt utjevningsmandat til et
fast. <br />
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<br />
<br />
</span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgqsfbf58jBO4E-UPHSNWpeZOMv-vwvRynwJFnkGGDANT5dUITiCS3eLbGseSDav2_YVmjWMUZ-cPl92rvJ8w-oGanlI_SiyIAVFe8Dr4O8fD7xSjLgyM9iwzH37qXNuK9tFu31mAgEcUfvFvHZw0jxuyN9cVqpPqgI3XCup5Bg9NtMtwLSA0PHV5BVFA=s842" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="623" data-original-width="842" height="474" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgqsfbf58jBO4E-UPHSNWpeZOMv-vwvRynwJFnkGGDANT5dUITiCS3eLbGseSDav2_YVmjWMUZ-cPl92rvJ8w-oGanlI_SiyIAVFe8Dr4O8fD7xSjLgyM9iwzH37qXNuK9tFu31mAgEcUfvFvHZw0jxuyN9cVqpPqgI3XCup5Bg9NtMtwLSA0PHV5BVFA=w640-h474" width="640" /></a></div><span style="font-size: x-small;">Tegning: Egil Nyhus</span><br /><span face=""Calibri","sans-serif"" style="font-size: 11pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-no-proof: yes;"><v:shapetype coordsize="21600,21600" filled="f" id="_x0000_t75" o:preferrelative="t" o:spt="75" path="m@4@5l@4@11@9@11@9@5xe" stroked="f">
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<br />
Valgkretsene Østfold, Buskerud og Finnmark ville derimot stått igjen betydelig
svekket. Og folk som Irene Ojala (PF), Marianne Klæver Næss (Ap), Sandra
Bruflot (H), Even Røed (Ap), Tage Pettersen (H) og Kjerstin Funderud (Sp) ville
ikke kapret faste mandater med denne fordelingen. <br />
<b><br />
Møte seg selv i døra</b><br />
Det blir uhyre interessant hvordan regjeringen og kommunalminister Bjørn Arild Gram
vil møte et eventuelt ønske fra flere kommuner om innlemmelse i andre fylker
enn deres opprinnelige. Det er grunn til å tro at han og regjeringen vil sette
foten ned for et «giga-Akershus», parallelt med svekkelser av de folkefattige
fylkene/valgkretsene. Samtidig er risikoen da stor for at man møter seg selv i
døra. For ønsket om å lytte mer og bedre til kommuner og fylkeskommuner er jo den
bærende argumentasjonen for reverseringen av regionreformen. <br />
<br />
Nå er denne type dør-møter ikke noe nytt fenomen i politikken. Det man sier i
opposisjon kan man fort få rett i fleisen når man kommer i posisjon – det har
mange politikere tungt fått erfare. Samtidig er utviklingen mht. fylkene en
nyttig påminnelse om hvordan skjøre politiske kompromisser kan komme i spill
når man begynner å endre på enkeltdeler som utgjør grunnlaget. <br />
<br />
<b>Stadig verre eksempel</b><br />
Regionreformen har utviklet seg til å bli et stadig bedre, eller rettere sagt,
verre, eksempel på hvordan store reformer ikke bør lages og vedtas.
Grunnarbeidet var ikke godt nok. Og stortingsvedtaket var for smalt forankret. <br />
<br />
Konsekvensene ser vi utspille seg nå. <br />
<br /><br />
</span><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er mitt analysebrev nr 6 i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere</i><i><span face=""Calibri","sans-serif"" style="font-size: 11pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
<br />
</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--></span></i>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-3488097777285659672022-01-22T16:39:00.007+01:002022-01-22T16:39:58.179+01:00Generell skuffelse<p><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Velgervandringen bort fra Ap og Sp skyldes ikke primært strøm og omikron.</span></b>
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<br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Ap+Sp-regjeringen
har opinionsmessig fått en historisk dårlig start på sine første 100 dager. Ap
noterer 22 blank, mens Sp ligger under 10 på snittet av de seks første
januar-målingene. Valgresultatene var hhv. 26,3 og 13,5. Det innebærer at de i
sum har mistet rundt en kvart million velgere. Kommentariatet har synset friskt
om forklaringene på dette. Svak pandemi-håndtering og galopperende strømpriser
er momentene som nevnes oftest. Men vi trenger ikke bare synse, vi kan faktisk spørre
velgerne! Det har jeg bedt målebyrået Sentio gjøre. <br /><br /><br style="background-color: white; color: #444444;" /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er en mitt analysebrev nr 3 i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere</i><br />
<b><br /><br />
22 prosent med endret preferanse</b><br />
I perioden 10.–15. januar har målerne innhentet velgerdata på spørsmålet «Hva
er hovedårsaken til at du ikke vil stemme på samme parti som ved
stortingsvalget?». Spørsmålet ble stilt til samtlige respondenter som oppga at
de har skiftet partipreferanse i stortingsundersøkelsen i januar. Totalutvalget
var på 982 respondenter. Av disse oppga 794 preferanse. 78 prosent av dem har
fastholdt sitt 2021-valg, mens 22 prosent har enten hoppet opp på gjerdet eller
ville ha stemt på et annet parti nå. <br />
<br />
<b>For lite forandring </b><br />
Ap sliter med tunge lekkasjer til SV for tiden. I følge denne målingen er Aps netto
tap til SV på 36 000 velgere. Noen av respondentene som har gått den veien
gir eksplisitt utrykk for skuffelse over at SV ikke ble med i regjering. De
øvrige synes i hovedsak at forandringene i retning mer venstreorientert
politikk ikke er store nok. Altså ikke helt ulikt hovedbegrunnelsen SV selv
oppga for ikke å bli med i regjering. <br /><br /><br /><o:p></o:p></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgzu9gw6PkOlACdGCQZuTvuuzXvTuM0XMO1yBXkCDXPYxOhXScxT0D9NK7N6YRMcuYaBarIr0fA5fXSaZkFGbC43x5Y8Zy_HLBIGu-p7bGxZhbgjNMMwLarJL4wQgGwIrRglMwtiPkasd5xRDK4KDy0tSWOUcL6ytm6-GkvrdwOBvao694VSmcPt_beeQ=s905" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="506" data-original-width="905" height="358" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgzu9gw6PkOlACdGCQZuTvuuzXvTuM0XMO1yBXkCDXPYxOhXScxT0D9NK7N6YRMcuYaBarIr0fA5fXSaZkFGbC43x5Y8Zy_HLBIGu-p7bGxZhbgjNMMwLarJL4wQgGwIrRglMwtiPkasd5xRDK4KDy0tSWOUcL6ytm6-GkvrdwOBvao694VSmcPt_beeQ=w640-h358" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Ap har også merkbare netto lekkasjer til Høyre.
Januar-måletallene antyder om lag 10 000 i minus til H. Også her er
skuffelse et hovedstikkord, med undertemaer som Korona-håndtering, ledernes
væremåte og næringspolitikk. </span> <br />
<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"></span></b></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><b><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEikZptn2d2IkHbKcN1CMXI68dwutJs0_ORAbpnbcsfFJtPPhGxIL76GntqTMEcVV8lP0M2FYR4my7T3-ojZB3rl0UeByjHl7w3H1IYD6i0RZkkySATjkFrt7ty3pJ2JU99h-fdWutCSyygLyntAdr_sf-rkUMolYNNPOA7cw0DXF-l4rQC-OHVsksRlXg=s913" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="406" data-original-width="913" height="284" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEikZptn2d2IkHbKcN1CMXI68dwutJs0_ORAbpnbcsfFJtPPhGxIL76GntqTMEcVV8lP0M2FYR4my7T3-ojZB3rl0UeByjHl7w3H1IYD6i0RZkkySATjkFrt7ty3pJ2JU99h-fdWutCSyygLyntAdr_sf-rkUMolYNNPOA7cw0DXF-l4rQC-OHVsksRlXg=w640-h284" width="640" /></a></b></div><b><br /></b><p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Sp-skuffelse</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Sp sliter i enda større grad enn Ap med direkte velgerlekkasjer til H. 34 000
velgere har netto gått fra Sp til Høyre hvis Sentios januar-undersøkelse
treffer. Skuffelse over Sp i regjering oppgis som hovedårsak for de fleste av
disse. En er konkret på at økte avgifter som strøm og drivstoff er begrunnelsen,
men de øvrige virker å legge en mer generell misnøye til grunn. <br />
<br />
Sp trøbler også med lekkasjer til Frp og Rødt. Løftebrudd er et stikkord for de
nye Frp-velgerne, mens de som har gått til Rødt nevner bl.a. skuffelse over
sosialpolitikken. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiU62f9gDGpZpUoRaQe7ZQOnteK8HNOK2mZeBSxuTOGDjQ3C65pfSu6Ar0ebg4d0V5uD6x7IROENv6yrFnfety07ErZFRIzv6bZMF99RKkvL8ThrUWl11SW8L4PIRGGgd4rA77rjxFnecUA8w6wee15J3fQarWUVD7lG9uf3UtDE6JHDgeZla7Htm56SA=s941" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="424" data-original-width="941" height="288" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiU62f9gDGpZpUoRaQe7ZQOnteK8HNOK2mZeBSxuTOGDjQ3C65pfSu6Ar0ebg4d0V5uD6x7IROENv6yrFnfety07ErZFRIzv6bZMF99RKkvL8ThrUWl11SW8L4PIRGGgd4rA77rjxFnecUA8w6wee15J3fQarWUVD7lG9uf3UtDE6JHDgeZla7Htm56SA=w640-h288" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><b>Mange
gjerdesittere<br /></b></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Det er en trøst for både Ap og Sp at mange av deres 2021-velgere har satt seg
på gjerdet i stedet for å gå rett til et annet parti. For Aps del utgjør denne
andelen 54 prosent av de frafalne velgerne, mens av de som har gått fra Sp har 48
prosent havnet på gjerdet. Gjerdesitterne kan være lettere å vinne tilbake enn
de som har gått til andre partier.</span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Svarene som Aps gjerdesittere gir, er ikke helt overraskende mer preget av
usikkerhet mht. årsak for preferanseendringen enn de som har gått til andre
partier. Men også blant disse er skuffelse et hovedstikkord.</span> <span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%;">Korona,
oppvekst og barnehage blir mer konkret nevnt.</span> <br />
<br /><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEimBcWTT6EIJKDtvrU2S_6IRBIGsyXc8mXxyjbZoOXxgiGlkS5ks9EFJOBGA2_fg6ID1loeeVaG1_KXkUR505I1N7zWTqV97rN6cuw58RGYajTo-CTsz9yX4hQ0hSxVsR_u4bq4_8EfHQuY8GHOurGkcg2X4t3giv_PKOmztQMFxp8NM-q6uLLz7IOfFQ=s920" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em; text-align: center;"><img border="0" data-original-height="529" data-original-width="920" height="368" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEimBcWTT6EIJKDtvrU2S_6IRBIGsyXc8mXxyjbZoOXxgiGlkS5ks9EFJOBGA2_fg6ID1loeeVaG1_KXkUR505I1N7zWTqV97rN6cuw58RGYajTo-CTsz9yX4hQ0hSxVsR_u4bq4_8EfHQuY8GHOurGkcg2X4t3giv_PKOmztQMFxp8NM-q6uLLz7IOfFQ=w640-h368" width="640" /></a></p><br /><br /><br /><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;">Strøm viktigere for Sps gjerdesittere</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;"><br />Også Sps gjerdesittere er preget av mer usikkerhet i sine begrunnelser. Her er det imidlertid interessant å se at flere konkret nevner strømprisene. Strøm virker dermed å være noe viktigere for frafalne Sp-ere enn tidligere Ap-velgere. </span> <br /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12.0pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"><b><br /><br /></b><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjQYaB8oKXnsOgUzCaPiXh892qn3DhlqHy9ldTWZY8Y2iGzEfDBxdT9ZFKfIfJ0koAr4nS6xTpFb5ugjGFfNr8J7rkp32EOZi3RsYXui8afwA9XOrjJNFiIkEFLd3NVOtCaSV3nLdWjIb0F-1N69c2-eCcD7OJLeCf4KGgtETTwKzNOCfQHYbukCGU1ww=s942" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="353" data-original-width="942" height="240" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjQYaB8oKXnsOgUzCaPiXh892qn3DhlqHy9ldTWZY8Y2iGzEfDBxdT9ZFKfIfJ0koAr4nS6xTpFb5ugjGFfNr8J7rkp32EOZi3RsYXui8afwA9XOrjJNFiIkEFLd3NVOtCaSV3nLdWjIb0F-1N69c2-eCcD7OJLeCf4KGgtETTwKzNOCfQHYbukCGU1ww=w640-h240" width="640" /></a></div><br /><b style="font-family: "Times New Roman"; font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;">Lysere regjeringsvår?<br /></span></b><span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 18.4px;">Det finnes også noen lyspunkt, sett med Ap og Sp-øyne, i materialet. For selv om mange velgere har forsvunnet, så holder tross alt det store flertallet fast ved sitt partivalg. Aps lojalitetsandel ligger i overkant av 70, Sps i underkant av 70.<br /><br />Klarer man å mobilisere en del av gjerdesitterne sine i månedene som kommer, så bør ikke 24-25 prosents oppslutning være umulig for Ap. Og 11-12 prosent bør være innenfor rekkevidde for Sp. Men det fordrer at en del av de som har satt seg opp på gjerdet i skuffelse over regjeringsstarten, begynner å se noen resultater. Samt at regjeringen evner å vise fram politikken sin på en bedre måte. Det vil kunne gi dem en brukbar vår. <b> <br /></b></span><b><br />Generell skuffelse</b><br />
Etter å ha lest alle svarene fra velgere som stemte på Ap eller Sp ved valget i
fjor høst, men som nå har endret sin preferanse, sitter jeg igjen med et
inntrykk av at mange generelt er skuffet over partiet man stemte på og det partiet
(foreløpig) får til i regjering. Dette generelle aspektet synes å være en langt
viktigere beveggrunn enn strøm og Korona-håndtering, selv om dette også i noen synes
å henge sammen. <br />
<br />
Så kan man stille seg spørsmål om disse velgerne hadde i overkant høy tro på
hva som var mulig å få til av endring på kort tid. Alternativt om Ap og Sp
gjennom lang tid i opposisjon har bygd opp for høye forventninger til hva de
kan få til. <br />
<br />
Regjeringens første 100 dager har vist at mange velgere er utålmodige.
«Fredningstiden» synes å bli kortere, det må leveres nærmest fra dag 1. Ap og
Sp har fått en skjev start. Det må de først og fremst ta ansvar for selv. <br />
<br />
Dagens undersøkelse viser at det ikke nytter å skylde på strøm eller omikron. <br />
<br />
<br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er en mitt analysebrev nr 3 i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere</i><br /><br />
<!--[endif]--></span>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-30423231324275210692022-01-21T11:11:00.006+01:002022-01-21T11:30:42.605+01:00Tillit<p><b style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Tilliten til Stortinget er høy. Men
synkende.</b></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Tillit. Ett av få begrep som staves likt både forlengs og baklengs. Treffende
nok. For tillit handler om noe som går begge veier: Toveis relasjon mellom
mennesker. Møter jeg deg med tillit, så er det lettere for deg å gjengjelde
tilliten. Møter jeg deg med mistenksomhet, så vil jeg trolig få mistenksomhet i
retur. Et samfunn preget av tillit til hverandre og myndigheter er å foretrekke
framfor et samfunn preget av mistenksomhet og myndighetsforakt. Men det fordrer
at vi som enkeltindivider, og personer med tillitsverv, viser seg tilliten
verdig. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> <br /></span><br /><br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er en bearbeidet versjon av andre analysebrev i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere</i><br />
<br />
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">Tillitsfulle nordmenn</b><br />
Forskere over hele verden har målt tillit i mange år. Nordmenn kommer
gjennomgående ut blant de mest tillitsfulle folkene i slike undersøkelser. Vi
stoler generelt på hverandre og vi stoler på myndighetene. <br />
<br />
Stortinget er blant de institusjonene som nordmenn har aller mest tillit til.
Det er, bokstavelig talt, en tillitserklæring til våre politikere og hele vårt
politiske system. Tilliten er tuftet på en tro på at politikerne stort sett vil
befolkningen vel og evner å fatte beslutninger på vegne av velgerne som i
hovedsak er gode. <br />
<br />
<b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">Lav tillit hindrer myndighetsutøvelse</b><br />
Tillit er hverken en naturgitt eller en statisk størrelse. Mange steder i
verden har tilliten både til hverandre og til det politiske systemet, hatt en fallende
kurve de siste årene. Økende mistro, politikerforakt og mer konflikter følger i
kjølvannet. Fallende tillit skaper også økende problemer for
myndighetsutøvelse. Det gir ikke minst problemer i krisesituasjoner der god
håndtering og evne til rask gjennomføring avhenger nettopp av tillit fra folk. <br />
<br />
Pandemien har vist oss hvor nøye dette henger sammen og hvor store forskjellene
kan bli fra land til land avhengig av hvor stor tilliten er. Det er en generell
tendens til at land der folk har høy tillit til myndighetene har kommet bedre
ut av pandemien enn land med lav tillit. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br />
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br />
I desember gjennomførte Norstat en <a href="https://www.vl.no/nyheter/2022/01/02/skandalehost-gir-fall-i-tillit-derfor-far-stortinget-en-tung-jobb/">tillitsmåling</a> med 1 000 respondenter.
Spørsmålet lød: <br />
<br />
<i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;">På en skala fra 1 til 10, der 1 står for
ingen tillit i det hele tatt og 10 står for full tillit, hvilken tillit har du
til Stortinget som institusjon?</i><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Svarfordelingen ser du i tabellen under:</span></p>
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<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEh6MzL8wu1PNLJZ8HXrIAIJDRwPGCQxOMD7dqXX3mkmUT0ihcesF3fa2qxp_7Rda7jd74rCM2df49IvQGTep5jrkq19ggNE3v3egHp9dQaAuE67oOAQ10dYDi2SUWb6yEvFq7GDozcGN73kBYlCfYGV8ApMqNXe__wxcnGVST_gPOzqrH5tL4GxmqxBdw=s588" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="392" data-original-width="588" height="426" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEh6MzL8wu1PNLJZ8HXrIAIJDRwPGCQxOMD7dqXX3mkmUT0ihcesF3fa2qxp_7Rda7jd74rCM2df49IvQGTep5jrkq19ggNE3v3egHp9dQaAuE67oOAQ10dYDi2SUWb6yEvFq7GDozcGN73kBYlCfYGV8ApMqNXe__wxcnGVST_gPOzqrH5tL4GxmqxBdw=w640-h426" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p class="MsoNormal"><br /><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: medium;">Høy
tillit til Stortinget</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"><span style="font-size: medium;"><br />
To av tre svar ligger i sjiktet 5-8. Og det er dobbelt så mange som har full
tillit (10) til Stortinget som ingen tillit (1). I sum tolker jeg svarene
dithen at befolkningen har god tillit til Stortinget. Snittet ligger på 6,5. <br />
<br />
Norstat og deres oppdragsgiver Vårt Land v/nyhetsredaktør Veslemøy Østrem har
generøst gitt meg innsyn i bakgrunnstallene. Etter å ha studert disse, så
finner jeg grunn til å konkludere med at det er relativt små tillitsforskjeller
i sosiale bakgrunn å spore. Men kvinner har litt høyere tillit til Stortinget
enn menn. Oslo-folk har høyest stortingstillit, mens folk i Nord-Norge gjennomgående
har lavest tillit. <br /><br />Rødt og Frps velgere har, ikke helt overraskende <a href="https://www.vl.no/nyheter/2022/01/15/frp-velgere-inntar-bunnplass-bare-en-tredjedel-har-hoy-tillit-til-stortinget/?fbclid=IwAR3NycfaCFZom34IFYHYKW3413hWE0omvdwAodRTSNICYOe1ZL6eAHkKnTs">lavest tillit</a>. Mens MDGs velger troner, kanskje noe mer overraskende, på tillitstoppen. </span><br /><br /><br />
<br />
</span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEh9Vq6y9hYPjrE4LzrK7CsFgFKCBMN5-gwu48GSt-6Rs9-Nq_U9f9rj5r5UHM0Q9VYA6CIUTIutg39XTmjY_37YY7EAJS0Usb_11GsyLAN1KO0kYiO5yLebLNdMkf_n3GYsw6QV30Zphtrr-zMkzFi_UV6wj2L7l22xTWK454fOKpAfLFhBZ3GY7nXr3w=s1434" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="332" data-original-width="1434" height="148" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEh9Vq6y9hYPjrE4LzrK7CsFgFKCBMN5-gwu48GSt-6Rs9-Nq_U9f9rj5r5UHM0Q9VYA6CIUTIutg39XTmjY_37YY7EAJS0Usb_11GsyLAN1KO0kYiO5yLebLNdMkf_n3GYsw6QV30Zphtrr-zMkzFi_UV6wj2L7l22xTWK454fOKpAfLFhBZ3GY7nXr3w=w640-h148" width="640" /></a><br /><br /><div style="text-align: justify;"><br /></div><span style="font-size: medium;"><b style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; text-align: left;"><div style="text-align: justify;"><b>Skandalesaker</b></div></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; text-align: left;"><div style="text-align: justify;">Metoo bidro til at en rekke saker med uønsket seksuell oppmerksomhet og trakassering kom fram på ulike områder av samfunnet. Politikken var intet unntak. Med Trond Giske og Kristian Tonning Riise som de to mest omtalte. De misbrukte sin makt grovt over tid. Giske stod på terskelen til å kunne bli partiets neste leder og mulig statsminister for Ap. Riise var en oppadstigende stjerne i Høyre. Begge forsvant ut av rikspolitikken. Tilliten var borte, deres handlinger ødela. </div></span></span><div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: medium; text-align: left;"><div style="text-align: justify;">Politikeres føring av reiseregninger er gått grundig igjennom via utmerket graving av Aftenposten. Hege Liadal og Mazyar Keshvari ble tatt for å ha levert falske reiseregninger for flere hundre tusen kroner. Keshvari ble dømt til 11 måneder i fengsel. Påtalemyndigheten har bedt om ni månder fengsel for Liadal, dommen er ikke avgjort. Begges politiske karrierer ble lagt i grus. Tilliten forsvant. </div></span><div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: medium; text-align: left;"><div style="text-align: justify;">Det har i fjor sommer og høst vært en serie med pendlerbolig-saker der det ble dokumentert at sentrale politikere har fått goder de ikke skulle hatt. Med Kjell Ingolf Ropstad og Eva Kristin Hansen som de mest profilerte eksemplene. Det fikk følger for Ropstads statsrådsliv og partilederverv. Det fikk også følger for Hansens tid som stortingspresident som ble av det sylkorte slaget. Stortingets administrasjon har også kommet dårlig ut av dette – både kontrollrutiner og informasjon har vært for dårlig.</div></span><div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; text-align: left;"><div style="text-align: justify;">På toppen har vi Per Sandbergs Iran-tur og avgang, Listhaugs Facebook-post og statsrådsfall, Wara-saken og ikke minst overskridelser i milliardklassen rundt stortingsgarasjene relativt friskt i minne. Det siste felte både daværende stortingspresident Olemic Thommessen og stortingsdirektør Ida Børresen. </div></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; text-align: left;"><div style="text-align: justify;"> </div></span><b style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; text-align: left;"><div style="text-align: justify;"><b>Gjenreise tillit?</b></div></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; text-align: left;"><div style="text-align: justify;">Med dette bakteppet er det nesten utrolig at tilliten til Stortinget fortsatt er såpass høy som den er. Det tyder på at mange velgere også ser forbi slike saker og at tilliten bygger på en mer grunnleggende tiltro til selve systemet. Samtidig har tilliten ligget en del høyere før. Respons, som utfører tilsvarende målinger, målte så sent som i fjor sommer et klart høyere nivå (på opp mot 8,0). Og i en Norstat-måling for Aftenposten før jul, svarte to av tre at de hadde fått mindre tillit etter pendlerbolig-sakene. Det tyder på at velgerne også blir påvirket av slike saker – noe annet ville nesten vært skremmende. </div></span></span><div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: medium;"><br /></span></div><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: medium; text-align: left;"><div style="text-align: justify;">Den nye stortingspresidenten Masud Gharakhani har kalt det en tillitskrise. Det er å overdrive. For som vi nå har sett, så er fortsatt tilliten til Stortinget generelt sett god. Men at både han, og de 168 øvrige representantene som innehar landets viktigste tillitsverv, har en betydelig oppgave foran seg de kommende månedene og årene for å snu tendensen og gjenreise den tilliten som har gått tapt, er det liten tvil om.</div></span></div><div style="text-align: justify;"><br /><br /></div><span style="mso-fareast-language: NO-BOK; mso-no-proof: yes;"><v:shape id="Bilde_x0020_2" o:spid="_x0000_i1025" style="height: 5in; mso-wrap-style: square; visibility: visible; width: 453.75pt;" type="#_x0000_t75">
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</v:imagedata></v:shape></span><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjah9iPUvw0qvWtQ0iwxZeE1mrgbVvkampG4DDxJLL5_FqwRDZrPRBevM67tenLdvnO_-QkiaLPO47gXTwcwGUht03f8fhGaaA_JzFHQLLDtYN8zJ2OfU0ogmNIeUBXsImhX8TFx7GYgn_aunQA076RFxDlpeaYRdGZc-1fHEKCisCpANAyneWtIXBIKQ=s904" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="713" data-original-width="904" height="504" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjah9iPUvw0qvWtQ0iwxZeE1mrgbVvkampG4DDxJLL5_FqwRDZrPRBevM67tenLdvnO_-QkiaLPO47gXTwcwGUht03f8fhGaaA_JzFHQLLDtYN8zJ2OfU0ogmNIeUBXsImhX8TFx7GYgn_aunQA076RFxDlpeaYRdGZc-1fHEKCisCpANAyneWtIXBIKQ=w640-h504" width="640" /></a></div> <span style="font-size: x-small;">Tegning: Egil Nyhus</span><br /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"><br /><br /><span style="font-size: medium;">
Klarer de det, så vil Norge fortsatt kunne være et tillitsbasert samfunn, der sterk
tiltro til vår fremste politiske institusjon, Stortinget, er en hovedpilar. Klarer
de det ikke, så vil det kunne skape rystelser i vårt politiske system, som på
kort sikt vil kunne avtegne seg både i år, ved lokalvalget neste år og ved
stortingsvalget 2025. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><span style="font-size: medium;"> </span> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span><br />
<br /><br /><br /></span><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er en bearbeidet versjon av andre analysebrev i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere</i><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"><br /><br /><o:p></o:p></span><p></p>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-67159402908044961962022-01-14T11:57:00.008+01:002022-01-14T12:06:44.271+01:00Snart borgerlig flertall?<p><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Regjeringspartiene Ap og Sp har mistet en
kvart million velgere. Blokkavstanden skrumper kraftig. </span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal">
<br />Ap fikk 26,3 prosent ved Stortingsvalget for fire måneder siden. Sp oppnådde 13,5. I sum fikk de to regjeringspartiene 39,8 prosent. Det utgjorde nærmere 1,2 millioner velgere. På årets fem første målinger har Ap et snittall på 21,9 prosent. Mens Sp kan skilte med 9,9. I sum 31,8 prosent. Det er et fall på hele 8,1 prosentpoeng. Det utgjør bortimot en kvart million velgere. <br /><br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er en bearbeidet versjon av mitt første analysebrev i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere</i></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">To kriser dominerer agendaen totalt: strøm og pandemi. Velgerne må nå betale sine
sterkt økende strøm-regninger. Og vi må fortsatt leve under Korona-restriksjoner, selv om disse ble lempet noe på i går. Regjeringen har fått kritikk
fra de fleste kanter for håndteringen av begge krisene. «Strømstøtten kom sent
og er for puslete. Restriksjonene kom for sent og er enten for puslete eller
for sterke». For å nevne et par av kjernepunktene i kritikken. <br /><br /><br /></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiLv2WCIdyTEVmN8GctEtRbNadqW3RY7lqHlfOi0QQ9_b85qDgu8Kk7goqoIaRu9yFPcVFtIsBxodkaCb55YES-NL8J08wi5KV6CEhO37NHdgW1FhhDAhDaePt_amEuAHLJ2HmBvTpejBTNVteb0sWLtlcMVZultWL4zpe1VX-mhEsv3hBxhbrnyQ-3zw=s894" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="707" data-original-width="894" height="506" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiLv2WCIdyTEVmN8GctEtRbNadqW3RY7lqHlfOi0QQ9_b85qDgu8Kk7goqoIaRu9yFPcVFtIsBxodkaCb55YES-NL8J08wi5KV6CEhO37NHdgW1FhhDAhDaePt_amEuAHLJ2HmBvTpejBTNVteb0sWLtlcMVZultWL4zpe1VX-mhEsv3hBxhbrnyQ-3zw=w640-h506" width="640" /></a></div><br /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;"> </span><p></p><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 16px;">Med et bakteppe av budsjettuenighet og stortingspresident-bråk, kan dette i sum ha gitt en velgermasse der en økende andel virker misfornøyde. Kanskje er det også bygd opp i overkant store forventninger i forkant av valget til hva som er mulig å få til. Dette er kun årsakshypoteser som det vil være interessant å få avkreftet eller bekreftet. Derfor har jeg bedt Sentio om å spørre velgerne som har endret preferanse konkret om hva som er hovedårsaken til det. Målebyrået går i gang med å undersøke dette til uken, og jeg kommer grundig tilbake til de spennende resultatene når de foreligger.</span><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">
<b><br />Fem misnøyekanaler</b><br />
Misnøyen virker å kanaliseres i fem ulike retninger: H har overtatt Aps
posisjon som landets største parti. Også SV, R og til dels Frp og MDG viser spreke tendenser på
regjeringens bekostning. Dessuten har mange velgere hoppet opp på gjerdet. <br /><br />I
tabellen under har jeg sammenlignet januar-målingen med snittallene i desember
og valgresultatet.<br /> </span><o:p></o:p></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -1.7pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.5pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.5pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Jan 22<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">6,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">9,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">21,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">9,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">25,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">11,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.5pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Des
21<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">5,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">9,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">23,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">10,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">5,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">24,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">11,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.5pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg
21<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">7,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">26,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">13,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">20,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">11,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p style="background: white; line-height: 115%; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0cm;"><br /><br /> De sterke opinionsutslagene ville gitt kraftige endringer på mandatfordelingen
ved et valg nå. Tallene under gir deg en pekepinn på utslagene. <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br /><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: 5.4pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 53.4pt;" valign="top" width="71">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 53.4pt;" valign="top" width="71">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Jan 22<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">11<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">16<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">40<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">17<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">7</span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman, serif;">8</span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">45<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">22<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 53.4pt;" valign="top" width="71">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Des
21<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">10<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">17<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">42<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">20<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">45<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">21<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 53.4pt;" valign="top" width="71">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg
21<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">11<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">48<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">28<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">36<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">21<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p style="background: white; line-height: 115%; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0cm;"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p style="background: white; line-height: 115%; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0cm;"><b><br />Rødgrønt flertall skrumper <br /></b>Hvis vi foretar en enkel todeling av vårt politiske landskap der Ap, Sp, SV,
MDG og R utgjør en rødgrønn blokk, mens H, Frp, V og KrF kalles borgerlige, så
er det verdt å merke seg at de sistnevnte samlet sett nå tar kraftig innpå.
Valgutfallet i september ble hele 100-68 i rødgrønn mandatfavør. Januar-tallene
viser at forspranget er skrumpet til 91-77. MDG har karret seg akkurat over sperren på disse tallene. Hvis partiet senkes til 3,9, så reduseres forspranget ytterligere til 89-79. I så fall mangler de borgerlige kun seks mandater før de
har flertallet inne. Det har ikke vært borgerlig flertall på snittet av
målingene siden august 2018. <o:p></o:p></p>
<p style="background: white; line-height: 115%; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0cm;"><br /><br />
<!--[endif]--><b><o:p></o:p></b></p>
<p style="background: white; line-height: 115%; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0cm;"><b>H+Frp mye større enn Ap+Sp<o:p></o:p></b></p>
<p style="background: white; line-height: 115%; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0cm;">Ap,
Sp og SV fikk totalt 89 mandater og flertall ved stortingsvalget. Det gjorde
det lettere for Støre å få en regjering på plass siden man da ikke var avhengig
av R eller MDG. Dette flertallet er nå borte i opinionen. Et valg i dag ville
gitt de tre partiene ned mot kun 73 mandater. Ser vi på de to
regjeringspartiene Ap og Sp isolert, så fikk de 76 mandater ved valget. De har
nå kun 57 av disse inne. Ergo et tap på 19. <br />
<br />
De foregående regjeringspartiene H, V og KrF er nå jevnstore i mandater som de
sittende regjeringspartiene. Mens den tidligere Solberg-varianten av H og Frp nå
er markert større enn Ap+Sp. Det er samtidig grunn til å understreke at ingen
av disse konstellasjonene er i nærheten av noe flertall. En rødgrønn regjering
ville etter et valg nå vært avhengig av både R og MDG. En eventuell borgerlig regjering,
ville vært avhengig av et samarbeid mellom alle fire partier H, Frp, V og KrF
for å være i nærheten av flertall. <br />
<br /></p><span face="Calibri, "sans-serif"" style="line-height: 115%;"><br />
<b>Borgerlige maktovertakelser ved 23-valget?</b><br />
Ap og Sp har mye å forsvare ved lokalvalget neste år. Fylker og kommuner er
dominert av rødgrønn makt, tuftet på at den rødgrønne blokken samlet sett gjorde
et meget godt 2019-valg. Fortsetter den opinionsutviklingen vi ser nå, så kan
de borgerlige komme i realistisk angrepsposisjon flere steder – med økte
muligheter for å gjenvinne lokal og regional makt. <br />
<br />
Den gode nyheten for de rødgrønne makthaverne er at det er 20 måneder igjen til
lokalvalget. Når vi ser hvor mye som har skjedd opinionsmessig på de kun fire
månedene som har gått etter Stortingsvalget 2021, så er det god grunn til å tro
at mye også både kan og vil skje i løpet av en fem ganger så lang periode. Det
gjelder like fullt for Støre, Vedum og co snart å få stoppet denne historisk sterke
velgerflukten. Hvis ikke, så kan det bli et stort rødgrønt ordførerfall. <br />
<i style="font-size: 11pt;"><br /><br /></i><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er en bearbeidet versjon av mitt første analysebrev i 2022. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere</i><i style="font-size: 11pt;"><br />
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<!--[endif]--></i></span>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5035263615164672009.post-48679413779933304952022-01-05T22:35:00.002+01:002022-01-06T14:56:44.771+01:00Rødgrønt år<p> <b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Store
deler av 2021 ble en rødgrønn parademarsj. Men avslutningen av året stod ikke i
stil. </span></b> </p><p class="MsoNormal">
<br /><br />
<i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette er mitt siste analysebrev i 2021. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere.<br /></i><br /><br />
<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Erna
Solberg gikk inn i 2021 og sitt åttende regjeringsår, langt bak opposisjonen på
målingene. Januar-tallene viste at de tre regjeringspartiene H, KrF og V lå an
til kun 65 mandater. Mens den rødgrønne opposisjonen av Ap, Sp, SV, R og MDG
hadde over 100 mandater inne. Sp var jevnstort med Ap på rundt 20 prosent. <br />
<br />
I nyttårstalen holdt statsministeren optimistisk fram at «snart kommer vår
dag». Et par dager senere oppfordret hun folk til ikke å ha noen besøk hjemme. H
fikk et nytt «Korona-løft» i kjølvannet av økende smittetall, nye mutasjoner og
innstramninger etter nyttår. Partiets oppslutning toppet ut rundt 26 prosent i
februar og skulle aldri komme tilbake dit i valgåret. <br />
<br />
<b>Ap i trøbbel</b><br />
I en Sentio-undersøkelse medio januar, ble velgerne som hadde byttet parti
siden 2017-valget bedt om å begrunne dette. Rundt halvparten hadde ingen klar formening
om hvorfor de hadde endret oppfatning. Det gjenspeilet en generelt stor grad av
usikkerhet i velgermassen. Jeg tok en ekstra titt på hva Aps tidligere velgere
svarte. Her ble dårligere politikk, svakt lederskap og mer negativ oppfatning
av partiet nevnt som hovedårsaker til hvorfor man hadde forlatt det. Det så
stygt ut for Jonas Gahr Støre. </span><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";"><br />
</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br /></span><br /></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgH69qvQTnpv4iNxYZr47miP49gDIfmGDQhr_GsNUkkcwatrUlXVUvxwK3z5uzVcMtC50tcAlMw9POMx0TLOPqzXfwwAK5YMOKBYVVLP1FwqCPTIA-fjV5Ozv2BcwHwaeHwPrmUL-JwIb5BJSq7zmlHsVdY7zyvxNQGz9M50jdj5v6q7F0q_06bugWA9Q=s1072" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="638" data-original-width="1072" height="380" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgH69qvQTnpv4iNxYZr47miP49gDIfmGDQhr_GsNUkkcwatrUlXVUvxwK3z5uzVcMtC50tcAlMw9POMx0TLOPqzXfwwAK5YMOKBYVVLP1FwqCPTIA-fjV5Ozv2BcwHwaeHwPrmUL-JwIb5BJSq7zmlHsVdY7zyvxNQGz9M50jdj5v6q7F0q_06bugWA9Q=w640-h380" width="640" /></a></div> <span style="font-size: x-small;"> Tegninger: Egil Nyhus</span><br />
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Listhaug
overtar Frp<br />
</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">18.
februar annonserte Siv Jensen at hun ikke ville ta gjenvalg til Stortinget. Hun
trakk seg også som partileder. Sylvi Listhaug pekte seg ut som en naturlig
etterfølger, med Ketil Solvik-Olsen som en like naturlig nestleder. De ble
formelt valgt på landsmøtet i mai. Jensen tok Frp inn i regjering i 2013 og ble
der i over seks år. Hun var finansminister like lenge. Men hun tok også Frp ut
av regjering og etterlot seg et parti som lå helt nede på 8-tallet da hun trakk
seg. Partiet løftet seg til rundt 10 da Listhaug ble valgt. Lederskiftet kan ha
virket litt inn selv om politikken er viktigere enn personen for velgere flest. <br />
<br />
Med Listhaug som ny partileder, så er det reist flere spørsmål om det borgerlige
samarbeidet vil slå enda flere sprekker. Listhaugs Frp gjør trolig et samarbeid
med KrF og V vanskeligere. Det var forventet at Frp i større grad vil
blankpusse profilen sin med innvandring som en enda klarere hovedpilar og med
en tøffere retorikk. Anti-elite og protestpartiet Frp kan komme tilbake med
Listhaug. Frps nye partileder lå også an til å bli en mer takknemlig
hovedmotstander for de fleste partier. Foreløpig har disse spådommene bare sånn
halvveis slått til. Særlig sliter hun og partiet med å få løftet
innvandringssaken. <br />
<br />
<br />
<br /></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgKuvtokgLRSyIlaAZnPOnM7AD1KYz1tC8WvSLuXGLLndIlFcypmmRw1v8DuA3CC5E3kEAFZgPYY1sMEaPKegmZ0GrJKC0mtVbMz_akiJ72YqDhDFwjDsxF64NWWAEe_CcBlnX-88MWhc5W6ijBx1flfkunYBy1s6QpVzw2ovaljjY_FZF16ndxYG5u6A=s861" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="447" data-original-width="861" height="332" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgKuvtokgLRSyIlaAZnPOnM7AD1KYz1tC8WvSLuXGLLndIlFcypmmRw1v8DuA3CC5E3kEAFZgPYY1sMEaPKegmZ0GrJKC0mtVbMz_akiJ72YqDhDFwjDsxF64NWWAEe_CcBlnX-88MWhc5W6ijBx1flfkunYBy1s6QpVzw2ovaljjY_FZF16ndxYG5u6A=w640-h332" width="640" /></a></div><br /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"> <b> <o:p></o:p></b></span><p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;"> </span><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">MDG
møtte motgang</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">MDG
leverte et glitrende lokalvalg i 2019 og fikk sju prosent av stemmene. Miljø og
klima lå an til å bli den klart viktigste enkeltsaken i velgernes øyne ved
årets valg. Mye så mao. lyst ut for partiet. Men stortingsmålingene stoppet opp
midt på 5-tallet sommeren 2020. Ifm. MDGs landsmøte i mars pekte jeg på at
partiets sterke ensakspreg og stortingsvalgenes mer fokus på helhet og
regjeringsalternativer, kunne skape utfordringer for partiet. Det store,
nasjonale gjennombruddet forbi sperregrensen var ikke lenger så opplagt som det
så ut til for bare noen måneder siden.<br />
<b> <br />
<br /></b></span><br /></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEj6hWeC5TbPX-fh5CczaE6xg_dNokgFuhukb5CtLYRZF4o_yAmjl_aGXXt0vhXfQOOyne90ibxOTZlpEWYp5-5o-Mx6cfLfK3S4mb5DjHTfa3BebJrrBW4iGK0u0aLlY62EbsHHsc2Ts4umaAf5UJQw4BDewo13suWHuZuzGrJLC7xS0y8wlRCvO-6Jsg=s724" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="723" data-original-width="724" height="640" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEj6hWeC5TbPX-fh5CczaE6xg_dNokgFuhukb5CtLYRZF4o_yAmjl_aGXXt0vhXfQOOyne90ibxOTZlpEWYp5-5o-Mx6cfLfK3S4mb5DjHTfa3BebJrrBW4iGK0u0aLlY62EbsHHsc2Ts4umaAf5UJQw4BDewo13suWHuZuzGrJLC7xS0y8wlRCvO-6Jsg=w640-h640" width="640" /></a></div><br />
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></b><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Lysning
for Ap<br />
</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">16.
april ble trinn 1 i gjenåpningen av landet iverksatt. Parallelt kom
Korona-kommisjonens rapport som ga regjering og myndigheter gode skussmål for
håndtering og handlekraft, men som var kritisk til forberedelser, importsmitte
og uklar rollefordeling mellom Helsedirektorat og Folkehelseinstitutt. H sank
litt og begge regjeringskameratene KrF og V slet med tall godt under
sperregrensen, V var sågar nede på 2-tallet. <br />
<br />
Parallelt var det begynt å lysne for Ap. Aps lojalitetstall vokste noe, det var
tegn til plussforhold mot H og tendenser til bedre oppdemming av lekkasjer til
Sp. I sum medførte dette at statsminister Støre ble stadig mer realistisk.
Blokkflertallet var stabilt og stort i rødgrønn favør. <b> <br />
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></p>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgkQH3Bf-2kJPmqWwIkJGw06x5rNyGBQ8yRnUUMem4rxVU03_tzQXZjGsUE2_E78BjdK3wTF6MZkZNUPsdJsy4CZpBRE_wopyvEIJV0V8Yq5VNXl2TwbALzvl2AdLuI3r-Fjhd2auWiDWCIjoTycuSyOO8HVoidAY4hgOyZVjDB2fKap5c0GOx9EzJ6AQ=s956" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="703" data-original-width="956" height="470" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgkQH3Bf-2kJPmqWwIkJGw06x5rNyGBQ8yRnUUMem4rxVU03_tzQXZjGsUE2_E78BjdK3wTF6MZkZNUPsdJsy4CZpBRE_wopyvEIJV0V8Yq5VNXl2TwbALzvl2AdLuI3r-Fjhd2auWiDWCIjoTycuSyOO8HVoidAY4hgOyZVjDB2fKap5c0GOx9EzJ6AQ=w640-h470" width="640" /></a></div><br /><p class="MsoNormal"><br /></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;"> </span><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Miljø,
utjevning, skole og distrikt</span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">I
april presenterte jeg en undersøkelse som viste at miljø holdt stand på topp av
saker som velgerne mente var viktigst for sitt partivalg. Men utjevning seilte
opp som nummer to, etterfulgt av skole og distrikt. Mai-undersøkelsen
dokumenterte at MDG og Sp var stabile sakseiere på hhv. miljø og distrikt, mens
Ap og H delte eierskapet til skole. <br />
<br />
Venstreside-partiene Ap, SV og R hadde et bra grep om utjevning. Sakens økende
viktighet var derfor en fordel for disse partiene og en ulempe for
regjeringspartiene. Frp og KrF gjorde det svakt på alle disse fire toppsakene. I
sum ga undersøkelsen et bilde at et relativt stabilt sakseirskapsmønster. Det forklarte
også hvorfor det rødgrønne forspranget var solid. <br />
<br />
</span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">I
bakgrunnsmaterialet merket jeg meg at Aps utjevningspolitikk syntes å appellere
sterkt til Høyres velgere. Mange H-velgere svarte Ap hadde best politikk på
feltet. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 13pt; line-height: 115%;">Butter
for Sp</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; line-height: 115%;"><br /><span style="font-size: 13pt;">
Sp avrundet landsmøtesesongen i juni. Målingene viste i snitt rundt 17.
Fortsatt et meget sterkt nivå, men likevel var det tegn som nå pekte i retning
av avmatting. Intensiteten i strukturdebatten dabbet av, Ap var i ferd med å
finne sin «vanlige folk»-løsning på de verste Sp-lekkasjene i distriktene og
også H og Frp syntes å demme opp noe bedre opp nå. Parret med litt lavere velgerlojalitet
ga dette et høytflyvende Sp en smule motgang inn mot sommerferien. </span><br />
<br /><span style="font-size: 13pt;">
Likevel tydet alle indikatorer på et historisk sterkt valg for parti, kanskje
på linje med det historiske «EU-valget» i 1993.</span></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Økt
politisering av 22. juli</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
22. juli 2021 var det gått 10 år siden bomben i regjeringskvartalet gikk av og
massedrapene på Utøya fant sted. Det var et angrep på AUF, på Arbeiderpartiet
og på demokratiet vårt. Det tok livet av 77 mennesker. Mange unge mennesker som
hadde det til felles at de ble drept fordi de engasjerte seg i å skape et
samfunn de ville gjøre bedre. Angrepet utløste sterke følelser i hele landet,
rosetog og sympati med alle berørte. Og gjør det fortsatt, ti år etter. <br />
<br />
Den politiske betoningen av dagen var mer markant i år. Flere av de som
opplevde terroren på nært hold, evnet å sette ord på de politiske sidene av sin
historie via bøker, kronikker, innlegg og beskrivelser. Tonje Brennas bok i
sommer er kanskje det fremst beviset på det. Sterkere politisk betoning åpnet
også et rom for mer meningsbryting om temaet som setter større krav til
balansekunst og respekt for hverandres synspunkt. Det setter samholdet på
prøve. <br />
<br />
Den sterke oppmerksomheten rundt dette ga ikke konkrete utslag på opinionsmålingene.
Ap lå ganske stabilt på rundt 24 prosent. <br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br /></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEga_t-tYPhYZvC6d8qyj8_9fU54wdrpALF-KMjcTnTC27Hgwwtgnhnsznhtiuwkiwx8KxzAC3SPEadorrV2hrGFGTWtw71v7PLifOu4zKJaIBvw7Xhlg__Ybx452IgSI5t242nzylWV228T09iQHjl6OiQuQLW0-ha63Cw36nGI1NunsgXEmm_s8aIWUQ=s964" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="627" data-original-width="964" height="416" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEga_t-tYPhYZvC6d8qyj8_9fU54wdrpALF-KMjcTnTC27Hgwwtgnhnsznhtiuwkiwx8KxzAC3SPEadorrV2hrGFGTWtw71v7PLifOu4zKJaIBvw7Xhlg__Ybx452IgSI5t242nzylWV228T09iQHjl6OiQuQLW0-ha63Cw36nGI1NunsgXEmm_s8aIWUQ=w640-h416" width="640" /></a></div><br /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
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<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Klima-rapporten
dominerte i august</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Rapporten fra FNs klimapanel ble lagt fram 9. august. Den dokumenterte på nytt økende
temperatur, høy forekomst av CO2 i atmosfæren og menneskeskapt påvirkning. Det
satte fyr på miljø-debatten i valgkampen og ga MDG ny vind i seilene. Partiet så
igjen 5-tallet og enkeltmålinger viste over 6. Også SV og V steg. V hadde for
øvrig en fin utvikling gjennom hele sommeren, bikket 4-tallet i august og så
seg ikke tilbake inn mot valget. <br />
<br />
Miljø-dominansen avtok imidlertid noe etter et par uker og mot slutten av måneden
lignet valgkampen en god del på de foregående med debatter også om andre temaer
som skole, distrikt, utjevning, helse og skatt. Men innvandring var fortsatt så
godt som borte vekk fra agendaen. Den digitale valgkampen økte sin betydning,
selv om smittesituasjonen var ganske god i de siste ukene før valget. </span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman", "serif"; font-size: 12pt;">tortingsvalget 13. september. Rekordmange
stemte på forhånd. Velgerne valgte denne gang å fordele sine stemmer slik:</span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">
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<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -15.9pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 74.7pt;" valign="top" width="100">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Andre<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 74.7pt;" valign="top" width="100">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg
2021 <o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">7,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">26,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">13,5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">20,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">11,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 74.7pt;" valign="top" width="100">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg
2017<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">2,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">6,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">27,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">10,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">4,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">25,0<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">15,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">1,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 74.7pt;" valign="top" width="100">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Differanse<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+2,3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+1,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-1,1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+3,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+0,7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-0,4<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+0,2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-4,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-3,6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.5pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;"> +1,8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p style="background: white; line-height: 115%; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0cm;"><br />
<br />
SV, MDG, V, Sp og R ble valgvinnerne i betydningen gikk fram fra 2017. Rødt
fikk den sterkeste framgangen i prosent, doblet sin oppslutning og leverte sitt
klart beste valg noensinne. Sp gikk mest fram i prosentpoeng, men brakvalget
uteble. H, Ap, Frp og KrF ble valgets tapere i den forstand at alle gikk
tilbake målt mot 2017. Demokratene ble klart størst av «Andre». <br />
<br />
Den borgerlige regjeringsblokken H, Frp, KrF og V fikk samlet 40,5 prosent. De
oppnådde 48,8 prosent i 2017. Altså en tilbakegang på 8,3 prosentpoeng. Mens de
rødgrønne opposisjonspartiene Ap, Sp, SV, MDG og R samlet 56 prosent mot 49,3 i
2017. En framgang på 6,7 prosentpoeng. Det var altså en stor velgerbevegelse i
rødgrønn retning. Min ettervalganalyse viste at ønsket om noe annet enn det
bestående var drivkraft for en god del av velgerne som skiftet side, men først
og fremst gjaldt dette borgerlige velgere som gikk til Ap. For øvrig oppga
velgerne for de ulike partiene relativt forutsigbare hovedgrunner for sitt valg.
<br />
<br />
Mandatfordelingen 2021-25 ble slik: <br />
<!--[if !supportLineBreakNewLine]--><br />
<!--[endif]--><o:p></o:p></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: none; margin-left: -1.7pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-yfti-tbllook: 1184;">
<tbody><tr>
<td style="border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.5pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">R<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">SV<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Ap<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Sp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">MDG<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">KrF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">V<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">H<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">Frp<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
<td style="border-left: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">PF<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.5pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg
2021<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">13<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">48<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">28<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">3<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">36<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">21<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.5pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Valg
2017<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">11<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">49<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">19<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">8<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">45<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">27<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: none; border: 1pt solid windowtext; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 60.5pt;" valign="top" width="81">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif";">Differanse<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+7<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.7pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.65pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.5pt;" valign="top" width="54">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 43.35pt;" valign="top" width="58">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+2<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 40.9pt;" valign="top" width="55">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-5<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 38.95pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;"> </span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.95pt;" valign="top" width="53">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-9<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">-6<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td style="border-bottom: 1pt solid windowtext; border-left: none; border-right: 1pt solid windowtext; border-top: none; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; padding: 0cm 5.4pt; width: 39.1pt;" valign="top" width="52">
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: 0cm; text-align: center;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt;">+1<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<p style="background: white; line-height: 115%; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0cm;"><br />
<br />
Den borgerlige blokken av H, Frp, KrF og V fikk 68 mandater og manglet dermed
17 mandater på å holde sitt flertall. Den rødgrønne blokken av Ap, Sp, SV, MDG
og R fikk 100 mandater og dermed massivt flertall. <br />
<br />
Ti partier ble representert på Stortinget 2021-25. Det er ny rekord og et tegn
på fragmentering i velgermassen. Pasientfokus klarte å komme inn fra Finnmark
på sin kampsak om sykehus i Alta. MDG satte rekord i komme nærmest
sperregrensen uten å klare det. KrF falt under for første gang siden partiet ble
landsomfattende. <br /><br /><br /><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Yngste
og mest kvinnerike Tinget noensinne<br />
</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Våre
169 nye folkevalgte består av 91 menn og 78 kvinner. Det er klar, ny
kvinnerekord. Vi fikk også det yngste Stortinget noensinne med en snittalder på
under 46 år. 71 er nyvalgte. De rødgrønne vant terreng overalt og fikk uttelling
i form av mandatgevinst i så godt som alle valgkretser. Kun i Vest-Agder ble
det borgerlig mandatflertall. Rødts framgang kom på bred front i hele landet.
Mens Sp gikk relativt mest fram i halvurbane strøk. <br />
<b><br />
<br /></b></span><b></b></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><b><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgMR51QBJfa2iilPBnbdywZC-fD_Qjm7EvAJ5-qgnyjCjnt1MzkoRGpwIR7QJFg9gY3SiQZzxICtdzzYq2duikfSl8PSUkM_GfDQyeFcEsKzCS1SB8eIm7E2v5AAUrUNh6bd6Z_TBHhVPoY4crHHDP7vbiy_j4FGWPPE_KZ1WXkYBse4jbDmOTAJFcNwA=s1516" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="494" data-original-width="1516" height="208" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgMR51QBJfa2iilPBnbdywZC-fD_Qjm7EvAJ5-qgnyjCjnt1MzkoRGpwIR7QJFg9gY3SiQZzxICtdzzYq2duikfSl8PSUkM_GfDQyeFcEsKzCS1SB8eIm7E2v5AAUrUNh6bd6Z_TBHhVPoY4crHHDP7vbiy_j4FGWPPE_KZ1WXkYBse4jbDmOTAJFcNwA=w640-h208" width="640" /></a></b></div><b><br /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
</span></b><o:p></o:p><p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Maktskiftet</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
23. september innledet Ap, Sp og SV regjeringssonderinger i Hurdal. En uke
etterpå trakk SV seg ut fordi de mente avstanden på miljø og fordeling ble for
stor. Ap og Sp fortsatte med forhandlinger som munnet ut i en regjeringsplattform
som var forholdsvis rund i formen, men med signaler om en ny retning både på
skatt, fordeling og struktur. Ap fikk 11 statsråder og Sp åtte. Statsrådene bar
preg av å være trygge valg, men med næringsminister Jan Vestre (Ap) som ett av
få nye og spennende unntak. <br />
<br />
14. oktober fant regjeringsskiftet sted. Åtte år med Solberg-regjering var
over. Aldri har en statsminister fra H sittet lenger. Tre elementer blir trolig
stående etter henne: <br />
- Skattelettelser<br />
- Strukturreformer<br />
- Krisehåndtering <br />
Det var en bragd å holde det borgerlige samarbeidet noenlunde sammen i alle
disse årene, og det var sterkt å gjenvinne flertallet i 2017. Men i 2021 var
tiden ute. Hs prosjekt manglet. <br />
<br />
Maktskiftet foregikk i gode rammer. Gamle statsråder takket av og ønsket de nye
velkommen. I Norge har vi lenge tatt dette som en selvfølge, men
presidentskiftet i USA tidligere i 2021 viste at dette slett ikke er noen
selvfølge. Det er derfor en verdi ved vårt politiske system som vi bør
verdsette høyere. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br /></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgdsKGGDuZAiRxqTKx9ty4Iz_PXBpwswNVyE-F4-bawP-dv5OXUIUYowYfMv804y5iK2M7H9ja4jJXQ8uktNQkgWWTOT3qi361qQJf_iMesfPi9C76eOhh1u4P0kHQ_achzwTnVKczw1CEKTCNw-COUm0mFkrd5il_DeDmkbJG8iYXrZ0OgN3xW-yiMPQ=s938" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="653" data-original-width="938" height="446" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgdsKGGDuZAiRxqTKx9ty4Iz_PXBpwswNVyE-F4-bawP-dv5OXUIUYowYfMv804y5iK2M7H9ja4jJXQ8uktNQkgWWTOT3qi361qQJf_iMesfPi9C76eOhh1u4P0kHQ_achzwTnVKczw1CEKTCNw-COUm0mFkrd5il_DeDmkbJG8iYXrZ0OgN3xW-yiMPQ=w640-h446" width="640" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><br /><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
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<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Avventende
velgere </span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
I de første ukene etter at den nye regjeringen tiltrådte, hersket det en
avventende stemning blant velgerne. De fleste holdt fast ved sitt partivalg, og
Ap og Sp holdt nivået fra valget. En Sentio-undersøkelse viste at få hadde et
negativt inntrykk av regjeringen. Men det var heller ikke noen stor entusiasme
å spore. <br />
<br /></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
Den nye regjeringen la fram sine budsjettendringer, og budsjettforhandlingene
med SV skred deretter fram med partimarkeringer som nok tydeliggjorde den
rødgrønne uenigheten for en del velgere. Samtidig som det ble klarere hvorfor
SV takket nei til å delta i regjeringen. Men man kom, som ventet, fram til en budsjettavtale
som alle tre partier kunne stille seg bak. <br />
<br /></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"><br />
<br />
I skyggen av dette valgte KrF ny leder. Kjell Ingolf Ropstad trakk seg etter
pendlerbolig-saken og et svakt valg og Olaug Bollestad tok over. Det så en
stund ut til at det kunne bli Dag Inge Ulstein, men han ønsket ikke stille som
lederkandidat. <br />
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<b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">Historisk svak start<br />
</span></b><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;">I desember begynte
pilene å peke markert nedover for regjeringspartiene. Ap falt til 23 prosent og
Sp ramlet til 11 på snittet av målingene. Totalt en nedgang på over fem
prosentpoeng siden valget. Det utgjør 150 000 velgere i minus. Dette er
den svakeste regjeringsstarten i dette årtusenet. Lojaliteten viste klart synkende tegn for både
Ap og Sp. Begge mister velgere til særlig H, SV og R. Og H var tilbake som
landets største parti. <br />
<br />
Negativ oppmerksomhet rundt valget av stortingspresident Eva Kristin Hansen og
pendlerbolig-runder, mer støy rundt valget av Masud Gharahkhani, samt budsjettuenigheten,
kan forklare noe. De galopperende strømprisene bidrar nok også til å kaste et bedre
lys over den negative opinionsutviklingen for regjeringen. En utvikling som til
slutt medførte at regjeringen 17. desember måtte på banen med en støttepakke
til husholdningene. Nye og inngripende restriksjoner før jul, og økende alvor
rundt omikron, ga intet kriseløft.<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjKXzAYL8hRu7ZVWz9TWrAlNCaN1kDjzXJmeonEkeETLdMOujOvS1lv5Iqnt0sZqHAVfaqqpVcfcAvvdnOJ5mdNv-sj7l8RJ6_z3mj7eXnmeUvcQOvxIbPtblzw4kxpldgfMctmVD8uhYbYzzmgHIoOOatmMj6RT-_Ao9OYrKuiLaX1oWVn-lv_PcmUTQ=s1006" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="694" data-original-width="1006" height="442" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjKXzAYL8hRu7ZVWz9TWrAlNCaN1kDjzXJmeonEkeETLdMOujOvS1lv5Iqnt0sZqHAVfaqqpVcfcAvvdnOJ5mdNv-sj7l8RJ6_z3mj7eXnmeUvcQOvxIbPtblzw4kxpldgfMctmVD8uhYbYzzmgHIoOOatmMj6RT-_Ao9OYrKuiLaX1oWVn-lv_PcmUTQ=w640-h442" width="640" /></a></div><br /><br /></span><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%; mso-ansi-language: NO-BOK; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-latin;"><br />
<br />
<b><br />
Støre-regjeringen - styrke eller problem for Ap og Sp lokalt?</b> <br />
Med dette som bakteppe, holder Jonas Gahr Støre sin aller første nyttårstale i
morgen. Statsministerrollen burde passe ham. Han har egenskaper som kan gjøre
at han vokser inn i den på en fin måte. Men veien fram var lang. Hvetebrødsdagene
ble usedvanlig korte. Utfordringene står i kø i 2022. Vi får nå se hva han og
regjeringen er laget av. Året etter der kommer det også et lokalvalg. En rekke Ap
og Sp-politikere lokalt er avhengig av en viss drahjelp sentralt for å forsvare
viktige maktposisjoner. Får de den av Støre og co?<br /><br />
I øyeblikket ser det ikke så lyst ut, men 2022 vil gi oss en bedre
pekepinn. <br /><br /><br /><br /><i style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px;">Dette var mitt siste analysebrev i 2021. Mine brev kommer ut hver fredag. Du kan abonnere ved å Vippse 300 kr (halvt år) eller 500 kr (helt år) til 92237487 og oppgi e-post. Eller be om medlemskap i min Face-gruppe "<a href="https://www.facebook.com/groups/250579109432864" style="color: #3778cd; text-decoration-line: none;">Politisk analyse</a>". Du kan også gi et valgfritt beløp for å støtte mitt arbeid, men uten å abonnere.</i><br /><br /></span>Svein Tore Marthinsenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09964271729091291322noreply@blogger.com0